UFC on ABC 4: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

I hope walker retires smith & gives him his 11th ko loss 

Rozenstruik vs. Almeida
Jailton Almeida, TKO, R2
Rozenstruik is going to have to show us some urgency in this one his best chance is that first round KO but if he cant keep it standing its all over Almedia will play around on the feet for a round i would think most heavyweights will want to test the waters in bigger round fights . i think almedia is a lock here but im just worried he gets told to show us some gas tank in this fight if given then chance to . see be carful with bets here

Smith vs. Walker
Johnny Walker, TKO, R1
close fight i just think smiths best days are already at 34 he hates getting hit and i just think walker is a whole different ball game to deal with on the feet i just hope they have the game plan to box and not kick beceause smith will get the takedown if walker is blasting high kicks and spining **** . but i think smith get clipped early gets KOed and goes viral

Rodriguez vs. Machado Garry
Ian Machado Garry, DEC
there should be a clear speed difference here . garry throws snipper shots from range and is out and cutting angles before you can return fire he doesnt over extended on shots and mixs up tempo on shets well. D rod is old school boxer style that mixes it up well and can ended the fight at any moment so garry will have to switched on for the full 15 mins and not get clipped early . we slowly watch garry hands get lower and lower as the rounds go on and it worrying so he wont get much money ill have go at garry DEC small bet but thats it .

Ulberg vs. Potieria
Carlos Ulberg, DEC
this one is tough again i dont think its as clear cut lock as everyone's been saying for awhile now ihor is so unpredictable and can clip anyone but he leaves himself exposted for counters . we have seen Ulberg struggle with his cardio when force to fight at a high base but i dont think that will be forced here by Ihor . i think Ihor can win a round for sure but i have to side with the clear better and cleanner striker but hey this mma not boxing cleaning isnt always the way . bets here is i have ML ulber and his parlayed into bets with morono kim and almida and williams .+400 this fight goes the distance and i like Ulbergs chaances of staying on the outside and not rushing anything and getting clipped by Ihor .

Means vs. Morono
Alex Morono, SUB, R2
i think morono is better everywhere means has a chin and loves to bang simple but Morono can fight how he looked agaist ponzi on a weeks notice was wild this is a step down in comp and he should get this one finished means has been finished in the 2nd by sub multiple times so once again ill money on ML SUB and rd 2 sub and also rd 2 and 3 sub will all be my bets on the Morono side

Brown vs. McGee
Matt Brown, DEC
2 old men at the back end of there careers about to go out the front of the pub and handle there **** like men and think thats how this goes down just a slug fest that could be entertaining. but i have to side brown Mcgee coming off a huge KO lose 10 mnths ago brown looked alright in his fight agaist brian barb and i just think he can get this one done and at the price of +188 ill take the dog baby

Williams vs. Sherman
Karl Williams, DEC
easy fight for williams he will be more the able to handle chase on the feet but ultimatly he should get this one done on the ground boring fight for fans hopefully not a tough watch for betters to i know some parlays have had williams in it for the past 3 weeks

Stamann vs. Silva de Andrade
Cody Stamann, DEC
50/50 fight cody can box but andrade has huge power for flyweight cody was a d1 wrestler with clean boxing ill side with him but no bet this fight for me

Levy vs. Rodriguez
Pete Rodriguez, TKO, R1
P Rod is my Dog of the week good hands i know he got jammed in the JDM but he sat in the pocket and went tried to though man it out with much cleaner boxer in a boxing match he was clearly loosing but he stuck to his guns bit down and got finished i love this man . then comes in and cleans up the germ that is mike jackson i like this match up here i know we dontknow to much about Rodriguezs gas tank but we have seen Levy fade and shoot take downs when gassed almost in the hope of being finished . levy has great kicks to head and body i think south paw v south paw there is no chance of ripping his fav kick to the body . i think P Rod stays in his chest and finds the shot .levy has shown a willingness to trade and i think he gets undone here. the best here are endless all on the Rodriguez side i see value KO is +650 RD 1 & 2 KO +850 Rodriguez ML at +214 is goo and DEC no Bet Rodriguez +300

Kim vs. Böhm
Mandy Böhm, DEC
simple pick Bohm is Trash Almost a Lock but woman you know . ill have a dabble with Kim to kick off a Parlay come fight night

Green vs. Battle
Gabe Green, DEC
tougher fight to pick here i like battle here but we have seen him have trouble with volume puncher who can number up comobos on him against the cage he can really shell up and not throw much back but i think he is the more complete fighter in this on with the kicks and the grappling .battle uses his length fairly well but lacks head movement . i think gabe is the better boxer and could 100% clip battle and end him with volume shots but i think come fight night the size different will show . 29/28 after getting dropped in the in the first . 2 Unit Bet On Battle ML @ +118 2 dogs to start the card

Clark vs. Lisboa
Tainara Lisboa, DEC
Clark hasnt looked good since the Alpar fight she struggles with range and doesn't throw jabs to get in she doesn't set anything up she just throws wailing shots to get you against the cage . the worst part about clark is her game plan is to get you to the ground but once she gets you there she doesnt know what to do and she doesn't even do damage when in dominant positions were you can finish the fight such as top mount. shes just had fake tits put in also so i just dont think her head is the game any more coming back off a knee injury i just dont see how she can be a fav.... Lisboa on the other hand has some striking ability comes from a thai back round with a fight years ago against the bullet shavchenko shes very new to mma but she has had experience in fights with better grapplers then Clark and has evenn show she can find a sub herself all tho this is at a very low level . she will be the much big woman in this one thick old ass that should help her push clarke around the cage at will i like Lisboa her 29/28 looses the 3rd round . 2 Unit Bet Lisboa ML @ +126

@Rah123 of course everyone in here could not understand your logic of matching a powerless woman against the most powerful man.. so it's senseless more like hallucinations 

Stamann vs. Silva de Andrade
Cody Stamann
Really tough one, it should be a great fight either way! My gut says Stamann because he

-is younger and well rounded. But DSDA has fought some real solid competition and has finishing power. 

Fat fingered the enter key lol.

This card should have been the UFC 289 PPV in Vancouver.

Walker wins this Saturday. 

Fight won’t even go past 2.5 rounds.

Smith has undergone so many knee surgeries he seems like TJ Dillashaw 2.0. Smith is more comfortable at the commentator desk these days than being a fighter. 

Walker has a sus chin but Smith doesn’t even have 1 ko punch power to put him away.

I’m not liking Brazilians this year all of them are losing it went from Figgy and all the way till Pereira and Burns.

It’s a coin flip here but i would favor younger, more explosive, hungrier fighter than betting on old ass vets these days Masvidal good example too. 

I remember Smith talked so much **** about Ankalaev and this time i hope Walker knocks him out cold. Cruz had the same fate they thought they could mix it up between being at the desk and fighting.

Smith at 34 is not losing to a born ****up gimp like Walker, Jiri will not lose to slow no power Hill.
FEEL FREE TO QOUTE ME!
Merab will easily own Suckudo hopefully get rid of his lame ass. 

Rozenstruik: This is HW and if Almeida doesn't make an adjustment his takedown entry (front/teep kick > Shoot), I see a very real possibility Rozenstruik KOs him.

Potieria:Most unlikely, but this guy is a brawler going up against a technically sound striker. This will either lead to a quick and easy night with Ulberg putting on a clinic or Ulberg getting clipped by the unorthodox striking of Potieria.

D. Rodriguez:Big Ian Garry fan. Ian has shown dramatic improvements in his game fight after fight. I don't see much of an edge here for D-Rod other than timing Garry's leg kick (averaging 20/fight) and rocking him with a straight right leading to a follow-up TKO.

P. Rodriguez:This is my underdog play of the week. Levy's karate/kung-fu striking is flashy and smooth-ish, but I can see the power Pete brings to this weight class being a big problem for Levy. Unless Levy comes in with a different game plan than we have seen and goes to immediately grapple, Pete will land and if he lands clean, he's getting the job done. Even if he does decide to grapple, Pete's been training at the MMALab under John Crouch and I'm not writing him off in the grappling department.

I'd love to hear your alternative perspectives

I think PRod has an excellent shot of winning. With you 100% there and just need to make sure he looks ok on the scales since this is his first fight at 155. Also with you on Bigi Boi. I think this fight is closer to 50/50 and the odds obviously don't suggest that. Nobody truthfully knows if Almeida can really take a shot since he's only absorbed 2 strikes in 4 UFC fights. 

I will **** a brick if Potieria KOs Ulberg. I also don't think DRod has a great shot against Garry. He just didn't look the same to me in his last fight against Magny. I genuinely wonder if the injuries have just caught up to him. DRod is absolutely good enough to beat Garry but that one just seems like one guy is trending way up and the other guy is clearly stagnant if not trending downward. 

Thanks for the perspective!

I have 4x $250 free bets thanks to a sportsbook's generous new customer promotion (200% back first best insurance - $500 on Cejudo).

I plan on dropping 1x $250 free bet each on P-Rod, Bigi & D-Rod. Not sure where I'll drop the last $250 bonus bet but I am with ya - of all these dogs, I see Potieria as theleast likelycandidate to produce an upset. 

Any hot takes on where I should place my final $250 bonus bet?

* Edited at 05.11.2023, 4:17 PM ET *

Bryan battle

After your apropos and infallible breakdown of Rodriguez/Jandi,... you speak, I listen.

Battle it is.

Thanks, brother.

🤣🤣 

Thanks bro, anytime 🤝 

* Edited at 05.11.2023, 5:01 PM ET *

BIGI BIGI BIGI CAN'T YOU SEE....

Oh great prison mike is back