Topic: Rua vs. Jones

Rua vs. Jones Predictions

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Oddsbot

Location: Playing UFC Undisputed
Member Since: 2010.05.24
Predictions: 8,022 | 73.6%
Forum Posts: 17,184
Post Score: 61

02.06.2011 | 10:09 AM ET

Prediction: correct Jones wrong Decision

This is the official prediction commentary thread for Rua vs. Jones. Let's see what you've got.

"This is the droid you're looking for."

Jon Jones defeats Maurício Rua via KO/TKO at 2:37 of Round 3

Jones KO/TKO Round 3

Jon Jones Maurício Rua

"Bones" "Shogun"

12-1-0	Pro Record At Fight	19-4-0
Climbed to 13-1	Record After Fight	Fell to 19-5
-210 (Moderate Favorite)	Betting Odds	+170 (Slight Underdog)
Challenger	Title	Champion
United States	Nationality	Brazil
Albuquerque, New Mexico	Fighting out of	Curitiba, Parana, Brazil
23 years, 8 months	Age at Fight	29 years, 3 months, 3 weeks, 1 day
205.0 lbs (93.0 kgs)	Weigh-In Result	205.0 lbs (93.0 kgs)
6'4" (194cm)	Height	6'1" (185cm)
84.5" (215cm)	Reach	76.0" (193cm)
Jackson Wink MMA	Gym	Kings MMA (Other) Shogun Team (Primary)

Tapology Community Predictions: 1261

KO/TKO

Submission

Decision

Rua

60%

Jones

40%

Responses
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darth_nanners

Location: Jewell Ridge, Va
Member Since: 2010.11.25
Predictions: 2,440 | 63.0%
Forum Posts: 619
Post Score: 170

02.06.2011 | 10:09 AM ET

Prediction: correct Jones correct KO/TKO wrong Round 2

Damn i hope I'm right on this one. I think Jones can do it if he can get over the nerves of being in his first title fight, he looked a more nervous than usual last night walking out. I gotta go see this one live.

"insert random generic/inspirational message here."

thiagosilva9794

Location: Ireland.
Member Since: 2010.11.25
Predictions: 5,113 | 60.4%
Forum Posts: 11,315
Post Score: 142

02.06.2011 | 10:19 AM ET

Prediction: wrong Rua wrong Submission wrong Round 3

Im not making a pick. hate both these guys..

"I really feel like I'm the most dangerous guy out there" BJ Penn........... UFC on Fox 2 event winner :)

SlackBrian

Location: Ontario, Canada
Member Since: 2010.12.23
Predictions: 411 | 63.5%
Forum Posts: 95
Post Score: 80

02.06.2011 | 10:24 AM ET

Prediction: wrong Rua wrong KO/TKO wrong Round 3

How could anyone possibly hate Shogun? I mean, not everyone is going to be a fan, but what has Shogun ever done to prompt someone to actively hate him? Also, why comment on a prediction page just to say you AREN'T making a pick?

"Alistair Overeem is a Dutch kickboxer who looks like someone at Marvel comics drew a man genetically engineered to f**k your girlfriend." - Cracked

LoneRonin

Location: Fresno, California
Member Since: 2011.01.19
Predictions: 3,222 | 62.3%
Forum Posts: 1,171
Post Score: 104

02.06.2011 | 10:33 AM ET

Prediction: wrong Rua wrong KO/TKO wrong Round 3

I havent made my picks yet but Im going to be putting it in for Shogun. Jones is good and has a lot of potential but I don't think he's at that level yet. Bader is the highest level of competition Jones has faced so far and Bader is not even close to being at the elite level and Shogun been at that level for awhile. I think Jones' inexperience will show when he fights Shogun.

thiagosilva9794

Location: Ireland.
Member Since: 2010.11.25
Predictions: 5,113 | 60.4%
Forum Posts: 11,315
Post Score: 142

02.06.2011 | 10:34 AM ET

Prediction: wrong Rua wrong Submission wrong Round 3

@SlackBrian ... Well i dont like Shogun then i hate Jones ... Hope shogun wins but i dont know.... Ya i prob shouldnt have my bad.

"I really feel like I'm the most dangerous guy out there" BJ Penn........... UFC on Fox 2 event winner :)

LoneRonin

Location: Fresno, California
Member Since: 2011.01.19
Predictions: 3,222 | 62.3%
Forum Posts: 1,171
Post Score: 104

02.06.2011 | 10:34 AM ET

Prediction: wrong Rua wrong KO/TKO wrong Round 3

LynxGuy

Location: Ontario, Canada
Member Since: 2010.12.31
Predictions: 1,054 | 59.7%
Forum Posts: 1,120
Post Score: 138

02.06.2011 | 10:50 AM ET

Prediction: correct Jones wrong Submission wrong Round 2

I'm not going to make my prediction for another couple of weeks because obviously right now in my mind Jones is unstoppable and will run through everyone and everything that is put in front of him. But in a few weeks when the Bader win isn't so fresh in my mind I can really evaluate both fighters and what they've been doing.

With all that said.. I'm pretty sure I'm going with Jon Jones by submission in the 3rd round.

I think the fact that Rashad and Greg Jackson have been preparing for Shogun is going to help Jones in preparing for Shogun because I'm sure Jackson has already spent a lot of time studying Shogun and figuring out where his strengths and weaknesses are and what they need to do to exploit them.

"Don't be scared, homie." - Nick Diaz

bklettke

Location: USA
Member Since: 2010.11.02
Predictions: 2,109 | 64.7%
Forum Posts: 1,761
Post Score: 117

02.07.2011 | 5:18 AM ET

Prediction: correct Jones correct KO/TKO correct Round 3

Rua is tough, but i had Jones ranked as my #2 for months now; i think he's the Jose Aldo of the LHW division. Bones Jones takedowns, transitions to side control, and ground and pound will make him the new dominant champion.

BeastMaster

Location: America (Thats all you need to know.)
Member Since: 2010.10.27
Predictions: 1,958 | 59.8%
Forum Posts: 3,029
Post Score: 180

02.07.2011 | 7:44 AM ET

Prediction: wrong Rua wrong Decision

Jones doesn't have the best cardio( as seen in the bonnar fight) If Rua pushes the pace jones will gas out and leave himself open.

"Be peaceful, be courteous, obey the law, respect everyone; but if someone lays a hand on you, send him to the cemetery."

Gregory

Location: Boston
Member Since: 2010.05.24
Predictions: 6,813 | 63.3%
Forum Posts: 18,499
Post Score: 274

02.07.2011 | 8:09 AM ET

Prediction: correct Jones correct KO/TKO wrong Round 1

As far as I'm concerned the cardio issue with Jones in the Bonnar fight is ancient history. It was his 2nd UFC fight, and only the first one where he even had a normal training camp. No offense to Bombsquad, but I suspect his preparation and cardio coming out of Jackson's gym is on another level. He's also matured physically and mentally since then.

Point is I don't think we can draw much about his current gastank from the Bonnar fight.

And for those who insist on using it as an example, Jones didn't gas out and get his ass kicked. He slowed down and couldn't keep his 1st round pace, but still dominated almost every minute of the fight.

"I live, I die, I live again."

bklettke

Location: USA
Member Since: 2010.11.02
Predictions: 2,109 | 64.7%
Forum Posts: 1,761
Post Score: 117

02.07.2011 | 8:25 AM ET

Prediction: correct Jones correct KO/TKO correct Round 3

You could say Rua might have the exact same conditioning problem as Jones coming off two knee surgies for the second time in his career. I understand he went the distance against Machida, but that wasn't exactly the style of wrestling Jones can imply. As the old moddage goes, styles make fights. I see Jones superior wrestling, top control, and GnP overwhelming Rua. The guy is beast and all the haters who though Bader would be significantly stronger and a better wrestler, OUCH!

BeastMaster

Location: America (Thats all you need to know.)
Member Since: 2010.10.27
Predictions: 1,958 | 59.8%
Forum Posts: 3,029
Post Score: 180

02.07.2011 | 8:28 AM ET

Prediction: wrong Rua wrong Decision

I really think he should have fought another fighter with more experience before gettiing the title shot. There's a big gap in talent from bader to shogun.

"Be peaceful, be courteous, obey the law, respect everyone; but if someone lays a hand on you, send him to the cemetery."

ksturdiv

Location: MA
Member Since: 2010.10.11
Predictions: 2,225 | 55.9%
Forum Posts: 87
Post Score: 47

02.07.2011 | 9:07 AM ET

Prediction: correct Jones correct KO/TKO wrong Round 4

I think the short prep time hurts Shogun in this one ... while Shogun is well Shogun, Jackson has already put together a game plan for him and I think Jones can implement it just as well as Suga ... Jones has given different looks in all of his UFC fights and attacked each fighter differently ... Shogun's style does not vary much from fight to fight ... to me that's the difference

"Live, Love, Fight"

Bigj383

Location: San Diego
Member Since: 2010.10.12
Predictions: 8,546 | 63.8%
Forum Posts: 5,417
Post Score: 187

02.07.2011 | 11:53 AM ET

Prediction: correct Jones wrong Submission correct Round 3

It's not like Shogun wasn't training for a fight. 5 weeks or so is plenty of time to formulate a plan for Jones. The biggest problem for Shogun is he's going to be giving up a huge reach and has to prepare for that, where against Rashad, Shogun had the advantage. Whether you have 8 weeks or 5 weeks either way it's going to be hard to prepare for a fighter like Jones.

"It does not make sense that humans deliberately malfunction. - Upgrade"

skelliher

Location: Boston, MA
Member Since: 2010.05.24
Predictions: 5,669 | 63.3%
Forum Posts: 11,051
Post Score: 245

02.07.2011 | 11:57 AM ET

Prediction: wrong Rua wrong KO/TKO wrong Round 3

Yeah Shogun will have no problem getting ready for this fight. as BigJ said, he was already preparing to fight on the same date, and six weeks is plenty of time to formulate a new game plan.

I'm actually surprised that I'm leaning toward Jones taking the hype train all the way into the station and smashing Shogun to take the title. He's just a physical specimen and has yet to look vulnerable in any of his bouts. If anyone in the division can beat him, it will be the champ, however.

"When a game cannot be won, change the game."

Ace70

Member Since: 2010.12.31
Predictions: 324 | 61.4%
Forum Posts: 21
Post Score: 24

02.07.2011 | 12:32 PM ET

Prediction: correct Jones correct KO/TKO correct Round 3

I think this is a bad fight for Shogun coming off of another knee injury.

thiagosilva9794

Location: Ireland.
Member Since: 2010.11.25
Predictions: 5,113 | 60.4%
Forum Posts: 11,315
Post Score: 142

02.07.2011 | 12:46 PM ET

Prediction: wrong Rua wrong Submission wrong Round 3

I just heard Rampage turned down the fight with shogun ? I would of much prefer to see that ?

"I really feel like I'm the most dangerous guy out there" BJ Penn........... UFC on Fox 2 event winner :)

LynxGuy

Location: Ontario, Canada
Member Since: 2010.12.31
Predictions: 1,054 | 59.7%
Forum Posts: 1,120
Post Score: 138

02.07.2011 | 12:50 PM ET

Prediction: correct Jones wrong Submission wrong Round 2

Wow, that's just what I'd expect from Rampage. Didn't he turn down a fight with Machida too? I forget if that was just a rumour or not. Then again this could be a rumour too. Though I believe Shogun really did say that Rampage was offered the title shot first.

Jon Jones is a true warrior and at such a young age.

"Don't be scared, homie." - Nick Diaz

HavokDM

Location: Crystal Lake, Illinois
Member Since: 2010.12.31
Predictions: 9,733 | 61.2%
Forum Posts: 1,047
Post Score: 199

02.07.2011 | 12:51 PM ET

Prediction: wrong Rua wrong KO/TKO wrong Round 3

As skilled and athletic as Jones is, I think the experience gap is what will make the difference. My pick may change closer to fight time as I get a better feel for how Rua is coming off his surgeries and his long layoff.

"Nothing in this world is a gift. Whatever must be learned must be learned the hard way."

thiagosilva9794

Location: Ireland.
Member Since: 2010.11.25
Predictions: 5,113 | 60.4%
Forum Posts: 11,315
Post Score: 142

02.07.2011 | 1:00 PM ET

Prediction: wrong Rua wrong Submission wrong Round 3

@lynxguy why would you expect that ? But he fought machida he turned it down earlier or what ? ... I doubt Shogun would say it if it wasnt true.

"I really feel like I'm the most dangerous guy out there" BJ Penn........... UFC on Fox 2 event winner :)

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Topic: Rua vs. Jones

Rua vs. Jones Predictions

Anonymous Mode

Jon Jones defeats Maurício Rua via KO/TKO at 2:37 of Round 3

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