Topic: UFC Fight Night

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland

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Tapology
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08.22.2022 | 11:57 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC Fight Night
  • Saturday 12.17.2022 at 04:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: ESPN+ | Prelims: ESPN+
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: UFC Apex
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Brendan Fitzgerald, Dominick Cruz, Paul Felder, Charly Arnoldt
  • Ring Announcer: Joe Martinez
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Paul Felder
  • MMA Bouts: 13
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Jared Cannonier   defeats   Sean Strickland   via Decision, Split   5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page
Arman Tsarukyan   defeats   Damir Ismagulov   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Amir Albazi   defeats   Alessandro Costa   via KO/TKO, Uppercut to Ground Punches   2:13 Round 3 of 3, 12:13 Total Bout Page
Alex Caceres   defeats   Julian Erosa   via KO/TKO, Head Kick and Punches   3:04 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Drew Dober   defeats   Bobby Green   via KO/TKO, Left Hook   2:45 Round 2 of 3, 7:45 Total Bout Page
Michał Oleksiejczuk   defeats   Cody Brundage   via KO/TKO, Punches and Hammerfists   3:16 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Cory McKenna   defeats   Cheyanne Vlismas   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Matthew Semelsberger   defeats   Jake Matthews   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Said Nurmagomedov   defeats   Saidyokub Kakhramonov   via Submission, Guillotine Choke   3:50 Round 2 of 3, 8:50 Total Bout Page
Rafa García   defeats   Maheshate Hayisaer   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Rinat Fakhretdinov   defeats   Bryan Battle   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Manel Kape   defeats   David Dvořák   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Sergey Morozov   defeats   Journey Newson   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 18

ImPrisonMike666
ImPrisonMike666
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12.12.2022 | 11:55 AM ET

🔮

imagine having more than ten kids
but you'd rather give fake advice
playing chess in underwear online
shoutout to "Happy Dad" and Top G
looking at everyone's priorities
grass is not as green with schemes
checkmate
now please put on some jeans
Google overestimates Aiden Ross's height
by about half a foot so it seems
Mike thinks they played a game of chess
oiled up and naked behind the scenes
now we must relate this to MMA
they have the widest stance ever seen
choppin' those legs all day

* Edited at 12.12.2022, 5:20 PM ET *

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gliese58i
gliese58i
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12.12.2022 | 12:29 PM ET

@deemonic94

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 2029th

It's because they put a bunch of russians together so they can all syncronize their training, flights, visa applications etc. Any card with a lot of people from the caucausus are gonna have banger fights.

"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison

Jakey1988
Jakey1988
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12.12.2022 | 12:55 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 515 Points   |   Tied for 1741st

Matthews vs. Semelsberger
Jake Matthews, TKO, R1
I think jake Matthews forever broke Andre Fiaho . Dudes a different beast now

"Lets see some ******* action!"

Rah123
Rah123
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12.12.2022 | 1:03 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 3105th

Not relevant to this card, but I find it interesting that so many people are saying Dricuss Du Plessis is amazing after the Till fight.
He was basically fighting a blown up out of shape welter weight.

He basically took down Till who has no take down defence or ground game and whaled on him for a whole round without even being able to finish a defenceless man.

Then he completely gassed, got outstruck by Till who barely could string together a combination. Then almost got submitted himself. Lost the round.

Then finally got another takedown and choked out Till who had completely quit by then, and if he is to believed may have torn his ACL again.

Not impressed one bit. He is as bad as I thought he was going in. Cashed bets on him this time, but can't wait for his next fight to fade his ass.

"Positivity is a positive"

Hyrm
Hyrm
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12.12.2022 | 1:04 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 390 Points   |   Tied for 3189th

Jake Mathew will always win 2 lose 1 or similar in the low level fight of the UFC. He could be here for very long time because he is an Australien fan favorite and UFC give him many favorable match-up.

* Edited at 12.12.2022, 1:04 PM ET *

"Never go down without a fight"

ImPrisonMike666
ImPrisonMike666
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12.12.2022 | 1:05 PM ET

POUND FOR POUND HEADSHOT DEAD


THEY DOUBTED ME SAID I COULDN'T DO IT
THEY ALL SAID I COULDN'T DO IT
LOOK AT ME NOW
LIVING IT
IM BUILT LIKE THIS
BEEN DOUBTED MY WHOLE LIFE
LOOK AT ME NOW!!!
I TOLD YOU I COULD DO IT
LOOK AT ME NOW!!!
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ImPrisonMike666
ImPrisonMike666
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12.12.2022 | 1:08 PM ET

💯

and for the record
we wrote all of these jokes
before you recommended Chess interview
either our intuition is too accurate
or their moves are too predictable
don't even know why I'm bragging
God's surveillance already knows this
why would they ask for Prison Mike's fists?


* Edited at 12.12.2022, 1:24 PM ET *

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re2134
re2134
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12.12.2022 | 1:23 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 515 Points   |   Tied for 1741st

I've got three legs left on a +27810 parlay with Nurmagomedov, Cannonier, and Tsarukyan remaining. Pray for me. 

"I back, trust me, I back"

TARTARA
TARTARA
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12.12.2022 | 1:24 PM ET

Predictions: 4 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 275 Points   |   Tied for 3759th

I told you , im country kilometers ahead from you, and from any competition... im an entire category by my own... !

Interesting enough i made this gif a few hours ago, but i didn't want to post it yet... but there you have it ! Plus, for someone who knows about these things, you need 2-3h!? to meke these types of gifs, and i could put anything under his foot... but i didn't... so don't use my AV again !






"KURZHAAR - Tomorrow Never Comes Until It's Too Late"

ImPrisonMike666
ImPrisonMike666
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12.12.2022 | 1:33 PM ET

🤣🤣🤣

that's a big win for Prison Mike
these dudes drive Teslas
we're making them sweat on bikes
one man no handlers
these rhymes are feeling ripe
are you enjoying your preview
please like and subscribe

* Edited at 12.12.2022, 1:34 PM ET *

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baremaras
baremaras
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12.12.2022 | 2:02 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 500 Points   |   Tied for 1999th

Morozov vs. Newson
Journey Newson, TKO, R3
this fight truly is the definition of a 50/50 (going to be seeing a lot of those on this card). for anyone looking to bet on this fight, I'm not going to baby you and tell you what to do but I'm going to go right ahead and let you know that personally, I will NOT be betting on this fight. tapology odds on this fight are also a massive joke btw


starting off with journey newson, for some reason I'm reading a lot of hate in this thread about how he sucks and how this fight is a set up. while I do not think he's a good fighter, he certainly isn't bad and in my opinion is pretty much what the average UFC fighter should look like.

journey newson started off as a bjj player who's progressively fallen in love more and more with his striking and more specifically with the power he holds in his hands. he's very athletic, explosive, manages range well, preserves his energy at an acceptable level and doesn't have terrible fight IQ. on a more technical note, newson on a skill basis level has great kicks and throws them in large variety and output. spinning kicks, body kicks, kicks to the high, calf kicks, high kicks - you name them he can throw them. if I had to pick a sequence as his signature move, I'd prolly say it's the spinning back fist leading into the spinning hook kick in a constant fluid movement. another thing he does really well is faking the way he's going to go with his kicks, specifically faking the low kick and going upstairs instead. his kicking game can be described as an endless loop of using his kicks towards one direction with the ultimate goal of said kicks setting up future kicks that will be going towards the opposite direction (going downstairs as a bait to eventually end up going upstairs or the inverse, rinse and repeat). noting this as a general mma thing, the high kicks being used as bait to set up the low kicks as a concept is very interesting, the most noticable implementation of it I've seen is probably Timur Valiev doing it against Trevin Jones (used the question mark kick to set up his lower kicks, usually fighters do the opposite). Newson also has OK-ish takedowns and OK-ish backtaking but the top control isn't really there. lastly, for a 135'er he his shots are pretty powerful and he throws them with the intention of actually hurting his opponents.

those are pretty much the things he does well. when it comes to the things he doesn't do well, his biggest error has to be his striking defense. he's got a massive right hand that he likes to throw (the left is also there but he prefers his right hand over his left hand for his power shots pretty noticacbly) but loads up on it unreasonably much, leaving himself open for the counter right from his opponent by dropping his left hand guard (which is a strike that morozov can definitely time correctly and accurately throw). he has no jab to set up his attacks and if you took away his kicks, all you would be left with is a brawler with power who leaves his chin open to counters. another dent on his striking defense is the fact that if you really crowd him and pressure him against the fence, he doesn't have the footwork and striking awareness to pivot and circle out of situations that could be bad for him so he basically does the worst thing a fighter can do, he turns his back and runs away. adding on, for someone who's so reliant on his kicks and has structured his entire stand up game around kicks, he really isn't THAT fast with them. his kicking technique is there but when you see him spinning looking to land a spinning hook kick for example, he doesn't spin as fast as you would expect someone who has built their entire standup game on kicks would.



sergey morozov is a good fighter but, in my opinion, a tad bit overrated and from what it seems like such is the case on tapology as well. he's good in most areas of fighting but doesn't really massively excel in any categories. he has good boxing with decent boxing defense, good wrestling but a disappointing submission game and suspect submission defense, his chin is questionable (for how questionable his chin is though, I'd say he's a pretty tough dude) and I also think his style of fighting isn't fully and completely supported by his cardio either (khalid taha looked like the way fresher dude in the 3rd round compared to morozov). some of the things he likes to do, he's very comfortable fighting on his backfoot and would much prefer beating you from a distance on the feet. he has really good footwork moving backwards but I'd say his footwork is a bit lacking when it comes to moving forward. while he doesn't at first glance seem like a very aggressive striker, once he tags you with a decent shot he will move forward and search for the finishing sequence. he's very happy to engage in grappling exchanges, has crisp takedowns and does work up against the cage. on a more technical note, he posseses a super accurate check left hook (if he's got a signature move, it's probably the check left hook) that he likes landing as he's moving backwards on opponents charging in at him but doesn't have the appropriate footwork to be able to pull off what we call shifting in boxing (ketchel shift, dempsey double shift etc) in order to get to his left hook as he's moving forward. additionally, he's got a picture perfect counter right that might end up proving itself very valuable in this matchup (like I mentioned, newson overloads when throwing his right hand leaving himself open for the counter right). when it comes to his wrestling and overall grappling, he has really good takedowns and is incredibly smart when it comes to actually completing them. he's very quick to shoot for the single and is elite when it comes to abandoning the single at the right time and quickly transitioning to either a double leg or a body lock, two things that he knows how to take advantage of very well (his bodylock specifically is incredibly powerful and a very high percentage technique he uses to secure the takedown). once he manages to get the fight to the ground, he doesn't settle for just staying in full guard and instantly looks to get into half guard. he loves staying in half guard and working from there with the main goal of wearing his opponent down instead of becoming aggressive and looking to pass guard (this can be both a good and a bad thing - half guard offers openings to submission threats like the kimura but obviously isn't scored nearly as dominantly on the scorecards as passing guard is).

time to get into the not so good parts of his game. morozov simply does not look to finish fights. both his striking and his ground game can be described by a lack of urgency which in turn simply gives his opponents more time and more opportunities to test his cardio further and potentially steal rounds off of him. this is especially true for his grappling, it's insane for someone who has wrestling as good as he does to be so content with controlling and wearing down someone instead of hunting for submissions (that's also evident by the fact that he only has 3 submission wins across 23 professional fights and by the fact that he has had 0 deep submission attempts during 15+ minutes of control time across his 4 UFC fights). on top of that, his submission defense is also suspect, specifically when it comes to protecting his neck and his legs from leg locks. moving on to the technical flaws in his striking game, his footwork moving forwards isn't as good as his footwork moving backwards, meaning he's forced to move waaaaaay more than the opponent stalking him (taxing on his cardio), he has to give up octagon control, he can't get his combinations off moving forward as easily and his circling after a while becomes predictable (the way he circles might prove to be super important in this matchup). he's proved to be prone to getting tagged with massive overhand rights and his chin really can't take any more of those. he doesn't know how to defend any type of leg kicks (khalid taha had success with both the outside low kick and the inside kick to the thigh and while morozov looked unable to defend them he toughed it out and didn't show any reaction to the pain he must have been feeling). on top of that, he also struggles to successfully defend against high kicks as well, with umar nurmagomedov being able to almost-land on him with his kicks at will and eventually cracking him with a huge one. lastly, his body is wide open to shots and with newson potentially being the smaller fighter it wouldnt totally surprise me to see him land on morozov's body out in the open or off of the clinch break (not VERY likely though because like I mentioned, newson's hands arent very good).



finally time for my prediction on this fight which, you guessed it, i'm not going to give a concrete one because of how 50/50 this matchup is (i might leave my tapology pick as newson KO/TKO for fun and to go against the tapology wave, but in no way am I taking a concrete stance in favor of this outcome). all I'm going to say is that this is a scary stylistic matchup for morozov. this is the part where morozov's circling becomes so important like I mentioned, he tends to get predictable by mainly circling to his left side (newson's right hand side) so with everything that I've mentioned combined, it wouldn't be surprising at all if newson cracks him with a massive overhand right or a well timed well set up high kick and morozov's chin simply might not hold up. on the other hand though, it's just as likely that morozov will utilize his superior wrestling coupled with his larger size and end up winning a decision with some minor bumps along the way (note: like I said newson started off as a bjj player so this won't be incredibly easy).



* Edited at 12.12.2022, 2:04 PM ET *

DrChaotic
DrChaotic
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12.12.2022 | 2:03 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 6 Perfect, 615 Points   |   Tied for 569th

God ******* damn! Bro wrote the Bible on this one 😂 You weren't kidding when you said you were gonna do research 
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TARTARA
TARTARA
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12.12.2022 | 2:17 PM ET

Predictions: 4 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 275 Points   |   Tied for 3759th

@SSAPE

Put Your Head Out Of The Gutter Mate, you having brain issues - damages after all these tape studies... ! With all these tape studies you should have 300 % picking percentage, but in reality you are a low level picker who is cherry picking a few events here and there...  L☻L ... ! 

"KURZHAAR - Tomorrow Never Comes Until It's Too Late"

gliese58i
gliese58i
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12.12.2022 | 2:17 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 2029th

Damir Ismagulov have built-in head movement. Not fair for his opponents.

"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison

baremaras
baremaras
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12.12.2022 | 2:23 PM ET

tartara

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 500 Points   |   Tied for 1999th

I've picked on basically every single ufc fight since I created my account 


are you jealous because I actually study the fights I pick on?

are you jealous because my ufc pick rate % is over 70% while yours is below 60%? 

are you jealous because i'm infinitely smarter than you and your entire family combined?

are you jealous because i'm a 6'4 ft tall, 220 pounds of pure muscle freak of nature man?

are you jealous because I make a million times more money than you'll ever even dream of in your life?

on every single facet and level of life, I stomp you
ImPrisonMike666
ImPrisonMike666
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12.12.2022 | 2:25 PM ET

and there it is


if this were kickboxing
nonsense essay means we hit button
straight facts Mike never fronting
who is up next?

* Edited at 12.12.2022, 2:31 PM ET *

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gliese58i
gliese58i
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12.12.2022 | 2:32 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 2029th

One thing I like with the russian corners that a lot of corners don't do is they're all over their fighter from the first second of a round break. Ice everywhere, massaging arms, massaging legs, fanning them with a towel you name it. No moron trying to immediately verbalize his master thesis on striking to a concussed fighter with a second cornerman lackadaisically rubbing the ice in a random spot confused as to what the purpose of applying ice is supposed to be.

"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison

paulopasta
paulopasta

12.12.2022 | 2:47 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 500 Points   |   Tied for 1896th

Caceres vs. Erosa
Julian Erosa, DEC
Erosa has shown himself to be a very solid 45er and I don’t think Caceres has the skill set to stop him

Brundage vs. Oleksiejczuk
Michał Oleksiejczuk, TKO, R1
Good fight here but Michal is going to do some damage early on and Brundage won’t be able to recover

Vlismas vs. McKenna
Cheyanne Vlismas, DEC
I think Cheyanne should be good enough in the takedown defense to keep it on the feet were she has a clear advantage

Matthews vs. Semelsberger
Jake Matthews, DEC
Matthews was very impressive in his last fight. Unfortunately for Semelsberger I think it’s gonna be another tough L

Nurmagomedov vs. Kakhramonov
Said Nurmagomedov, TKO, R3
I think if Said can contain Kakhramonovs wrestling he should win on the feet with his very diverse skill set

Maheshate vs. García
Maheshate, DEC
Tough fight to call. I’ll take the hyped guy

Battle vs. Fakhretdinov
Bryan Battle, DEC
Battle has shown very good improvement lately. It’s either gonna go one of 2 ways. Rinat wrestling to a UD or battle defending takedowns and winning on the feet. I’ll take Battle there

Dvořák vs. Kape
Manel Kape, TKO, R2
Great fight, I think Manel is better at this point and will find the knockout at some point

Morozov vs. Newson
Sergey Morozov, TKO, R2
I think Morozov is better everywhere

TARTARA
TARTARA
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12.12.2022 | 2:51 PM ET

Predictions: 4 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 275 Points   |   Tied for 3759th

@SSAPE

Thats a good one.. L☻L !

Jealous of what.. !? A stupid @ss acaunt whos olny picking UFC events when his watching tape all week... L☻L !

Go and Pick ⛏ Up Truck all the fights on Tapology (  2,755 pending ) and then come back talk to me when your picking percentage will go below to 40%... ! You suppose to be good with numbers.... you should do your studies before even talk to me... L☻L !

"KURZHAAR - Tomorrow Never Comes Until It's Too Late"

Lisac
Lisac
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12.12.2022 | 2:55 PM ET

@Rah

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 475 Points   |   Tied for 2216th

I wouldn't call Till an overblown welterweight, he's definitely got the frame and size for middleweight, his issue (besides the obvious grappling) is him being so one dimensional, left straight, left step in elbow, left uppercut, lead hook, jab.. aaaaand that's about it from Mr. Till.
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