UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

Why tf would anybody have a Choi vs. Errens poster as their thumbnail. Bum ****. 

Weili Zhang
Ian Machado Garry,
Gregory Rodrigues🔥🚀🔒🔒🔒
$$$

It's not bum ****. Just because it's unorthodox doesn't mean it's wrong. 

And that's the fight I'm most excited for

Zhang vs. Lemos
Weili Zhang, TKO, R4
Via crucifix in rd 3 or 4

Meerschaert vs. Petroski
Andre Petroski, SUB, R3
Arm Triangle

Sterling vs. O'Malley
Aljamain Sterling, DEC
Split Decision.

Say what you want but I do not trust Rodrigues and his chin, wouldn’t risk my money on it. I feel like a guy’s gameplan can just be to blitz forward and throw bombs and graze his chin once and he’s out. This should be an easy win for him but I said that last time also

What is everybody's favorite bet for UFC 292 tonight? Loving Garry ITD personally

Full Picks, Predictions & Favorite Bets for those interested: https://oddsmokermma.com/2023/08/19/ufc-292-sterling-vs-omalley-picks-predictions-favorite-bets/

@JReynolds47 

How is Munhoz on his way out? He just styled on Chris Gutierrez 

Reminder brandonK admitted to being a 40+ year old man. He talks like he’s better than everyone yet he’s starting beef on a forum…. Hmmmmm

Plus Rodrigues doesn’t go for the easiest path to victory, his IQ doesn’t let him. I’m sure he could go in there, get the takedown and submit Tiuliulin in under 60 seconds but he will probably try to stand and trade with him with his chin in the air like a *******

He said in an interview he’s gonna grapple this time but I’ll believe it when I see it

Surprised some people think Munhoz is a bad matchup for Vera. I think its exactly the opposite.

Munhoz is a mid range striker. Nearly half (47%) of his significant strikes are leg kicks. If he's not consistently landing good leg kicks, he's kind of a fish out of water. Marlon Vera can fight outside (and he will have the reach here to do so) and is even more dangerous in close. 

Munhoz is super durable and Chito is a historically slow starter. However, even if Chito mostly hangs on the outside, I think he can still win 2 rounds here just off damage. If he's able to land more short range strikes, he can definitely finish Munhoz.

Munhoz not exactly known for his takedowns or wrestling so its not like he can turn to that dimension to switch it up. Unless Vera is an absolute deer in headlights for the first 2 rounds (which we've seen him do multiple times now in main events) he should take a decision here. 

Theres also the potential OMalley rematch as a factor to consider. Unless Chito absolutely lays an egg and doesn't even convincingly win 1 round, I think there's a good chance the judges give him the decision. We've already seen it happen in his fight with Sandhagen. Im a Chito fan but that fight ending up as a split was completely ridiculous. Chito didn't win a single round of that fight. 

* Edited at 08.19.2023, 10:14 AM ET *

didn't you say Munhoz is a fighter with a realistic path to victory a couple of posts ago? and heavily implied that he's a decent dog to bet on? but now all of the sudden the only way for Chito to lose is completely ****ting the bed and being a deer in the headlights? and that EVEN if he loses, the judges will gift him a decision because of the potential O'Malley rematch? cant make this **** up

rusty and foppa seem to be on the same path of saying 2 different things in the hopes of one of them hitting so they can claim clout afterwards, pretty weird to see

* Edited at 08.19.2023, 11:42 AM ET *

Chito has kinda hinted that he's not starting this fight slow. Of course that remains to be seen. Based on what he has been saying in his interviews, I do have the impression that he is going to start this fight with higher striking output. Rozenstruik has been criticized for being passive, having extreme low striking output and suddenly came out swinging, knocking out Daukaus in a couple of seconds in his last fight. I don't expect a Chito to KO Munhoz in similar fashion, but I am expecting to see a more offensive Chito. Which would also make more sense for him, since he has cardio for days.

* Edited at 08.19.2023, 11:45 AM ET *

Bautista vs. Blackshear
Mario Bautista, SUB, R3
Ko o

Moroz vs. Silva II
Karine Silva, DEC
Hmm, so this is a rematch. Moroz won by armbar in 2014 and since has only lost to Valerie Letourneau, Esparza, Angela Hill, and Jennifer Maia. Would Karine beat any of those women? Karine also lost to PFL's Mokhnatkina at BW but she's 35 now and at FW. Meanwhile Moroz didn't have a fight for 2 years but had 4 scheduled including Fiorot and Taila Santos so would her record be as good if they hadn't fallen through? Bonus consideration: she beat Mayra Bueno Silva (at FLW) right before the 2 year layoff. I think the odds are accurate but tap's pick % has a very short attention span.

Petroski, Robocop, Chito, The Future, Suga..

Thank me later 🤑