UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

Holloway vs. Allen
Max Holloway, DEC
Max took time to reflect, and I think he will do to allen what he did to Kattar.

Barboza vs. Quarantillo
Billy Quarantillo, DEC
I don't see Billy Q out striking Barboza but I think he might be quicker on the counters and mix in some grappling to negate a bit. Decision for Billy Q

Jacoby vs. Murzakanov
Dustin Jacoby, TKO, R3
I don't think jacoby lost his last fight IMO. But he has been proving he is a great striker and pacient in the pocket. He'll get a late finish or a decision. Bet the over.

Cutelaba vs. Boser
Tanner Boser, DEC
This is such a weird fight. But I think Boser cutting down will get him the edge, and Ion got finished a lot lately which doesn't help his stock at all. Boser by decision.

Munhoz vs. Gutierrez
Chris Gutierrez, TKO, R2
Chris looking pretty unstoppable lately. Another leg kick ko soon???

Guida vs. García
Rafa García, SUB
Where is Clay training?? I see Rafa with some studs in denver. Can't think clay will have anything to throw at Rafa he won't be ready for.

Brown vs. Algeo
Bill Algeo, DEC
bet the casa

Holloway vs. Allen
Arnold Allen, DEC
I'm not confident, but Max has taken damage on the scales and in the cage lately. Allen is a beast who has faced good strikers before.

Brown vs. Algeo
TJ Brown, DEC
Depends if Brown wrestles, Algeo will probably do his weird thing and win a decision if it stays on the feet.

Bolaños vs. Phillips
Gaston Bolaños, TKO, R3
Bolanos is fun, hopefully he'll be more active now. But why is he in the UFC? He hadn't even graduated from prospect in Bellator, isn't very active, and hasn't beaten great competition.

Holloway vs. Allen
Arnold Allen, TKO
Max Holloway has had a good 10 years I admit but I think he will have a sharp decline is competing in MMA. First off he is hitting his thirties which seems more like 40s either from his scrambled eggface genes, his time fighting/training, or just being in hawaii a lot of the year.. I'm not sure if it's his current gym but anything named Gracie doesn't really hold weight anymore and is becoming a big FADE. I expect a Tony Ferguson level decline very soon from this Bum Status Hawaiin and Arnold Allen might be the one to take that last real chunk of MMA Soul out of him..

Holloway vs. Allen
Max Holloway, DEC
Max could win by tko in the 3rd, doubt it but possible. Dont see allen winning but ko possible??

allen hasnt had a real win over anyone noteworthy, people here who think hes beating max are delusional af.

I have a feeling that this Dominate dude is Mezzor 😆 

Max Holloway always train at Gracie Technics so it not like it a new gym, That gym made him one of the best to ever do it so shouldn't diss the gym just because of a name, Also pretty sure a few UFC  fighter train they're

Also, At least a few all time great didn't have the best training partner

It's hard to see Max getting stopped to strikes by anyone at 145 & on paper that would seem to be Arnold's only real path here. Otherwise, you'd think, he is likely to get buried by Max's pace & volume in route to a dec or late stoppage victory, but I'll just say this. Max has 7 losses. 3x to Volk. 1 controversial SD to Bermudez. The other 3 are to the only 3 southpaws he's faced in the UFC. Dustin x2 & Conor. Allen is a southpaw. Just a wrinkle that may or may not be worth paying attention to before you throw your whole bankroll at Max.

Don't waste your breath, brother. Dominate is literally a brand new account that has not made any picks before, it's the most obvious troll you could get.

Max Holloway will get Ko'd eventully even tho he has argubly the best chin in MMA history just because no one is immune to aging, Especially someone like  Max Holloway who absorbs on average 146 stikes per fight in his last 8 fights, Maybe it not this weekend, But it will happen

* Edited at 04.11.2023, 1:03 AM ET *

Royval vs. Nicolau
Matheus Nicolau, TKO, R2
Fight should be the third to last fight or before the co-main. These guys are underrated.

Watching Robertson's fights back she seemed undersized at 125. Her going down could be a big factor. One of her biggest issue is securing takedowns, but if she can weight bully some girls down at 115 then her BJJ is going to shine.    I can't really fault Robertson for getting wrestle****** by Talia Santos when Santos was able to do that to Schevchenko. There is going to be a massive strength difference between Santos and Rodriguez. And the one girl who subbed Roberston has shown a crazy ability to find submissions. I just really like Robertson's chances on the ground. She is relentless and I would be shocked if this fight doesn't hit the ground one way or the other. Kay Hansen landed 2 takedowns on Rodriguez and Hansen has a 22% takedown accuracy. Robertson will also welcome the takedown if Rodriguez wants to shoot. And I still don't hate Gillian's chances on the feet. Rodriguez's best strikes are her kicks and those could potentially open the takedowns for Robertson. Or she just gets hesitant and doesn't throw much. The only time her striking looked okay was against the girl on Contender Series, but that girl had no grappling.   Robertson at plus money was a steal. I feel like there might still be pretty good value there.  I really like that Robertson is the young vet in the fight and Rodriguez is relatively untested at 30 year old. There is really only 1 or 2 easy fights on Robertson's entire record and I don't rate Kay Hansen or Sam Hughes (or those performances) all that high. I could see this fight being similar to the Hughes fight on the feet, but Hughes doesn’t have the grappling game of Robertson. I'm having a hard time figuring out how Rodriguez wins this fight, but I am open to someone changing my opinion because I always have a blind spot for Gillian fights. Rodriguez has a nice left hook, maybe she lands a really good one when Gillian closes the distance?   I don't hate Rodriguez either. She is solid. I just think that is it. She is solid and I don't know how much better she gets. She has almost looked worse from her Contender Series fight to the Hughes fight. The pressure and grappling seemed to tire Rodriguez by 3rd round in the Hughes fight, she slowed down in the 3rd on Contender Series, and Robertson will still be live for a sub in round 3. 

Holloway vs. Allen
Arnold Allen, DEC
アレンの方が打撃がうまく、レスリングができます。

This is such an easy card to pick. If I don't get 90% right I will be ashamed 

I agree. At least on my bookie the line is swinging Piera's way. I'll take it though. 

Even Lando verse Zellhuber. Are we pretending like in his last fight the pressure didn't get to him? Now he's gotta go through that with a crowd... which Lando lovesss.

And I'd have to disagree Rah, I see a lot of inconsistent fighters that should win but won't. 

Nah this card is dead easy if you know how to analyse fights. The outcomes in almost all fights are clear except maybe the Vannata fight (because I don't trust Landos fight IQ) and the Guittirez fight.

Every other fight is pretty clear who will win short of a robbery.

I am super confident in this card and I am going to make a lot of money

* Edited at 04.11.2023, 9:25 AM ET *

I will admit there are some traps on here like Zellhuber (who is a fraud) and Gomes (who everyone seems to like as a dog)

I can't do it, I'm changing my pick to Max. 

I really like Allen, and I think a lot of you guys are underrating him. He has looked good against solid opponents.
But you're right, he's missing a big elite win. I think Max will decline sharply sometime but it hasn't happened yet and I can't pick it to happen without seeing it.