Topic: UFC Fight Night

UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield

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Tapology
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10.28.2022 | 6:03 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC Fight Night
Bout   Info
Erin Blanchfield   defeats   Jéssica Andrade   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   1:37 Round 2 of 5, 6:37 Total Bout Page
Zac Pauga   defeats   Jordan Wright   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Jamal Pogues   defeats   Josh Parisian   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Marcin Prachnio   defeats   William Knight   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Alexander Hernandez   defeats   Jim Miller   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Nazim Sadykhov   defeats   Evan Elder   via KO/TKO, Doctor Stoppage (cut)   0:38 Round 3 of 3, 10:38 Total Bout Page
Mayra Bueno Silva   defeats   Lina Länsberg   via Submission, Kneebar   4:45 Round 2 of 3, 9:45 Total Bout Page
Jamall Emmers   defeats   Khusein Askhabov   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Philipe Lins   defeats   Ovince St. Preux   via KO/TKO, Punches   0:49 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
AJ Fletcher   defeats   Themba Gorimbo   via Submission, Guillotine Choke   1:37 Round 2 of 3, 6:37 Total Bout Page
Clayton Carpenter   defeats   Juancamilo Ronderos   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   3:13 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page

Responses Page 45

shaneb90
shaneb90
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02.18.2023 | 1:21 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 570 Points   |   Tied for 176th

I'll throw an ITD or under/over in a parlay if I'm extremely confident. No big money though, I mainly just parlay the ML
kylethemc
kylethemc
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02.18.2023 | 2:11 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 540 Points   |   Tied for 331st

Andrade vs. Blanchfield
Erin Blanchfield, SUB, R2
I understand picking Andrade. I get that Blanchfield wasn't able to take JJ Aldrich down and that Andrade puts a beating on people in the striking. I understand Blanchfield is not Valentina, but with that said, Valentina was able to take Andrade down at will and finish her in the 2nd with elbows from the crucifix. This is something e

Pauga vs. Wright
Zac Pauga, TKO, R2
Jordan Wright is even more round one or bust than Hernandez. Pauga needs to survive one round and he's almost guaranteed to win. The only concern is him coming down a weight class after being put out cold by Usman. I wouldn't ever tell anyone to bet on Jordan Wright, but if you did it would be wise to be round one.

Parisian vs. Pogues
Jamal Pogues, DEC
Terrible featured fight. Not sure what's been going on with Parisian, but I've heard things recently about a heart problem. That is not something you want to have going into a fight. Pogues isn't a finisher really by any stretch, but this is very low-level MMA so anything can happen. I say Pogues just outpoints him on the feet with the boxing. That's if he's learned how to not take 50 leg kicks in one fight.

Knight vs. Prachnio
William Knight, TKO, R1
Knight finally made weight, so maybe he's taking this **** seriously now. In all honesty, I'm not high on either of these guys. Knight has the power and Prachnio has a questionable chin, so that's the only reason I'm taking him.

Miller vs. Hernandez
Jim Miller, TKO, R2
Alex is round one or bust usually. Jim Miller has gotten recent KO's in the 2nd round. He's knocking out dudes in their prime too, albeit not the greatest competition. Taking a beating against Billy Q a month ago at FW, and now moving back up a month later to fight a guy who has power is dangerous. Miller has the better grappling too. Please Jim, just survive the first and you'll find that chin as the fight goes on.

Sadykhov vs. Elder
Nazim Sadykhov, DEC
I see some people picking Elder to outwrestle Nazim. I'm not saying that's completely out of the picture, but Nazim is training out of Longo and Weidman. He's getting better at defending takedowns and I think he has a clear advantage on the feet. Elder is a tough dude though, so certainly not extreme confidence.

Länsberg vs. Bueno Silva
Mayra Bueno Silva, SUB, R1
This shouldn't be close. If Bueno Silva loses you might as well send her out of the UFC. Complete setup fight where she should dominate.

Emmers vs. Askhabov
Khusein Askhabov, SUB, R2
I am a little concerned with this fight in a few different regards. The first being that both guys are coming off long layoffs. Askhabov has been out for 3 years and Emmers has been out for a year and a half. When I look at these two, I like Emmers to be better in the striking for sure, but Askhabov better in the wrestling and grappling. Going to a split with Giga in a mostly striking fight is very impressive, but Emmers got swept by Giga and put on his back. That's not a good look against a guy who will be likely heavily pushing the grappling. The other thing I worry about is his fight IQ. He rocked Sabatini on the feet, and was throwing some good gnp, and then tries to submit him with a toe hold (knowing Pat is an excellent grappler) when Pat is tearing his knee apart with a nasty heel hook at the same time. I think Askhabov can win with wrestling/grappling upside.

St. Preux vs. Lins
Philipe Lins, DEC
Lins should outpace OSP. OSP went to a split decision with an extremely over the hill Shogun who then got finished by that fraud Ihor. I think Lins is still motivated whereas OSP isn't. That in my opinion will be the big difference. Lins will be willing to throw more and work for takedowns/control time whereas OSP will just throw kicks to the body.

Fletcher vs. Gorimbo
AJ Fletcher, DEC
I actually don't think Fletcher is that bad. He lost to Semelsberger, who has looked very good recently. He was able to take Semi down and even held his own in the striking. In his fight against Loosa, he didn't look good at all, but Themba isn't impressive in any aspect to me. Fletcher should get the wrestling going here and get the win. If Fletcher can't win this, then he really does suck.

Ronderos vs. Carpenter
Clayton Carpenter, SUB, R2
Ronderos tested positive for Coke and has been on a layoff of nearly 2 years, after looking terrible against Dvorak which granted was on very short notice. I have no idea why he's getting another shot here. Regardless, Clayton should be better everywhere here, especially the grappling, and submit Ronderos or win a decision.

ryanQ
ryanQ
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02.18.2023 | 2:16 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 10 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 610 Points   |   Tied for 74th

Firstly I want to say I was going to write about each fight but I’ve ran out of time I have to babysit but if you have any questions please ask would love to explain or hear different points of views


Might change Knight to win by ko but still unsure 

* Edited at 02.18.2023, 2:25 AM ET *

kylethemc
kylethemc
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02.18.2023 | 2:21 AM ET

@Ryan

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 540 Points   |   Tied for 331st

I agree with most, besides Hernandez and Emmers. Do you think Hernandez can survive in the later rounds if Jim is ripping low kicks and big lefts, knowing he gasses? Emmers is going to win if he can keep this on the feet. I don't think it'll be that easy to. 
ryanQ
ryanQ
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02.18.2023 | 2:32 AM ET

@kyle

Predictions: 10 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 610 Points   |   Tied for 74th

Yeah the Jim miller vs Hernandez is a confusing one to me. It can go either way imo I think Hernandez does effort to win 2 out of 3 rounds but this is one that I’ve been changing my mind on all week. All I know is not to bet this fight. With emmers I think he is super underrated an is good everywhere, I’m mainly choosing him over askhabov just because of the 3 year layoff and strength of schedule but then again rumour has it that he has been at tiger Muay Thai for those 3 years, improving so who knows how he looks 

* Edited at 02.18.2023, 2:33 AM ET *

ryanQ
ryanQ
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02.18.2023 | 2:35 AM ET

Predictions: 10 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 610 Points   |   Tied for 74th

I’m just worried with Jim is how does his cardio look in later rounds cause he is 39 and can his chin also survive, honestly hard fight to predict 
Rah123
Rah123
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02.18.2023 | 3:52 AM ET

ShaneB

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 725th

83%? Not bad. Not bad indeed. I'm impressed you get that with single bets. Well done.

Personally I pick who I think will win, regardless of value or line moves and parlay them together. I could play a 20 leg parlay across 3 different cards and different sports or as small as a 5 leg parlay. Usually I have a number of parlays for each card. I don't play units. I play take out value and out as much into each parlay as I need to get the end value I want.

I don't want to say how much I've been making recently. But it's not a small sum.

"Positivity is a positive"

Rah123
Rah123
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02.18.2023 | 3:59 AM ET

RyanQ

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 725th

Just my views but I think Ashkabov absolutely smokes Emmers.

Also I think Knight wins finish.

My other picks are similar to yours, except for Andrade. But we have talked about that. I see the argument both ways with Andrades injured hand. But still picking Andrade because Blanchfield is going to get smashed on the feet

"Positivity is a positive"

ryanQ
ryanQ
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02.18.2023 | 4:30 AM ET

@rah123

Predictions: 10 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 610 Points   |   Tied for 74th

Yeah i think i’m going to change to knight ko and if I’m honest I’m pretty bias on blanchfield she one of my favourite or favourite female fighter. The fact that she is only 23 and is fighting for a title shot opportunity this early in her career blows my mind. Even if she loses this fight which definitely can happen I still think she will be a future champion. This might sound crazy but I think she can become Champion now 
ryanQ
ryanQ
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02.18.2023 | 4:34 AM ET

@rah123

Predictions: 10 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 610 Points   |   Tied for 74th

I think Emmers and ashkabov is a super close fight but I’m not betting on it for that exact reason. Ashkabov could be an absolute unknown gem. I appreciate your wisdom like always but I think I’m going to stick with emmers 

* Edited at 02.18.2023, 4:35 AM ET *

Cobrak
Cobrak
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02.18.2023 | 4:38 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 8 Winners, 1 Perfect, 325 Points   |   Tied for 3048th

I think im gonna put a small bet on this parlay.
Capenter ml - aj ml - nazim ml - lins ml - Pogues ml - silva sub.
Crossing my fingers

"I don't throw and hope, I aim and fire!"

Rah123
Rah123
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02.18.2023 | 4:42 AM ET

RyanQ

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 725th

I agree with you bro. Blanchfield is a future champ 💯 

Just needs to improve her striking and striking defence. If she loses this she will learn. If she wins it means she is already championship caliber

"Positivity is a positive"

ryanQ
ryanQ
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02.18.2023 | 4:50 AM ET

rah123

Predictions: 10 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 610 Points   |   Tied for 74th

I 100% agree with that bro
ryanQ
ryanQ
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02.18.2023 | 5:29 AM ET

Predictions: 10 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 610 Points   |   Tied for 74th

If you guys want a long shot play this one in my opinion is solid 

Clayton Carpenter- Submission or Points 
Nazim Sadykhov- TKO
Mayra Bueno Silva- Submission 
William Knight- ML
Jamal Pogues- TKO
Erin Blanchfield- Submission

mezzor
mezzor
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02.18.2023 | 5:55 AM ET

Mezzor the god of Tapology making little virgins with 10 alt accounts cry
This user is suspended from posting until 1 month, 3 weeks, 3 days, 11 hours, and 39 minutes from now.
mezzor
mezzor
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02.18.2023 | 6:01 AM ET

Watch for this guy's locks everyone xD





* Edited at 02.18.2023, 6:02 AM ET *

This user is suspended from posting until 1 month, 3 weeks, 3 days, 11 hours, and 39 minutes from now.
Jarl
Jarl
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02.18.2023 | 6:46 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 0 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 2017th

Yes, Bracket is the worst. 

My safe parlay is:
Jesicca Andrade over o1,5 and o2,5, Clayton + Silva. 

Big parlay with 25 on Nazim, Carpenter, Silva, Andrade. 
ryanQ
ryanQ
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02.18.2023 | 6:56 AM ET

@mezzor

Predictions: 10 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 610 Points   |   Tied for 74th

I don’t want to sound mean but your writing looks like a 5 year old wrote it also Ribeiro got knocked out in the second round, you can’t even get that right. For someone who claims to be the god of tapology you are not very intelligent. 

* Edited at 02.18.2023, 6:56 AM ET *

mezzor
mezzor
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02.18.2023 | 7:05 AM ET

ryanQ

Whats your IQ tell me real quick.
Dummy how often do you type letters with your mouse ?
This user is suspended from posting until 1 month, 3 weeks, 3 days, 11 hours, and 39 minutes from now.
ryanQ
ryanQ
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02.18.2023 | 7:41 AM ET

@mezzor

Predictions: 10 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 610 Points   |   Tied for 74th

its probably higher than yours god

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