Topic: Mir vs. Nelson

Mir vs. Nelson Predictions

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Oddsbot
Oddsbot
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01.14.2011 | 1:11 PM ET

This is the official prediction commentary thread for Mir vs. Nelson. Let's see what you've got.

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Responses

DaiKaiju Wicked
DaiKaiju Wicked
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01.14.2011 | 1:11 PM ET

Prediction: wrong Nelson   wrong KO/TKO   wrong Round 3  

Country by having better cardio....yea, I said it.

"I was born as a catholic but the nuns turned me. I was born as a pacifist but the guns turned me. I was born to be a beautiful man, but the ugliness is powerful, I do what I can."

mrgreen6972
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01.14.2011 | 3:24 PM ET

Prediction: wrong Nelson   wrong Decision  

Hopefully Mir will trade with Big Country.

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SlackBrian
SlackBrian
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01.14.2011 | 4:28 PM ET

Prediction: wrong Nelson   wrong KO/TKO   wrong Round 3  

I don't think Mir will have a choice.  His takedowns have never been strong, and he may not even want to go to the ground with Nelson.  Nelson's a high level blackbelt himself, and has the added advantage of the Moon Belly.  While it doesn't really mean anything today, Nelson did outpoint Mir in a grappling contest years ago, so it should at least be competitive on the ground.

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thiagosilva9794
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01.14.2011 | 11:32 PM ET

Prediction: correct Mir   correct Decision  

wow big country the favourite >? mir is def gona win .... & not one person has picked a submission in this fight ? haha .... there bjj will prob cancel each other out & i think mir is a better striker tbh .... COME ON MIR!!!

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Gooseman95
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01.15.2011 | 10:35 AM ET

Prediction: correct Mir   correct Decision  


This is a tough fight to pick, Mir displayed poor takedown ability in his last fight and obviously big country will be just as tough if not tougher to take down than Cro Cop, plus even if Mir gets the fight to the mat Nelson still will have an advantage. Mir really has no choice but to strike with nelson, and i think that Mir is fast enough and has good enough technique to win this fight on the feet. Mir is generally a smart fighter so I think he will find a way to win this fight.
jersey0525
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01.15.2011 | 11:59 AM ET

Prediction: wrong Nelson   wrong KO/TKO   wrong Round 2  

this WILL be laughed at by virtually all of yall, but i believe big country will SUBMIT mir!!! i say that because nelson can takedown mir, and pass his guard...from there, nelson is harder to get off u then lesnar, and we know how that ended for mir....anyway, i see mir getting caught in an armbar/kimura and tapping

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thiagosilva9794
thiagosilva9794
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01.15.2011 | 1:54 PM ET

Prediction: correct Mir   correct Decision  

hahahahahahahahahahha....

"I really feel like I'm the most dangerous guy out there" BJ Penn........... UFC on Fox 2 event winner :)

yankees1
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01.15.2011 | 1:57 PM ET

Prediction: correct Mir   correct Decision  

giggle...

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jeremy
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01.15.2011 | 2:05 PM ET

Prediction: wrong Nelson   wrong Decision  

unlikely it ends that way @jersey but the part i agree with is if big country gets on top of you, you might not get him back off again.  that black belt ain't just for keeping his pants up.  well, actually yeah maybe it is mostly for keeping his pants up.  but with a center of gravity like his he can crucifix and pound out just about anybody the way he did to kimbo.

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yankees1
yankees1
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01.15.2011 | 2:22 PM ET

Prediction: correct Mir   correct Decision  

@Jeremy I know it was just an example but I have to point out Frank Mir has a black belt in BJJ while Kimbo was just a youtube sensation that was given with no real MMA training until his early 30's; so you can't compare a UFC champ with a backyard brawler.

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Orbit
Orbit
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01.15.2011 | 2:27 PM ET

Mir would need to get tired as crap and beat up before he got subbed like that.  He is no joke with his grappling. But I guess he could get tired as crap and beat up, so ok.
jeremy
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01.15.2011 | 2:29 PM ET

Prediction: wrong Nelson   wrong Decision  

that's fair @yankees and like you said i was just making the point that big country is hard to get off of you.  the referee standup in nelson vs. arlovski is still one of the worst i've seen - arlovski showed no ability to get out from under big country either. arlovski is no mir on the ground but he's experienced in sambo and certainly better than kimbo.

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minotauro11
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01.15.2011 | 3:40 PM ET

Prediction: correct Mir   correct Decision  

Big Country is definitely hard to get off you, and Mir knows that first hand. Nelson beat Mir in a grappling match IIRC, but he didn't submit him. I think if this fight hits the floor Nelson will be on top, but I don't think he'll submit or finish Mir.

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Franklin880088
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01.16.2011 | 2:56 PM ET

Prediction: wrong Nelson   wrong KO/TKO   wrong Round 2  

Yankee Roy completely dominated Mir in grappling match before. Roy been a black belt much longer then Mir and likely still posses a significant edge in grappling

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yankees1
yankees1
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01.16.2011 | 3:24 PM ET

Prediction: correct Mir   correct Decision  

You got me there @franklin880088 but at least we can agree this will be a fight... right?

"Jones: I'm sure Shogun poops like I poop. "

Franklin880088
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01.16.2011 | 10:04 PM ET

Prediction: wrong Nelson   wrong KO/TKO   wrong Round 2  

agreed. I think Mir might pull this off decision, using superior stand up. However Roy could win this via TKO.

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skelliher
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01.17.2011 | 11:58 AM ET

Prediction: correct Mir   wrong KO/TKO   wrong Round 3  

Should be entertaining. I think the safe money bet is Mir, but I wouldn't be surprised to see a Split Decision in this one.

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Piercerdan
Piercerdan
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01.17.2011 | 12:53 PM ET

Prediction: correct Mir   correct Decision  

I say mir.  Hes bigger, faster, and better at everything.  Im hoping for a good fight.  I really like both guys but ive been a mir fan longer and i think mir needs the win more than nelson.
At the same time roy taking this wouldnt be a surprise, i just dont think its likely.

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bklettke
bklettke
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01.18.2011 | 3:25 AM ET

Prediction: correct Mir   correct Decision  

I think Mir takes this one. He has more technical striking and i hope he uses his leg kicks early to take some power out of Big Country's big right hand. Unless Roy takes it to the ground in top control, i don't see him winning. I wish Mir would've kept some size though, he doesn't need to weight 280, but i think he looked better fighting with some muscles around 260.
Piercerdan
Piercerdan
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01.18.2011 | 6:55 AM ET

Prediction: correct Mir   correct Decision  

@bklettke, Exactly right frank in the 255-260 range should be perfect.  When he came out for kongo.
He maintains speed, gains tons of power, and his stamina got a lot better!! Its a triple win for him.  
As for the roy on top, roy has decent top game and is heavy, but thats underrating franks bottom game which is pretty much what made him a champion and win the fights where he was an underdog.

"Fact: knowledge or info based on real occurrences, opinion: a belief held with confidence not substantiated by proof."


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