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UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac

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Tapology
Tapology
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10.13.2022 | 2:10 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC Fight Night
Bout   Info
Derrick Lewis   vs.   Serghei Spivac   Confirmed   5 x 5 Minute Rounds Bout Page
Da Un Jung   vs.   Devin Clark   Confirmed   3 x 5 Minute Rounds Bout Page
Marcin Tybura   vs.   Blagoy Ivanov   Confirmed   3 x 5 Minute Rounds Bout Page
Doo Ho Choi   vs.   Kyle Nelson   Confirmed   3 x 5 Minute Rounds Bout Page
Yusaku Kinoshita   vs.   Adam Fugitt   Confirmed   3 x 5 Minute Rounds Bout Page
Anshul Jubli   vs.   Jeka Saragih   Confirmed   3 x 5 Minute Rounds Bout Page
Zha Yi   vs.   Jeong Yeong Lee   Confirmed   3 x 5 Minute Rounds Bout Page
Rinya Nakamura   vs.   Toshiomi Kazama   Confirmed   3 x 5 Minute Rounds Bout Page
Hyun Sung Park   vs.   Seung Guk Choi   Confirmed   3 x 5 Minute Rounds Bout Page
Ji Yeon Kim   vs.   Mandy Böhm   Confirmed   3 x 5 Minute Rounds Bout Page
Jun Yong Park   vs.   Denis Tiuliulin   Confirmed   3 x 5 Minute Rounds Bout Page
Tatsuro Taira   vs.   Jesus Aguilar   Confirmed   3 x 5 Minute Rounds Bout Page

Responses Page 17

Andrew1047
Andrew1047
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01.25.2023 | 7:13 PM ET

💰

Predictions: 12 of 12 Pending   |   Tied for 1st with 1413 others

Yes, he is a lock too and so is Jack Jenkins

At this rate the bookies will be financially ruined after ufc 284 is finished 

* Edited at 01.25.2023, 7:14 PM ET *

Latrel Dog
Latrel Dog
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01.25.2023 | 7:47 PM ET

Predictions: 11 of 12 Pending   |   Tied for 1st with 1413 others

What about Blake Bilder? I think he's good to be thrown in a parlay as well. 
AyyLmaonnaise
AyyLmaonnaise
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01.25.2023 | 7:50 PM ET

Predictions: 12 of 12 Pending   |   Tied for 1st with 1413 others

Avoid blake bilder

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

Kniferusty
Kniferusty
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01.25.2023 | 7:57 PM ET

@Andrew

Predictions: 6 of 12 Pending   |   Tied for 1st with 1413 others

What are your thoughts on Pedro & KR?

"I am only intelligent enough to know, that I am not 'that' intelligent." - KnifeRusty

Andrew1047
Andrew1047
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01.25.2023 | 8:25 PM ET

Predictions: 12 of 12 Pending   |   Tied for 1st with 1413 others

I'm not sold on Pedro, his last 2 wins have been against bums and he's 5-3 in the ufc but who knows. Definetely not confident enough to put him in big parlays.

Not sure who KR is? 😅


* Edited at 01.25.2023, 8:25 PM ET *

Kniferusty
Kniferusty
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01.25.2023 | 8:29 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Pending   |   Tied for 1st with 1413 others

Kleydson Rodrigues, fighting Shannon Ross who didn't even win on the Contender Series -  Thanks BTW

* Edited at 01.25.2023, 8:32 PM ET *

"I am only intelligent enough to know, that I am not 'that' intelligent." - KnifeRusty

Andrew1047
Andrew1047
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01.25.2023 | 8:36 PM ET

Predictions: 12 of 12 Pending   |   Tied for 1st with 1413 others

No problem - haven't seen much of either of those fighters tbh and I would avoid betting that fight but you might know them better than me. 


* Edited at 01.25.2023, 8:37 PM ET *

Kniferusty
Kniferusty
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01.25.2023 | 8:39 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Pending   |   Tied for 1st with 1413 others

I'm also hesitant to big parlay Pedro for that very same reason. Granted, he has beat 2 bums in 2022, but Zhang beats bums with negative records, seems to get hit a lot and mostly goes 1st, which plays to Pedro as he is defensively sound & has quick counters.
Bottom line is I think Pedro wins most times, but this fight has enough variance to give me pause.

(sorry for chatting about this on a thread unrelated to this fight)

"I am only intelligent enough to know, that I am not 'that' intelligent." - KnifeRusty

Andrew1047
Andrew1047
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01.25.2023 | 8:49 PM ET

Predictions: 12 of 12 Pending   |   Tied for 1st with 1413 others

You are right, he'll probably win and the UFC seem to be doing what they just did in Brazil and this card (before location got changed) by giving lots of the home country fighters easy match ups.

I just don't feel comfortable including Pedro in a huge parlay, it won't be long before he gets exposed again. 

* Edited at 01.25.2023, 9:07 PM ET *

Kniferusty
Kniferusty
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01.25.2023 | 8:51 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Pending   |   Tied for 1st with 1413 others

Haha actually I think your input has changed my mind - it just seems to be an unnecessary risk for a big parlay. A part of me feels uncomfortable about it as well. Thanks again

"I am only intelligent enough to know, that I am not 'that' intelligent." - KnifeRusty

Harbinger
Harbinger
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01.25.2023 | 8:54 PM ET

@Andrew

Predictions: 7 of 12 Pending   |   Tied for 1st with 1413 others

How do you like the odds of Maddalena winning?
Rah123
Rah123
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01.25.2023 | 9:02 PM ET

Predictions: 12 of 12 Pending   |   Tied for 1st with 1413 others

Guys the Aussie fighters are all going to win. Except for Volkanovski. Trust me it's set up. The UFC sees Australia as a valuable market and resource 

"Undefeated, undisputed, GOAT of all time. Me."

Andrew1047
Andrew1047
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01.25.2023 | 9:03 PM ET

Predictions: 12 of 12 Pending   |   Tied for 1st with 1413 others

I grabbed him at -300, I think the ufc know exactly what they're doing here, randy brown is a good fighter but JDM will finish him. Highlight finish for JDM in his home country. 
Andrew1047
Andrew1047
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01.25.2023 | 9:05 PM ET

kniferusty

Predictions: 12 of 12 Pending   |   Tied for 1st with 1413 others

Exactly - the bookies are hoping we get greedy and stack our parlays with too much risk.

I'm happy to double and triple my money with locks 🔒

* Edited at 01.25.2023, 9:06 PM ET *

Andrew1047
Andrew1047
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01.25.2023 | 9:13 PM ET

Predictions: 12 of 12 Pending   |   Tied for 1st with 1413 others

Foreign cards are money printers - Brazil, Australia, London 
Kniferusty
Kniferusty
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01.25.2023 | 9:25 PM ET

@Rah

Predictions: 6 of 12 Pending   |   Tied for 1st with 1413 others

Please tell me this excludes Shannon Ross. I see no world where he beats KR

"I am only intelligent enough to know, that I am not 'that' intelligent." - KnifeRusty

Kniferusty
Kniferusty
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01.25.2023 | 9:26 PM ET

@Andrew

Predictions: 6 of 12 Pending   |   Tied for 1st with 1413 others

I agree completely

"I am only intelligent enough to know, that I am not 'that' intelligent." - KnifeRusty

Rah123
Rah123
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01.25.2023 | 9:27 PM ET

Knife

Predictions: 12 of 12 Pending   |   Tied for 1st with 1413 others

Yup

"Undefeated, undisputed, GOAT of all time. Me."

Kniferusty
Kniferusty
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01.25.2023 | 11:28 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Pending   |   Tied for 1st with 1413 others

If KR Vs. Ross would have happened last week in Brazil, I would have sworn it was a set up fight 

"I am only intelligent enough to know, that I am not 'that' intelligent." - KnifeRusty

danromanick
danromanick
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01.25.2023 | 11:40 PM ET

Predictions: 12 of 12 Pending   |   Tied for 1st with 1413 others

Still can't get over how horrid Bohm vs Kim is. This fight is the women's flyweight version of Sherman vs. Vanderaa. The matchup could end up being comically bad, but at the end of the day, they both will be cut by 2024.

* Edited at 01.25.2023, 11:46 PM ET *

Page 17

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