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UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac

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Tapology
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10.13.2022 | 2:10 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC Fight Night
Bout   Info
Serghei Spivac   defeats   Derrick Lewis   via Submission, Arm Triangle Choke   3:05 Round 1 of 5 Bout Page
Devin Clark   defeats   Da Un Jung   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Marcin Tybura   defeats   Blagoy Ivanov   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Doo Ho Choi   vs.   Kyle Nelson   Ends in a Draw, Majority   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Adam Fugitt   defeats   Yusaku Kinoshita   via KO/TKO, Elbows From Mount   4:36 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Anshul Jubli   defeats   Jeka Saragih   via KO/TKO, Ground and Pound   3:44 Round 2 of 3, 8:44 Total Bout Page
Jeong Yeong Lee   defeats   Yizha   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Rinya Nakamura   defeats   Toshiomi Kazama   via KO/TKO, Straight Left   0:33 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Hyun Sung Park   defeats   Seung Guk Choi   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   3:11 Round 3 of 3, 13:11 Total Bout Page
Jun Yong Park   defeats   Denis Tiuliulin   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   4:05 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Tatsuro Taira   defeats   Jesus Aguilar   via Submission, Triangle Armbar   4:20 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page

Responses Page 17

Andrew1047
Andrew1047
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01.25.2023 | 7:13 PM ET

💰

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 0 Perfect, 380 Points   |   Tied for 2129th

Yes, he is a lock too and so is Jack Jenkins

At this rate the bookies will be financially ruined after ufc 284 is finished 

* Edited at 01.25.2023, 7:14 PM ET *

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Latrel Dog
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01.25.2023 | 7:47 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 370 Points   |   Tied for 2317th

What about Blake Bilder? I think he's good to be thrown in a parlay as well. 
AyyLmaonnaise
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01.25.2023 | 7:50 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 380 Points   |   Tied for 2150th

Avoid blake bilder

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

Kniferusty
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01.25.2023 | 7:57 PM ET

@Andrew

Predictions: 2 of 5 Winners, 2 Perfect, 200 Points   |   Tied for 3630th

What are your thoughts on Pedro & KR?

"All my picks are backed by some type of real money wager. When I bet the house - I now have two houses"

Andrew1047
Andrew1047
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01.25.2023 | 8:25 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 0 Perfect, 380 Points   |   Tied for 2129th

I'm not sold on Pedro, his last 2 wins have been against bums and he's 5-3 in the ufc but who knows. Definetely not confident enough to put him in big parlays.

Not sure who KR is? 😅


* Edited at 01.25.2023, 8:25 PM ET *

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Kniferusty
Kniferusty
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01.25.2023 | 8:29 PM ET

Predictions: 2 of 5 Winners, 2 Perfect, 200 Points   |   Tied for 3630th

Kleydson Rodrigues, fighting Shannon Ross who didn't even win on the Contender Series -  Thanks BTW

* Edited at 01.25.2023, 8:32 PM ET *

"All my picks are backed by some type of real money wager. When I bet the house - I now have two houses"

Andrew1047
Andrew1047
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01.25.2023 | 8:36 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 0 Perfect, 380 Points   |   Tied for 2129th

No problem - haven't seen much of either of those fighters tbh and I would avoid betting that fight but you might know them better than me. 


* Edited at 01.25.2023, 8:37 PM ET *

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Kniferusty
Kniferusty
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01.25.2023 | 8:39 PM ET

Predictions: 2 of 5 Winners, 2 Perfect, 200 Points   |   Tied for 3630th

I'm also hesitant to big parlay Pedro for that very same reason. Granted, he has beat 2 bums in 2022, but Zhang beats bums with negative records, seems to get hit a lot and mostly goes 1st, which plays to Pedro as he is defensively sound & has quick counters.
Bottom line is I think Pedro wins most times, but this fight has enough variance to give me pause.

(sorry for chatting about this on a thread unrelated to this fight)

"All my picks are backed by some type of real money wager. When I bet the house - I now have two houses"

Andrew1047
Andrew1047
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01.25.2023 | 8:49 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 0 Perfect, 380 Points   |   Tied for 2129th

You are right, he'll probably win and the UFC seem to be doing what they just did in Brazil and this card (before location got changed) by giving lots of the home country fighters easy match ups.

I just don't feel comfortable including Pedro in a huge parlay, it won't be long before he gets exposed again. 

* Edited at 01.25.2023, 9:07 PM ET *

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Kniferusty
Kniferusty
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01.25.2023 | 8:51 PM ET

Predictions: 2 of 5 Winners, 2 Perfect, 200 Points   |   Tied for 3630th

Haha actually I think your input has changed my mind - it just seems to be an unnecessary risk for a big parlay. A part of me feels uncomfortable about it as well. Thanks again

"All my picks are backed by some type of real money wager. When I bet the house - I now have two houses"

Harbinger
Harbinger
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01.25.2023 | 8:54 PM ET

@Andrew

Predictions: 5 of 9 Winners, 2 Perfect, 325 Points   |   Tied for 2980th

How do you like the odds of Maddalena winning?
Rah123
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01.25.2023 | 9:02 PM ET

Predictions: 5 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 305 Points   |   Tied for 3099th

Guys the Aussie fighters are all going to win. Except for Volkanovski. Trust me it's set up. The UFC sees Australia as a valuable market and resource 

"Positivity is a positive"

Andrew1047
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01.25.2023 | 9:03 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 0 Perfect, 380 Points   |   Tied for 2129th

I grabbed him at -300, I think the ufc know exactly what they're doing here, randy brown is a good fighter but JDM will finish him. Highlight finish for JDM in his home country. 
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Andrew1047
Andrew1047
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01.25.2023 | 9:05 PM ET

kniferusty

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 0 Perfect, 380 Points   |   Tied for 2129th

Exactly - the bookies are hoping we get greedy and stack our parlays with too much risk.

I'm happy to double and triple my money with locks 🔒

* Edited at 01.25.2023, 9:06 PM ET *

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Andrew1047
Andrew1047
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01.25.2023 | 9:13 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 0 Perfect, 380 Points   |   Tied for 2129th

Foreign cards are money printers - Brazil, Australia, London 
This user is suspended from posting until 1 year, 7 months, 1 week, 5 days, 23 hours, and 8 minutes from now.
Kniferusty
Kniferusty
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01.25.2023 | 9:25 PM ET

@Rah

Predictions: 2 of 5 Winners, 2 Perfect, 200 Points   |   Tied for 3630th

Please tell me this excludes Shannon Ross. I see no world where he beats KR

"All my picks are backed by some type of real money wager. When I bet the house - I now have two houses"

Kniferusty
Kniferusty
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01.25.2023 | 9:26 PM ET

@Andrew

Predictions: 2 of 5 Winners, 2 Perfect, 200 Points   |   Tied for 3630th

I agree completely

"All my picks are backed by some type of real money wager. When I bet the house - I now have two houses"

Rah123
Rah123
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01.25.2023 | 9:27 PM ET

Knife

Predictions: 5 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 305 Points   |   Tied for 3099th

Yup

"Positivity is a positive"

Kniferusty
Kniferusty
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01.25.2023 | 11:28 PM ET

Predictions: 2 of 5 Winners, 2 Perfect, 200 Points   |   Tied for 3630th

If KR Vs. Ross would have happened last week in Brazil, I would have sworn it was a set up fight 

"All my picks are backed by some type of real money wager. When I bet the house - I now have two houses"

danromanick
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01.25.2023 | 11:40 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 445 Points   |   Tied for 885th

Still can't get over how horrid Bohm vs Kim is. This fight is the women's flyweight version of Sherman vs. Vanderaa. The matchup could end up being comically bad, but at the end of the day, they both will be cut by 2024.

* Edited at 01.25.2023, 11:46 PM ET *

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