UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cuțelaba

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

Went 10/12 in Bellator for another amazing performance. If Corey the Bum Anderson did not think he was Anderson Silva reborn instead of being a wrestler, and Faraldo did not work at the reception at ATT and actually trained grappling there I would be perfect.

Never mind,  UFC is the main one. Already cashed 5 parlays. 10 remaining. Time for a perfect score here on this card.

I only hope my switching to Spivak does not bite me in the ass because I truly believed Lewis would win until other outside factors made me switch my pick. Every other pick I am likely to get correct.

Acosta should win. Chase is not good and I think Acosta will actually have the faster hands. Chase was losing R3 to Vanderaa before he clipped him behind the ear and I think Acosta is a better boxer. That said neither are very good and I do take the point about the recent leg damage. 

I think the fight to start round 2 or over 1.5 are very interesting bets. I think this could even go to decision and Chase by decision is crazy odds. Could definitely happen. I rarely do single bets but I might parlay a sprinkle on Chase decision with Madellina by KO

Salikhov vs. Fialho
Andre Fialho, TKO, R2
I think Fialho gets back on track with a KO win.

Of course Waldo will win. There's no doubt about that.

Only thing I didn't like about Salsa boy is that he was being calm in Venderaa's fight like he's Gane or something. Maybe because that was his first UFC fight, I don't know. I mean he can be much more explosive and get KO finnishes real easy. That's what I am expecting in this fight.

I was thinking of sprinkling some on chase Dec but I think I’ll stay away. Fight start round 2 is very soild I might use that one in a parlay. I think imma take costa on tap, I’ll post All my predictions soon. I think if this goes to the card chase could take it just with having higher output, but is it really worth the risk?

* Edited at 11.19.2022, 2:32 AM ET *

Probably, but it could be a lot closer then expected 

Silva- 
I think Silva is very live for a submission here,
My play- Either Silva ML or Silva submission 
Hiestand- 
hiestand has the wrestling/ground advantage Garcia has the striking advantage, personally I think Brady takes         this with his pace and grimy style to a primary boxer but this fight could go either way 
My play- Avoiding
Olivera-
I think this is another 50/50 fight for me but I think Olivera sparks her in the first, she starts quick
My play- Avoiding ( might sprinkle Olivera ko)
Turcios-
Tbh another fight that could go either way, I think turcios takes this out on the cards with the higher output we will see 
My play- Avoiding 
Johns
I think johns controls this fight from start to end, but could be closer then we think 
My play- Avoiding (might play johns to win in round 3/Dec)
Maia
I’m going to take a risk on Maia here I think the style match up plays in her favour, could find a submission 
My play- Maia ML, if you want to get risky with it Maia Submission 
Johnson
I think Johnson is super soild everywhere, might put the division on notice but zhalgas is super tuff and quite underrated so I can see this going to the cards but I think Johnson finds a KO
My play- Johnson ML, Johnson TKO
Maddalena-
I think Maddalena is so good been watching him when he was in eternal, I think he finds the finish early, the guy has some serious pop
My play- JDM TKO, JDM round 1 or 2
Fialho-
I think Fialho finds the finish early, the guy has some serious power and boxing skills, good fight. If salikhov wins I wouldn’t be surprised, but I think it will be Fialho’s Night
My play-
Fialho, Fialho TKO
Acosta-
50/50 with this fight- rule number one don’t bet on bad fighters 
My Play- Avoid 
Kennedy-
Yep that’s what I’m thinking Kennedy submission,I think Kennedy grappling has improved so much, last fight he was attacking gulitones, chokes and seem to know how to transition on the ground. I think Kennedy reverses Ion in a grappling exchange, gets on top and finds his back. Just have a weird feeling about this one. But honestly probably finds the TKO finish
My Play- Kennedy to win r2/r3, Kennedy TKO, sprinkled Kennedy Sub 
Lewis-
Despite what I’ve heard with Lewis not coming in 100%, I’m going to stay with him here, he has an excellent track record at apex 8-0 and great track record against wrestlers. He also has great tools like uppercuts and knees, two very good counters when versing wrestlers. 
My play- Lewis, Lewis TKO 

Acosta seems pretty bad from what I've seen but we'll see. Sherman is completely unreliable. I wouldn't bet this one but if you want to bet a side pick Sherman, too much edge to go the other way even though he'll probably lose. At least he has ok leg kicks which Acosta had no answer for in his debut.

@INSHAALLAH,yeah man it gets a lot easier to make money when you have Bellator and UFC going on at the same time.  Bellator is seriously a moneymaker.  There's a reason most of the American books don't have finish props for the undercard Bellator fights.  The first few fights are usually mismatches and the favorites usually win by a finish.  Caesars is probably the only regulated book I've seen where you can bet finish props on Bellator undercards.  I also think BetWay has it as well but I haven't checked there in a while.

But yeah man, I wish you continued success.  

* Edited at 11.19.2022, 6:05 AM ET *

Please don't bother me again, thanks !

Curious what do you guys think is the best way to play Jack Della tmr?

Jack by KO/TKO or DQ at -180
Jack in Rd 1 at +145
Jack in Rd 1 by Ko/TKO or DQ at +185
Jack ITD at -245

I'm usually pretty bad at betting when & how they win but jack in rd 1 by ko/tko seems like a good bet. Roberts is so chinny & it'll be mostly a stand up fight so there won't be much clock burning grappling 

Mate, I think I'm with you on the Kennedy by sub pick. He was really trying to sub Roberson and I can see him doing the exact same thing with Cutelaba. If he doesn't find the sub, he'll probably land some nasty gnp to finish the fight. 

Cutelaba back to back losses by sub would be great to see lol