Topic: UFC Fight Night

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez

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Tapology
Tapology
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  • Member Since: 2012.01.20
  • Predictions:  0  |  0.0%
  • Forum Posts:  33,700
  • Post Score: 46

06.25.2021 | 11:03 AM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC Fight Night
  • Saturday 10.09.2021 at 02:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: ESPN+
  • Name: UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez
  • Also Known As: UFC Vegas 39
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: UFC APEX
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Paul Felder
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Paul Felder
  • MMA Bouts: 9
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Marina Rodriguez   defeats   Mackenzie Dern   via Decision, Unanimous   5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page
Randy Brown   defeats   Jared Gooden   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Matheus Nicolau   defeats   Tim Elliott   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Mariya Agapova   defeats   Sabina Mazo   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   0:53 Round 3 of 3, 10:53 Total Bout Page
Chris Gutierrez   defeats   Felipe Colares   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Alexandr Romanov   defeats   Jared Vanderaa   via KO/TKO, Ground and Pound   4:43 Round 2 of 3, 9:43 Total Bout Page
Damon Jackson   defeats   Charles Rosa   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Lupita Godinez   defeats   Silvana Gómez Juárez   via Submission, Armbar   4:14 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Steve Garcia   defeats   Charlie Ontiveros   via KO/TKO, Ground and Pound   1:51 Round 2 of 3, 6:51 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 7

Killbot2000
Killbot2000
  • Location: Sydney
  • Member Since: 2019.05.08
  • Predictions:  239  |  79.5%
  • Forum Posts:  38
  • Post Score: 158

10.06.2021 | 7:10 PM ET

Rodrigues v Dern decision

Predictions: 2 of 2 Winners, 0 Perfect, 100 Points   |   Tied for 3045th


Rodrigues v Dern
Loving the 3.25 (+225) odds for a decision here. 7 units the fight goes the distance.


2020: +125u profit
2021: +147u profit
https://www.predictionsufc.com

"Bet like an economist"

PlusmoneyGod
PlusmoneyGod
  • Location: In many ppl's heads
  • Member Since: 2021.07.02
  • Predictions:  576  |  61.1%
  • Forum Posts:  764
  • Post Score: -48

10.06.2021 | 8:37 PM ET

Predictions: 4 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 240 Points   |   Tied for 2815th

Haha pot stirred I love it. It’s like bullying robot club all over again

"You people need a bad guy like me.... say good night to the bad guy ~Scarface "

PlusmoneyGod
PlusmoneyGod
  • Location: In many ppl's heads
  • Member Since: 2021.07.02
  • Predictions:  576  |  61.1%
  • Forum Posts:  764
  • Post Score: -48

10.06.2021 | 8:39 PM ET

Predictions: 4 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 240 Points   |   Tied for 2815th

What’s up tho duck, what’s your lock of the week?

"You people need a bad guy like me.... say good night to the bad guy ~Scarface "

PlusmoneyGod
PlusmoneyGod
  • Location: In many ppl's heads
  • Member Since: 2021.07.02
  • Predictions:  576  |  61.1%
  • Forum Posts:  764
  • Post Score: -48

10.06.2021 | 8:46 PM ET

Predictions: 4 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 240 Points   |   Tied for 2815th

I’m kidding guys I never bullied robot club, I’m a really nice guy *wink wink*

"You people need a bad guy like me.... say good night to the bad guy ~Scarface "

SolarCowboy
SolarCowboy
  • Location: Texas
  • Member Since: 2019.02.28
  • Predictions:  2,121  |  63.5%
  • Forum Posts:  161
  • Post Score: 161

10.06.2021 | 9:03 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 9 Winners, 4 Perfect, 540 Points   |   Tied for 142nd

Elliott vs. Nicolau
Matheus Nicolau, DEC
2 unit matt/Matheus Nicoloau wins inside distance +315 .5 Units

Romanov vs. Vanderaa
Alexander Romanov, TKO, R2
Alexander Romanov wins inside the distance + Makenzie Dern vs Marina Rodriguez fight does not go to decision +109 2 Units

"Complicated Human in Search of Simplicity"

CrimsonChinGuru
CrimsonChinGuru
  • Location: The Great Flo-Rida!
  • Member Since: 2021.02.21
  • Predictions:  3,219  |  64.1%
  • Forum Posts:  10,671
  • Post Score: 107

10.06.2021 | 9:27 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 9 Winners, 3 Perfect, 415 Points   |   Tied for 1558th

Lets be fair half of the dudes who got high 60%-70% prediction rates, predict easy boxing matches on regional cards where it's a 30 y/o working at BK on the side who started boxing at 27 against a 25 y/o killer who's boxed since he was 5. Nobody who predicts strictly on mma is predicting past 67%-70%..

If i can't predict Overeem vs Rico V than people shouldn't be able to pad their prediction % on regional boxing cards...

* Edited at 10.06.2021, 9:31 PM ET *

"They killed Jesus for speaking the truth..."

BoneDoinWork
BoneDoinWork
  • Member Since: 2020.11.04
  • Predictions:  1,844  |  58.8%
  • Forum Posts:  191
  • Post Score: 43

10.06.2021 | 9:51 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 3 of 4 Winners, 2 Perfect, 200 Points   |   Tied for 2926th

Brown vs. Gooden
Randy Brown, DEC
Way more experience

Hawes vs. Winn
Phil Hawes, DEC
Phil to talk

Baldric Eggling
Baldric Eggling

10.06.2021 | 9:57 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 9 Winners, 2 Perfect, 480 Points   |   Tied for 625th

@Crimson it's sad, really. Imagine how low your self-esteem has to be to spend hours scouring tapology cherry-picking squash matches on Boxing and MMA events, put on somewhere in the former Soviet Bloc and sponsored by a Russian cat food company or whatever. I can understand doing it to get to blackbelt because that gets you additional site privileges, but beyond that it makes no sense at all.

You know, I have to question the motivations of such people. What are they getting out of these grossly inflated and fraudulent records? Is it just the standard izombie dopamine hit? Or are they going to bars and regaling thrice-chinned  piebeasts---spandexed and peroxided, who either have far too many teeth or far too few and  who smell like cigarettes stubbed out in spilled Modello, with tales their Tapology prediction rates, in the hopes of getting a leg over in some horridly soiled demountable nailed off by the building inspector that reeks of sebum and antique pizza and is plastered in monster truck posters?

I dunno. The entire thing is bizarre. One for the sociology department.

* Edited at 10.06.2021, 10:07 PM ET *

AxaFin
AxaFin
  • Location: Finland
  • Member Since: 2020.11.21
  • Predictions:  1,551  |  60.0%
  • Forum Posts:  1,802
  • Post Score: 144

10.06.2021 | 10:09 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 9 Winners, 0 Perfect, 395 Points   |   Tied for 1794th

I've been thinking of making a 2nd account and get a solid 0% pickrate

"I've lost 7000€ on Jared Cannonier."

jorgesaintpierre
jorgesaintpierre
  • Member Since: 2021.04.21
  • Predictions:  5,660  |  65.1%
  • Forum Posts:  50
  • Post Score: 80

10.06.2021 | 10:10 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 9 Winners, 0 Perfect, 350 Points   |   Tied for 2228th

Rodriguez vs. Dern
Mackenzie Dern
Rod +130. Dern -160. Dern probably gonna get a submission win.

Brown vs. Gooden
Randy Brown
Randy -250. Gooden +200.

Elliott vs. Nicolau
Matheus Nicolau
Tim +140. Mat -165.

Agapova vs. Mazo
Mariya Agapova
Mariya +130. Sabina -155. Despite the recent loss, Mariya I believe is a better striker than Sabina.

Hawes vs. Winn
Phil Hawes
Hawes -275. Deron +220.

Gutierrez vs. Colares
Chris Gutierrez
Gut -275. Felipe +210.

Romanov vs. Vanderaa
Alexander Romanov
Rom -400. Jared +300.

Rosa vs. Jackson
Damon Jackson
Rosa +145. Damon -175

Godinez vs. Juárez
Silvana Gómez Juárez
Lupita -210. Silvana +170. Lupita lost to an old lady.

Ontiveros vs. Garcia
Steve Garcia
Charles +240. Garcia -305.

phillip53
phillip53
  • Location: the high plains of northern kansas
  • Member Since: 2014.06.21
  • Predictions:  46,136  |  68.2%
  • Forum Posts:  2,399
  • Post Score: 304

10.06.2021 | 10:33 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 9 Winners, 4 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 1745th

@axa, i'll bet you cant maintain a 0% pick average. i'd say thats as impossible as maintaining a 100% average. there was a member called underdog man or something like that who picked nothing but big underdogs and his average was 15 or 20% or something like that.

* Edited at 10.06.2021, 10:37 PM ET *

"you dont need religion to have morals. if you can't tell right from wrong you lack empathy and humanity, not religion."

Baldric Eggling
Baldric Eggling

10.06.2021 | 10:40 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 9 Winners, 2 Perfect, 480 Points   |   Tied for 625th

Worst prediction man. He didn't even get near 12-20% IIRC. Pretty sure his average hovered around the 35-40% mark. It is statistically impossible to maintain a 0% average. 
Thesnake101
Thesnake101
  • Member Since: 2014.11.29
  • Predictions:  14,914  |  63.5%
  • Forum Posts:  1,013
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10.07.2021 | 2:57 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 9 Winners, 0 Perfect, 380 Points   |   Tied for 1928th

Worst prediction man even got some pretty freaky perfects, like Jason Knight (T)KO in the third vs Skelly.
PlusmoneyGod
PlusmoneyGod
  • Location: In many ppl's heads
  • Member Since: 2021.07.02
  • Predictions:  576  |  61.1%
  • Forum Posts:  764
  • Post Score: -48

10.07.2021 | 7:50 AM ET

Predictions: 4 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 240 Points   |   Tied for 2815th

I will say you guys taught me over this last month or so that pick % really doesn’t mean that much because not all matchups are created equal. Many people pick the low level fights and I don’t criticize that because it takes knowledge to know guys with less recognition. Some matchups are unpickable but we still pick just to not leave points on the board. For me, It’s more about the confidence scale of the picks you make. If we were to rank our picks in order of confidence (the higher the confidence, the more points you get for that pick) that would be a better barometer. I’ve been invited to some wagering leagues and eliminators, they have made me better at picking and winning because I determine which picks I’m most comfortable/confident regardless of betting lines

"You people need a bad guy like me.... say good night to the bad guy ~Scarface "

PlusmoneyGod
PlusmoneyGod
  • Location: In many ppl's heads
  • Member Since: 2021.07.02
  • Predictions:  576  |  61.1%
  • Forum Posts:  764
  • Post Score: -48

10.07.2021 | 7:54 AM ET

Haha I like the quote Bald eggling , a very cashy guy called you that

Predictions: 4 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 240 Points   |   Tied for 2815th

But you got the quote wrong, it’s “…not William Shakespeare, but Billy Shakespeare from the trailer park”. 

"You people need a bad guy like me.... say good night to the bad guy ~Scarface "

PlusmoneyGod
PlusmoneyGod
  • Location: In many ppl's heads
  • Member Since: 2021.07.02
  • Predictions:  576  |  61.1%
  • Forum Posts:  764
  • Post Score: -48

10.07.2021 | 8:02 AM ET

Predictions: 4 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 240 Points   |   Tied for 2815th

“Lupita lost to an old lady” … it’s comments like that that make me disrespect people. Did he even watch the fight? And that same old lady trains exclusively with Overkill and got a 1st round sub her next fight vs a UFC vet 

"You people need a bad guy like me.... say good night to the bad guy ~Scarface "

Michael315Scarn
Michael315Scarn

10.07.2021 | 10:04 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 9 Winners, 3 Perfect, 440 Points   |   Tied for 1165th

Elliott vs. Nicolau
Matheus Nicolau, DEC
This of course will be a scrappy fight but I think Nicolau will show he has elevated his skill level since his last fight and even more since his previous stint in the UFC.

Dankmemes112
Dankmemes112
  • Member Since: 2017.06.11
  • Predictions:  1,140  |  61.3%
  • Forum Posts:  245
  • Post Score: 294

10.07.2021 | 10:07 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 6 of 9 Winners, 2 Perfect, 365 Points   |   Tied for 2086th

Romanov vs. Vanderaa
Alexander Romanov, SUB, R2
Confident in this pick, Romanov is a very good wrestler and can take Vanderaa down and control him, if Vanderaa defends the takedowns then he can piece Romanov up on the feet but I just don't think he can defend them, I see Romanov getting off some brutal ground and pound and eventually seeking the submission

Uncle Uyghur
Uncle Uyghur

10.07.2021 | 10:09 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 9 Winners, 3 Perfect, 450 Points   |   Tied for 1082nd

So now we should ignore all the boxing bouts @Mikey adds because its "not cool" to pick them? Why not just pick them as well since its so easy? 


You guys wanted Boxing to be added so bad and now you're trying to claim some moral-dignity in not picking them...Thats pure nonsense. You made the bed, now sleep in it. This is what most of you wanted. 


Picking Rico over Reem is hardly anymore impressive then picking the free W's in Boxing. Plus, Reem just pulled. lmfao. 

* Edited at 10.07.2021, 10:38 AM ET *

This user is suspended from posting until 7 years, 4 months, 1 week, 2 days, 10 hours, and 54 minutes from now.
CrimsonChinGuru
CrimsonChinGuru
  • Location: The Great Flo-Rida!
  • Member Since: 2021.02.21
  • Predictions:  3,219  |  64.1%
  • Forum Posts:  10,671
  • Post Score: 107

10.07.2021 | 11:09 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 9 Winners, 3 Perfect, 415 Points   |   Tied for 1558th

^^^ can you tell he's salty because half of his fights predicted are regional boxing cards. Lmao get over it nobody cares about your prediction %.

Unless you are showing tickets on bets won or momey earned, nobody could give 2 ****s about your %.

Everybody knows Overeem pulled, you missed the point but congrats on your 76% padded %. Here ya go 🏆 champ lmao

* Edited at 10.07.2021, 11:25 AM ET *

"They killed Jesus for speaking the truth..."

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