Topic: UFC 286

UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3

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Tapology
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11.22.2022 | 2:20 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC 286
  • Saturday 03.18.2023 at 12:30 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: ESPN
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: O2 Arena
  • Location: London, England
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Michael Bisping, Daniel Cormier
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Daniel Cormier
  • Ticket Revenue (live gate): $8,580,000
  • Attendance: 17,588
  • MMA Bouts: 15
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Leon Edwards   defeats   Kamaru Usman   via Decision, Majority   5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page
Justin Gaethje   defeats   Rafael Fiziev   via Decision, Majority   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Gunnar Nelson   defeats   Bryan Barberena   via Submission, Armbar   4:51 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Jennifer Maia   defeats   Casey O'Neill   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Marvin Vettori   defeats   Roman Dolidze   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Jack Shore   defeats   Makwan Amirkhani   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   4:27 Round 2 of 3, 9:27 Total Bout Page
Chris Duncan   defeats   Omar Morales   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Yanal Ashmouz   defeats   Sam Patterson   via KO/TKO, Counter Left to Ground Strikes   1:15 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Muhammad Mokaev   defeats   Jafel Filho   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   4:32 Round 3 of 3, 14:32 Total Bout Page
Lerone Murphy   defeats   Gabriel Santos   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Christian Leroy Duncan   defeats   Duško Todorović   via KO/TKO, Knee Injury   1:52 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Jake Hadley   defeats   Malcolm Gordon   via KO/TKO, Hook to the Body and Ground Strikes   1:01 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Joanne Wood   defeats   Luana Carolina   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Jai Herbert   vs.   Ľudovít Klein   Ends in a Draw, Majority   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Veronica Hardy   defeats   Juliana Miller   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 29

AyyLmaonnaise
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03.15.2023 | 12:12 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 15 Winners, 4 Perfect, 605 Points   |   Tied for 1426th

Does anyone know if mezzor picked Chris duncan? I wanna make sure before I unload the house on omar morales 

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

Wolfman17
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03.15.2023 | 12:19 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 11 of 15 Winners, 6 Perfect, 790 Points   |   Tied for 28th with 2 others

Edwards vs. Usman III
Leon Edwards, TKO, R4
Usman's body is starting to break down, Im not sure that even if he wins he will hold the title much longer.

Vettori vs. Dolidze
Roman Dolidze, SUB, R3
could be a sub/tko combo like in the Haws or Hermanson fight

backburnerjonie
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03.15.2023 | 12:23 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 15 Winners, 3 Perfect, 530 Points   |   Tied for 2694th

Am I the only person that feels like there could be a bunch of upsets on this card? 

Example 1: I love Fiziev and see him out classing Gaethje but all it takes is one solid punch from Gaethje and the fights over.

Example 2: Vettori should win but Dolidze could very well take advantage of mistakes made like he has in his past couple fights.

Example 3: Klein should beat Hebert  but Hebert towers over him and could use his size advantage/ kickboxing to put Kleins lights out.

There are so many fights on this card where I can see the dogs winning if they capitalize in the right ways. This card isn't like 285 
foppa420
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03.15.2023 | 12:31 PM ET

@bbjonie

Predictions: 10 of 15 Winners, 3 Perfect, 615 Points   |   Tied for 1257th

I don't know about a "bunch of upsets" but I do think there's a great chance at least one of your examples happens.
WastelandWanderer
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03.15.2023 | 12:34 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 15 Winners, 3 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 3264th



"I am the greatest blonde man in the world. I am Tru Viking." - Alexander Gustaffsson / "The world must bow to my glory. I am a God amongst mortals. They must pay me tribute in wine and concubine for my deeds." - Jon Jones "

WastelandWanderer
WastelandWanderer
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03.15.2023 | 12:36 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 15 Winners, 3 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 3264th



* Edited at 03.15.2023, 12:49 PM ET *

"I am the greatest blonde man in the world. I am Tru Viking." - Alexander Gustaffsson / "The world must bow to my glory. I am a God amongst mortals. They must pay me tribute in wine and concubine for my deeds." - Jon Jones "

backburnerjonie
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03.15.2023 | 12:40 PM ET

@foppa

Predictions: 8 of 15 Winners, 3 Perfect, 530 Points   |   Tied for 2694th

UFC 285 only had one upset out of the 14 fights. This card is way harder to predict. 

The more I look into the fights on this card the more I realize that there is potential for several upsets. 
bracket
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03.15.2023 | 12:41 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 15 Winners, 3 Perfect, 585 Points   |   Tied for 1840th

Miller + Shore + Fiziev = LOCK

DROP THE HOUSE

THANK ME LATER
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OddSmokerSteve
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03.15.2023 | 12:43 PM ET

UFC 286: Full Quick Preview

Predictions: 8 of 15 Winners, 2 Perfect, 505 Points   |   Tied for 3014th

Which fight is everybody looking forward to the most this weekend? Can't wait for Gaethje/Fiziev personally.

Full UFC 286 Quick Preview for those interested: https://www.wagerwire.com/community/articles/ufc-286-edwards-vs-usman-3-quick-preview

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AyyLmaonnaise
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03.15.2023 | 12:55 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 15 Winners, 4 Perfect, 605 Points   |   Tied for 1426th

Idk I think most of these fights are setups for the uk guy to win. There will be some upsets for sure but I don’t think fiziev or vettori will be the ones to lose. This sounds crazy but I think one that is most likely to upset is mokaev. He rushed getting shoulder surgery just to fight on this card, and now he’s fighting an opponent who is actually talented 

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baremaras
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03.15.2023 | 12:58 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 15 Winners, 6 Perfect, 640 Points   |   Tied for 994th

stay away from mokaev and gunnar, thank me later.
backburnerjonie
backburnerjonie
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03.15.2023 | 1:13 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 15 Winners, 3 Perfect, 530 Points   |   Tied for 2694th

@ayy I definitely think the fights are set up for the UK guys like usual. I can totally see some of them fumbling the bag tho

Fiziev and Vettori are two guys I plan on putting money on. I only gave those examples because upsets are always possible. Especially in this sport.

And that's what I'm saying there are openings in a lot of these fights for dogs to win.. especially with Mokaev
tjp217
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03.15.2023 | 1:40 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 4 Perfect, 515 Points   |   Tied for 2900th

Nelson vs. Barberena
Bryan Barberena, TKO, R1
Absolutely insane that only 18% of people have Barbarena picked.

Mokaev vs. Filho
Jafel Filho, SUB, R2
Considering Mokaev just struggled with Malcom Gordon, a man who isn’t exactly at the top of the division, I find it hard to justify 90%+ of people going for him.

Tieoken
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03.15.2023 | 1:47 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 15 Winners, 5 Perfect, 590 Points   |   Tied for 1818th

Mokaev is safe here. Look further than just his opponents record. The people with good records that Filho beat have only beaten hot garbage. Filho is below average IMHO and will get subbed here. I'd pick Gordon to beat Filho tbh.

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DrChaotic
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03.15.2023 | 1:49 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 15 Winners, 5 Perfect, 590 Points   |   Tied for 1818th

Eh, I think you're discrediting Filho a bit too much. He's solid, but yeah Mokaev should run through him pretty easily

* Edited at 03.15.2023, 1:49 PM ET *

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AyyLmaonnaise
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03.15.2023 | 1:50 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 15 Winners, 4 Perfect, 605 Points   |   Tied for 1426th

Have you watched filho fight? His grappling is very good. The only issue is he lies on his back because he is a bjj player. When he gets in top control he has devastating gnp and very good submissions. Mokaev should win but his opponent really is not bad. I mean, we saw Gordon reverse him, if filho reverses him mokaev isn’t gonna get back up 

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

AndresMontana
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03.15.2023 | 2:02 PM ET

Tieoken " The Hot Garbage fighters "

Predictions: 8 of 15 Winners, 4 Perfect, 540 Points   |   Tied for 2589th

Yes, garbarge guys who doesnt know how to defend a rear naked choke, like u 🤣🤣. Respect Filho, TieoCAN

* Edited at 03.15.2023, 2:03 PM ET *

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nekrogoat
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03.15.2023 | 2:07 PM ET

Mayonaisse

Predictions: 9 of 15 Winners, 3 Perfect, 555 Points   |   Tied for 2299th

Are you picking Moraes? Have you made any reads on the fight? Is it worth it to look into it further?
AyyLmaonnaise
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03.15.2023 | 2:11 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 15 Winners, 4 Perfect, 605 Points   |   Tied for 1426th

@nekro who is moraes? You mean mokaev? Yeah I’m picking him yo win but very low confidence. He didn’t look good in his last fight which was honestly a step down in competition. Now he’s fighting an unknown guy with a lot of skills. Ultimately I have to pick mokaev because filho is a bjj guy who likes to sit on his back and play guard. But, mokaev does a lot of stupid things and also has a messed up shoulder 

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AndresMontana
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03.15.2023 | 2:17 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 15 Winners, 4 Perfect, 540 Points   |   Tied for 2589th

He is talking about the Venezuelan guy. MoraLes. Who cares about that fight? Hopefully both Will fall ko at the same time like in the Tekken
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