UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

Not enough -500 favorites to pick this time. Gonna be a hard card for you

* Edited at 03.08.2022, 5:29 PM ET *

Imagine pimping out the fact that your big play tip was Covington over Masvidal.

Reading the posts reacting to the FortuneTeller is always a highlight in my week before the fights. 

60% of ppl who pick Basharat think he'll win by Sub 

no he wont

I think Basharat by dec.

Just because I think women MMA fights are 50-50( it is) don't mean I'm sexist, A fight being 50-50 is good entertainment wise because you don't know what going to happen, Women MMA has actually been quite good for the last few weeks, And this week women's fight don't look too bad ether, My opinion is that if it a good fight, It's a good fight, Joanna vs Weili is one of the best fight of all time, Not for what in between their leg, But because they are warrior,

I hate how women MMA can become political, With people calling most women MMA fight good or most women MMA fight bad just because of their gender, I think both is equally sexist, I think it demeaning to women to have them be put on a pedestal, some women are badass, and  espaccly the one who fight in the UFC, They should be kept to the standard because they are badass, 

Cannetti vs. Moutinho
Kris Moutinho, DEC
Age

Nchukwi vs. Murzakanov
Tafon Nchukwi, DEC
Experience / Source says opposite

Just put a couple bets in (betonline)

Caceres +3.5 point spread -110:

He's been quietly on a nice little winning streak, and cashed as +250 dog against choi and had a big upset win on that fury grappling thing that was on as like a +500. I'm outright going to pick him to win I think he can even get another finish. He has really slick BJJ especially for chokes and also I've seen sodiq getting wobbled a few times in tape of fights he won. 

But if I'm wrong I'll take the +3.5 instead of the +180 ML because he should be able to win a round if it goes to decision. Especially seeing the Fili fight. Sodiq wins the first 2 rounds, and then coasts the third with the idea he won as long as he doesn't get finished. When Bruce buffer goes to read the scorecard after he says "all the judges score the contest" you can see sodiq mouth along "29-28" while nodding his head as to say "yeah just as I planned" so if that scenario happens It will cash.  

But I think Alex will outright win somehow he's faster and more elusive. Sodiq could knock him out. KD from Choi wasn't a good look but he seemed like he was going to recover before the illegal knee. but that's the only way I see this not cashing. 



Rountree/Roberson Under 2.5 rounds -145:


The big majority of their combined wins and losses are a good bit under 2.5. They also seem to be good hammers and bad nails, so I feel like whoever imposes themselves as the hammer after something good lands will get a finish. And even the fights between them that went to decision had plenty of close to ending Joe Rogan going "ooooooohh!!!" Moments. 

* Edited at 03.08.2022, 9:08 PM ET *

If Caceres beats Sodiq by anything but some freak toe break type of event I’ll **** in a hat and wear it for a week.

Deal seems like a win win 

* Edited at 03.08.2022, 10:33 PM ET *

@Tieoken I dunno man. Sodiq should win but Caceres could definitely spoil the party. Sodiq is chinny and really doesn't like being the nail.

I'll pick him but there's no way I'd bet on it.

* Edited at 03.08.2022, 11:01 PM ET *

I calculate a 60% chance for a decision with Moraes v Song this week at #UFCVegas50. Bookies are paying 2.85 - I'm taking this bet with 7 units.
4 other underdog positions on the card also appear to have their odds upside-down. Staking 37 units in total here.
PredictionsUFC.com

Why is Brundage such a dog in this spot against the matchup. Brundage and Maximov was really nice grappling for 15 mins, I think Brundage can maul Lungiambula. Am I crazy?

* Edited at 03.08.2022, 11:10 PM ET *

If you bet against Caceres you might as well throw your money into a shredder. 

* Edited at 03.08.2022, 11:16 PM ET *

If Magomed Ankalaev wins they should try turn him around for June to be on the 275 card in a number one contender fight against rakic so after that card they will know there next title fight for 205




And if  Yadong Song Wins they need to give him a high ranked guy now he’s beat a lot of guys around the 15-25 range 

They’d have to give him loser of jiri/glover because rakic/Jan is getting booked for may 14

@Crimson 

Yeah. I think it's a strong spot for Cody. Dalcha kinda has the one path with is a early KO or club and sub. I'm going to side with the wrestler. He looked good and very competitive against maximov who kinda proved how much of a beast his wrestling is against puna. Unless he gets caught early that dude is going to gas hard and have Cody dominate with wrestling base. 

Plus I listened to interview with him. Was told his daughter would be basically disabled a few weeks before the maximov and that's the kinda thing that weighs on you. He knows he has to use his wrestling and knows dalcha is dangerous early. 

I'm probably finding my way to a bet on him. Just wait for casual money to come in on the ****jng brick **** house jacked dalcha. 

i think javid is good but Trevin is a massive setup and a tricky fight, i think im going to fade javid in this spot, and take the dog but still unsure. anyone else agree? what's your thoughts?

Also Dalcha was at Extreme Coutre for his last fight now he'd at Standford. Gym hopping tends to usually not work.