Topic: UFC Fight Night

UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo

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Tapology
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06.30.2022 | 3:22 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC Fight Night
Bout   Info
Alexa Grasso   defeats   Viviane Araujo   via Decision, Unanimous   5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page
Jonathan Martinez   defeats   Cub Swanson   via KO/TKO, Leg Kicks   4:19 Round 2 of 3, 9:19 Total Bout Page
Duško Todorović   defeats   Jordan Wright   via KO/TKO, Ground and Pound   3:12 Round 2 of 3, 8:12 Total Bout Page
Raphael Assunção   defeats   Victor Henry   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Alonzo Menifield   defeats   Misha Cirkunov   via KO/TKO, Hooks   1:28 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Mana Martinez   defeats   Brandon Davis   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Jacob Malkoun   defeats   Nick Maximov   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Joanderson Brito   defeats   Lucas Alexander   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   2:02 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Piera Rodriguez   defeats   Sam Hughes   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Tatsuro Taira   defeats   CJ Vergara   via Submission, Armbar   4:19 Round 2 of 3, 9:19 Total Bout Page
Pete Rodriguez   defeats   Mike Jackson   via KO/TKO, Knee   1:33 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page

Responses Page 13

Rah123
Rah123
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10.04.2022 | 4:47 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 10 Winners, 6 Perfect, 650 Points   |   Tied for 744th

Lol the only bag you and Colins boy over here get is a bag of Ls. Maybe a bag of ***** as well 🍆

What do you do? Parlay 50k to win $500?  What a G 🤦

And lol, Colins boy. So you work for the bookies? Thanks for letting us know. I will make sure to come to you and Gianni for betting advice 😂

* Edited at 10.04.2022, 4:48 AM ET *

"Positivity is a positive"

Rah123
Rah123
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10.04.2022 | 4:52 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 10 Winners, 6 Perfect, 650 Points   |   Tied for 744th

L'Andrew. Let me predict your play for this card

10K on Pete Rodriguez. Asked your mum to get a loan for you because you have lost all your money and have no credit.

What an amazing play. Genius. 👏 👏 👏 

* Edited at 10.04.2022, 4:52 AM ET *

"Positivity is a positive"

ccollins44
ccollins44
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10.04.2022 | 4:53 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 585 Points   |   Tied for 1497th

If you haven't realized that betting parlays is exactly what the books want you to do and that they are sucker bets then you are a lost cause at this point lmao.  And once again.  Higher pick percentage lol.  Both overall and in just the UFC

* Edited at 10.04.2022, 4:55 AM ET *

"Styles make fights"

Daebak
Daebak
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10.04.2022 | 5:02 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 11 Winners, 4 Perfect, 605 Points   |   Tied for 1210th

Suckers bet if you suck at betting. Hedge against minimum return 🤌
Andrew1047
Andrew1047
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10.04.2022 | 5:05 AM ET

Predictions: 3 of 4 Winners, 2 Perfect, 250 Points   |   Tied for 3455th

I'm actually going P. Rodriguez + Tairo, solid lock, throw away the key 🔒💰

That one's free, next time I'm taking a commission. 

* Edited at 10.04.2022, 8:36 AM ET *

This user is suspended from posting until 1 year, 7 months, 1 week, 1 day, 7 hours, and 34 minutes from now.
Daebak
Daebak
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10.04.2022 | 5:30 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 11 Winners, 4 Perfect, 605 Points   |   Tied for 1210th

If you haven't parlayed up Martinez and Rodriguez you're an amateur. Zip it, lock it, put it in your pocket 🤫
Rah123
Rah123
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10.04.2022 | 5:47 AM ET

CColins

Predictions: 8 of 10 Winners, 6 Perfect, 650 Points   |   Tied for 744th

Except you are wrong. You are telling us exactly what loses people money like any Good Bookies Boy would. Good job pleasing your corporate masters. Lol.

This whole concept of "parlays losing money" and that "Vegas was built on parlays" and "that's what the bookies want you to do"... who do you think puts that narrative out there? Good bookie boys like you!

You are dead wrong. Parlays are 100% the way to make money. But of course bookies like you don't really want people to know that. And they set trap lines to be parlayed like the stupid lines L'Andrew plays for his Ls. 

Personally I play lot's of parlays every week. From 20 - 50 and I've made stacks of cash. A parlay crashes? No problem. 30 more left. If 1 hits that's my money back at least. 

Another bookie false narrative is to "bet value" not who you think will win and "feel better holding the dog ticket when it goes to split decision". All nonsense. A "L" is a "L" and a losing bet is a losing bet whether you had dog odds or not. Ask Andrew, he knows all about Ls. Lol.

I guarantee that all those fools talking about betting "value" just for the sake of the number lose over time. That's how the books really make their money. Not from parlays. Look at Oddsbot. Picks only favourites and has the best pick rate on Tapology. You guys ate just repeating the same broken record that you have just heard other people say. And don't even realise that it's bookies like CColins who set the lines and set these narratives. You think you are smart taking "Value" bets? Who sets the "Value" lines. Think about that. 

Anyway, last person I am going to take advice from is someone who works for the books like this fool.

"Positivity is a positive"

Rah123
Rah123
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10.04.2022 | 5:51 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 10 Winners, 6 Perfect, 650 Points   |   Tied for 744th

Difference between me and you is I tell it how it is. And Bookie Boys like you dont like it. Go away now and lick Giannis boots

* Edited at 10.04.2022, 5:54 AM ET *

"Positivity is a positive"

Rah123
Rah123
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10.04.2022 | 5:53 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 10 Winners, 6 Perfect, 650 Points   |   Tied for 744th

L'Andrew  what's your commission for an L?

"Positivity is a positive"

Andrew1047
Andrew1047
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10.04.2022 | 6:14 AM ET

Predictions: 3 of 4 Winners, 2 Perfect, 250 Points   |   Tied for 3455th

Rah going to be punching the air next weekend when another of his 8 leg underdog parlays fail on the first leg 😂. 

Let the big boys handle the parlays, you should probably stick to the lottery or mabye scratch cards? 

* Edited at 10.04.2022, 6:15 AM ET *

This user is suspended from posting until 1 year, 7 months, 1 week, 1 day, 7 hours, and 34 minutes from now.
Rah123
Rah123
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10.04.2022 | 6:36 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 10 Winners, 6 Perfect, 650 Points   |   Tied for 744th

LOL L'Andrew you clown. Big boy parlays. Hahaha don't make me laugh. 

Like your stunning value parlay of Inaba and Gibson to go minus 500. 😂😂😂😂

You utter 🤡

"Positivity is a positive"

Andrew1047
Andrew1047
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10.04.2022 | 6:43 AM ET

Predictions: 3 of 4 Winners, 2 Perfect, 250 Points   |   Tied for 3455th

With this parlay win, plus my amazing prediction of Bo Nickal winning last week I'll be up over 1k for the month while you chase pipe dream parlays and trying to outsmart the bookies.

Have fun with that. 

If you need some money for insta noodles to feed yourself this month I'm always here. 
This user is suspended from posting until 1 year, 7 months, 1 week, 1 day, 7 hours, and 34 minutes from now.
ccollins44
ccollins44
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10.04.2022 | 6:46 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 585 Points   |   Tied for 1497th

Yes.  Totally.  You got it all figured out there bud.  Not like I was telling people parlays are for suckers before I worked for the books or anything.  Not like professional handicapper's don't say that parlays are for suckers or anything.  There is a reason all the advertising the books do through commercials and social media is parlay based. There is a reason almost every promotion all the major books offer are parlay related.  They want people to come and bet parlays.  Why would almost every promotion they offer be parlay based if it wasn't to their benefit.  But sure.  The guy who also bets is totally sucking up to the bookies.  I work as a trader,  My whole department laughs at people like you.  None of us root for the casino, we root for the players.  We don't do the job to impress some higher up, we do it because it's enjoyable and we get to be around sports all day long.  I could give two ****s about the casino and how much money they make especially cuz I gamble too.  People who brag about their parlays that never actually win and claim they know so much yet constantly are in the red to the book.  There's a reason that myself and everyone else who has worked in the business stays as far away from parlays as possible.  The math alone shows they are terrible bets.  Odds are already inflated to the house's favor but every leg you add on to that parlay increases the house edge exponentially.  You lose value with every leg you add.  The only kind of parlay that's even kind of ok are 3 leggers cuz they have the highest EVs out there when it comes to parlays (assuming 10/11 odds across all legs)  Anything else is just hemorrhaging money to the casino.  

Oh and PS.  If you really knew how the bookies worked then you'd realize that if parlays were how you made money, they wouldn't exist because Vegas wouldn't be giving you a "way to make money"

* Edited at 10.04.2022, 6:53 AM ET *

"Styles make fights"

Rah123
Rah123
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10.04.2022 | 8:35 AM ET

Ccolins

Predictions: 8 of 10 Winners, 6 Perfect, 650 Points   |   Tied for 744th

Lol ok Bookie Boy. I believe you!

"Positivity is a positive"

Rah123
Rah123
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10.04.2022 | 8:39 AM ET

L'Andrew

Predictions: 8 of 10 Winners, 6 Perfect, 650 Points   |   Tied for 744th

Awwwww. How cute. Little man made 1K with his little teeny bets. Wowwweee. What a lot of money liddle manniiee. Awww so proud of making so much chump change 🤣
Awww don't be sad... i know you've lost much more recently. But wow... a whole 1K???? Wow big money!
LOL! 🤣

What's the best parlay you have ever hit? Wait... let me guess... Bo Nikal combined with Sodiq Yusuf for minus two thousand? 🤣🤣🤣

* Edited at 10.04.2022, 8:46 AM ET *

"Positivity is a positive"

ccollins44
ccollins44
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10.04.2022 | 8:54 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 585 Points   |   Tied for 1497th

You act like I’m the one who runs the book lol.  

"Styles make fights"

Andrew1047
Andrew1047
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10.04.2022 | 9:03 AM ET

Predictions: 3 of 4 Winners, 2 Perfect, 250 Points   |   Tied for 3455th

I'm up 6k this year so far while you're are failing week in, week out. 

Get better. 

And yes I did have yusuff moneyline too, he was a great addition to my parlay. 

* Edited at 10.04.2022, 9:06 AM ET *

This user is suspended from posting until 1 year, 7 months, 1 week, 1 day, 7 hours, and 34 minutes from now.
Andrew1047
Andrew1047
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10.04.2022 | 9:05 AM ET

Predictions: 3 of 4 Winners, 2 Perfect, 250 Points   |   Tied for 3455th

Let me help you.

You are losing because your ego is making you do these ridiculous + odds to feel smarter. Keep it simple. Make profit. 

* Edited at 10.04.2022, 10:45 AM ET *

This user is suspended from posting until 1 year, 7 months, 1 week, 1 day, 7 hours, and 34 minutes from now.
kushycake
kushycake
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10.04.2022 | 9:14 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 2425th

I don't really get a point of this co-main, I mean fighters who are there. Take any other from main-card and put it there it will be better for co-main.
danromanick
danromanick
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10.04.2022 | 9:58 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 11 Winners, 6 Perfect, 730 Points   |   Tied for 130th

I think they are expecting Menifield to knock out Cirkunov. My guess is that they are not happy with how he got submitted by Turman and want to send his bags packing in a spectacular fashion 

Page 13


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