Topic: UFC 288
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
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01.25.2023 | 12:22 PM ET
Responses Page 33
05.05.2023 | 5:58 PM ET
Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 415 Points | Tied for 1673rd
In regards to Henry retiring after his Sterling fight; I don't think that happens. I doubt they give Sterling an instant rematch if Henry wins. Which means that he can fight O'Malley. A title fight against O'Malley equals mucho dinero in that division. I doubt he'll let that opportunity slide.
"Learning is a gift, even when pain is your teacher"
05.05.2023 | 6:09 PM ET
UFC 288: Picks, Predictions & Favorite Bets
Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 445 Points | Tied for 1234th
My UFC 288 picks, predictions, and favorite bets for those interested: https://oddsmokermma.com/2023/05/05/ufc-288-sterling-vs-cejudo-quick-picks-predictions-favorite-bets/
"Check us out for free MMA Picks, Predictions, Analysis, Bets & More"
05.05.2023 | 8:31 PM ET
Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 500 Points | Tied for 554th
05.05.2023 | 8:32 PM ET
Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 500 Points | Tied for 554th
05.05.2023 | 8:46 PM ET
Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 470 Points | Tied for 884th
05.05.2023 | 8:56 PM ET
Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 470 Points | Tied for 884th
05.05.2023 | 8:58 PM ET
Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 470 Points | Tied for 884th
I don't like taking Henry after a three year layoff. I just don't see Aljo getting him out of there or having the better of the stand up. I hope Henry's gas tank is up to par and that nasty cut or whatever he reportedly got in camp doesn't become an issue in the fight
05.05.2023 | 9:04 PM ET
05.05.2023 | 9:18 PM ET
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo | Full Card Fight Picks in 3 Minutes
Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 400 Points | Tied for 2050th
"Every second is a gift"
05.05.2023 | 9:33 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 6 Perfect, 590 Points | Tied for 101st
Drew Dober, TKO, R2
DOBER KO's "The Steamrolla" N 2. Left cross with ah Arm Triangle choke.
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05.05.2023 | 11:16 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 430 Points | Tied for 1432nd
Movsar Evloev, DEC
Lopes is not bad on ground will be control
Gracie vs. Jourdain
Charles Jourdain, DEC
Stuff take downs
Dober vs. Frevola
Drew Dober, TKO, R2
Dober hates gingers
Clark vs. Nzechukwu
Kennedy Nzechukwu, DEC
Big man
Williams vs. Bedoya
Khaos Williams, TKO, R1
Dis boy will kill the big nose man
Rodriguez vs. Jandiroba
Marina Rodriguez, DEC
Jab, Jab, Jab
Porter vs. Smith
Parker Porter, DEC
Parker will do the porter
Aliskerov vs. Hawes
Ikram Aliskerov, SUB, R1
Ikram sweep
Holmes vs. Ribeiro
Claudio Ribeiro, TKO, R1
Holmes not ufc level. out quick
"Boom roasted - Ben Askren"
05.06.2023 | 12:51 AM ET
Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 440 Points | Tied for 1274th
05.06.2023 | 1:04 AM ET
Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 475 Points | Tied for 833rd
05.06.2023 | 1:13 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 1 of 1 Winners, 0 Perfect, 50 Points | Tied for 5153rd
Xiaonan Yan, DEC
IGNORE PROPS. See value in the Wushu Sanda fighter based on her volume/distance striking. Andrade will have to go grapple heavy and if she cannot get her takedowns, see a clear path for Yan. Considering durability, size, reach, striking output, and recency bias, going with dog at 2.4.
05.06.2023 | 1:25 AM ET
Ufc 288
Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 0 Perfect, 450 Points | Tied for 1143rd
05.06.2023 | 3:23 AM ET
Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 390 Points | Tied for 2252nd
I'm switching over to the Kron Gracie side. While I highly doubt he'll have returned with a stylistic overhaul of his game, I just don't trust Jourdain to do the right thing when they're scrambling, and he can't afford to slip against a grappler on the level of Kron Gracie. And one more thing that people might be forgetting to factor in here is that, while he did lose to Cub Swanson, that fight was a banger, a war. Even though it was much of a veteran-lesson type of fight, it's not like Cub dogwalked him. Plus, his win over Alex Caceres is actually pretty impressive in hindsight. All in all, I just don't trust Jourdain to keep himself completely secure in grappling exchanges, and they're going to grapple eventually.
05.06.2023 | 3:48 AM ET
Santino Picks
Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 375 Points | Tied for 2501st
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05.06.2023 | 4:12 AM ET
trub1nho
Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 605 Points | Tied for 65th
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05.06.2023 | 4:28 AM ET
@greentea
Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 605 Points | Tied for 65th
Tracked for now around 51 events (from last year around March till now), finishes/decisions are at a pretty steady average of 6.5/5.5, finishes to decisions. PPV vs Non-PPV has a difference in decisions, being that PPV's offer on average, +1 decision per card.
Point being, when you handicap a card for betting or for making your tapology every week, I think it's important to think about those averages and pick around them as you're going to be the most consistent in that thought process (the numbers each week and the average so far prove this).
Yes, anomalies exist and there's definitely been cards where it's more finish or decision heavy, but that's exactly what those are, anomalies and things that don't happen consistently. Apologies if this comes off as snide or that I'm trying to attack you or something, I think it's something everyone should know and try to understand, not only you in this instance.
Passionate about the tracking I do and confident saying these things because I see/track it almost every week! It's actually laughable how many times in a card the finishes/decisions or favorites/underdogs come to a means and average out throughout the card to give you numbers that are consistent.
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05.06.2023 | 4:31 AM ET
@hlgh
Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 390 Points | Tied for 2252nd