Topic: UFC Fight Night

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum

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05.08.2021 | 12:32 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC Fight Night
  • Saturday 08.21.2021 at 07:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: ESPN | Prelims: ESPN+
  • Name: UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum
  • Also Known As: UFC Vegas 34
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: UFC APEX
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Paul Felder, Daniel Cormier
  • Ring Announcer: Joe Martinez
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Daniel Cormier
  • TV Ratings: 743,000 avg. viewers (508k ESPN2 prelims)
  • MMA Bouts: 12
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Jared Cannonier   defeats   Kelvin Gastelum   via Decision, Unanimous   5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page
Mark Madsen   defeats   Clay Guida   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Parker Porter   defeats   Chase Sherman   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Saidyokub Kakhramonov   defeats   Trevin Jones   via Submission, Guillotine Choke   4:39 Round 3 of 3, 14:39 Total Bout Page
Vinc Pichel   defeats   Austin Hubbard   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Alexandre Pantoja   defeats   Brandon Royval   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   1:46 Round 2 of 3, 6:46 Total Bout Page
Austin Lingo   defeats   Luis Saldaña   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Brian Kelleher   defeats   Domingo Pilarte   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Josiane Nunes   defeats   Bea Malecki   via KO/TKO, Overhand Left   4:54 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
William Knight   defeats   Fabio Cherant   via KO/TKO, Counter Left Hook   3:58 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Ignacio Bahamondes   defeats   Roosevelt Roberts   via KO/TKO, Wheel Kick   4:55 Round 3 of 3, 14:55 Total Bout Page
Ramiz Brahimaj   defeats   Sasha Palatnikov   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   2:33 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page

Responses Page 15

DCpredictions
DCpredictions
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08.21.2021 | 2:39 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 380th

I would add parker to that list, either cherant parker or Pilarte will pull off the upset. 
foppa420
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08.21.2021 | 2:46 PM ET

@dcpredictions

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 530 Points   |   Tied for 182nd

I could see it. Sherman isn't impressive to me at all. 
DCpredictions
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08.21.2021 | 2:52 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 380th

If I had to pick one it's probably cherant by an early KO. Pilartes chin could somehow hold up this time and stays on his bike and out points to decision. Parker idrk but probably a late finish
DCpredictions
DCpredictions
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08.21.2021 | 3:03 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 380th

Late money coming in on pilarte and brahimaj. Making kellaher tempting at -160. And +140 for Sasha. Might take a shot on one of those let's see how it moves from here. 

Could be an interesting arb spot to play under 2.5 at -110 and fgtd at +145 in the Sasha/brahamaj fight. But I can kinda see a really late finish. 
PerfectEnemy
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08.21.2021 | 3:04 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 390 Points   |   Tied for 1558th

Pantoja vs. Royval
Brandon Royval, SUB, R3
Why

Erison
Erison
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08.21.2021 | 3:05 PM ET

Predictions: 5 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 350 Points   |   Tied for 2122nd

Curious about how all these Guida picks coming in see the fight playing out. Seems we're taking Madsen gassing in the third round of a fight he clearly won as all the evidence we need. Lets just say the same thing happens, Madsen grapples to winning two rounds, I don't think any amount of exhaustion will help Guida get a stoppage.

* Edited at 08.21.2021, 4:35 PM ET *

depmode33
depmode33
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08.21.2021 | 3:08 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 525 Points   |   Tied for 192nd

I think Madsen snatches a neck during a scramble and it's over.  
Thesnake101
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08.21.2021 | 3:09 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 465 Points   |   Tied for 599th

Being completely fair, Guida picks are a loud minority. Only 16% of users are picking him.
BradThom717
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08.21.2021 | 3:11 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 405th

Cannonier vs. Gastelum
Kelvin Gastelum, DEC
All week, been feelin Cannonier. Woke up this morning... Gastelum by DEC seems the most likely outcome. Gut feeling I guess.

Pichel vs. Hubbard
Vinc Pichel, DEC
Does anyone else agree that Vinc Pichel is cut from the same cloth as Darren Elkins? They're both straight up junkyard dogs.

"**** Fentanyl & **** Opiates too..."

DCpredictions
DCpredictions
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08.21.2021 | 3:33 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 380th

Nothing really about Madsen's submission game in his tape makes me think he grabs guidas neck. That one dude he subbed basically mentally quit and wasn't even trying to avoid it in my opinion. Guida does get a little care free with exposing his neck at times so not the craziest thing but I doubt it. Especially with everything going on in his personal life I doubt we see any massive striking or grappling improvements. 30-27 or 29-28 unanimous decision. Hope so anyway my biggest bet is pantoja and the over 2.5 parlayed. 
foppa420
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08.21.2021 | 3:37 PM ET

@Erison

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 530 Points   |   Tied for 182nd

Madsen gassing against Hubbard certainly isn't encouraging but that's definitely not the only thing I'm taking into consideration. 

Here's 10 guys Guida has fought (5-5 record).

Nate Diaz
Rafael Dos Anjos
Brian Orega 
Jim Miller
Bobby Green
Michael Johnson
Chad Mendes
BJ Penn
Charles Olivera
Anthony Pettis

Madsen has 10 pro fights and his best win so far is against Austin Hubbard. There is a chasm size difference in experience here that has to be considered. 






TimberTodd
TimberTodd
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08.21.2021 | 3:45 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 0 Perfect, 315 Points   |   Tied for 2521st

Cannonier vs. Gastelum
Kelvin Gastelum
fdngtd

loudenSwain
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08.21.2021 | 3:50 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 430 Points   |   Tied for 928th




"This is Prize-Fighting, IDGAF about your family or your problems - MassaBruce"

Erison
Erison
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08.21.2021 | 3:53 PM ET

Predictions: 5 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 350 Points   |   Tied for 2122nd

I think "experience" can stop being a good thing when a guy's 40, with twenty losses, and no top level win in the past decade. There's no denying Guida's more experienced, but he probably ought to have had his send off fight years ago. 

Donald Cerrone is far more experienced than almost anyone he's fighting these days.
SolarCowboy
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08.21.2021 | 4:06 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 505 Points   |   Tied for 286th

Sherman vs. Porter
Parker Porter, TKO, R3
dog or pass

Jones vs. Kakhramonov
Saidyokub Kakhramonov, TKO, R2
inside the distance

Saldaña vs. Lingo
Austin Lingo, TKO, R1
Inside the distance Lingo.

"Complicated Human in Search of Simplicity"

HiDefff
HiDefff

08.21.2021 | 4:10 PM ET

My Bets for the night

Predictions: 4 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 250 Points   |   Tied for 3018th


Pichel
Saldana
Jones / Kakhramonov over 1.5 rounds

Parlay

Brahimaj / palatnikov over 2.5 & Guida / Madsen over 2.5 rounds +175
Add Pichel / Hubbard over 2.5 for +270
Add Jones / Kakhramoonov over 1.5 for +515
Jakey1988
Jakey1988
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08.21.2021 | 4:23 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 555 Points   |   Tied for 113th

Malecki vs. Nunes
Josiane Nunes, TKO, R1
Malecki has one of the ugliest chins ive ever seen on a woman

"Lets see some ******* action!"

SevenLakerSeth
SevenLakerSeth
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08.21.2021 | 4:37 PM ET

Predictions: 4 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 240 Points   |   Tied for 3089th

What’s the best website for those prop parlays? 
depmode33
depmode33
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08.21.2021 | 4:44 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 525 Points   |   Tied for 192nd

Bovada is probably the best online betting website.  I used to use that before mobile sports betting became legal in the US state I live in.
DCpredictions
DCpredictions
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08.21.2021 | 4:44 PM ET

Sevenlakerseth

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 380th

If you're referring to hideffs post, pretty much every book let's you parlay the set totals like that. 

However I am interested to hear about offshores that allow parlaying stuff like round 2 starts or fighter by Dec, etc. 


Page 15


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