UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

I don't think you can diss Parision gas tank too hard, He lands 79 sig strikes against Martinez, and 114 against Porter, That pretty good volume for a heavyweight

Alan Baudot most significant stikes is 60 significant stikes in the UFC

I'm taking Baudot to knock him out, But I'm not confendent on either side

Nurmagomedov vs. Maness
Nate Maness, TKO, R2
Hell this isn't for money right? And im not saying that because I don't trust in my decision. I'm saying that because 91 % for Umar, the money line, most people are definitely going with Umar for multiple reasons. But if Nate comes out even better then before (I had that girl Silva getting beat by Jasmine J the other day and she came out striking like nobody knew she could) hes had 9 months off, ring rust may be a factor, or maybe not? I'm most definitely maybe probably gonna be wrong... but if the ones who actually know Nate (not Diaz) like I do, they'd know what I'm saying. Hell I may go throw a little cash at this... moving on.

Chris Curtis coming off 2 wins time to fade him! RODOLPHO VIERIA at +$ is a gift. I know Curtis has looked good but I watched him fight Kenny Roberson and look absolutely horrific.  Viera by sub or GNP 

Jin u Fries-
Rodopho Viagra- 

Straight bets and parlay. Cash it or fade it

Moisés vs. Giagos
Thiago Moisés, DEC
I think Moises is better on the ground then Giagos period. I think Giagos has the better hands. So I think the gameplan is gonna be to take it to the ground and I do think he succeeds.

This card is going to be a problem man. I can see at least 7 fights going to the score cards. And it's in Vegas.

The Texas card only had about 4 fights go to the score cards and at least 3 of those 4 were the wrong decisions.

And Texas, Vegas, Florida even as far as Ireland or Russia, the same ****roach judges turn up week after week after week. I think it has nothing to do with the State Athletic Comissions. I think these morons have license to judge fights anywhere, and the promotions keep giving them events again and again. I seem to remember that worm Sal turning up like a rash in Ireland as well. (Btw just doing a google search for Sal D'Amato is hillarious, just check out what comes up!)

The way I see it if there are a lot of decisions this time (as there usually are at the Apex) you might as well flip a coin on the result. I have never beleived in the value of just picking a dog because of the odds but now I am a believer in doing that if you are betting. You can study tape, do analysis, pick the right fighter (who often has favourite odds) and then it goes to a split decision with the clown parade giving the fight to the fighter who clearly lost. 

And a lot of the people on here use the "rules of MMA ********" to justify decisions when it goes the way of the person they have picked. But it's pretty clear the judges have no idea about the "rules of MMA" or more likely do not care and do not give the rules any weight at all. Any one who thinks otherwise, please explain how R4 was given to Josh Emmett last week? I'll wait... 


One week they score damage, the next week they score control, the week after they score activity and volume and don't care about damage or whether any of the strikes are actually landing, then another week they score strikes that are "significant", whatever that means. These fools have no idea what they are doing and at the very least you would want consistency in their decisions, even if it is the wrong decision. There is none, so it's impossible to predict what they will do, how they will score, or who they will give the fight to even when its clear to 99% of the rest of the world. 3 clowns sit in judgement of MMA week after week and I am not giving them any more of my money.

Sorry for the rant, but I meant to say that the Ulberg vs Tafon fight will likely go the distance. And if it does there is no point really picking who is likely to win. It doesn't matter because the judges will decide who won and it will be the person who actually lost. 

* Edited at 06.20.2022, 1:31 AM ET *

You should bet Rodolfo R1 Sub. Its gonna be a good number

Duck I hear what you are saying, but he will still throw the same amount of strikes and be gassed by R2 is what I am trying to say. And I think Badot could take over if that happens. Depends on how much you trust Badot. Which is a worrying thought lol

* Edited at 06.20.2022, 1:37 AM ET *

Parisian vs. Baudot
Josh Parisian, TKO, R1
I'm actually gonna go with Josh here and quick. Alan hasn't had a KO in forever and his ground game is almost non-existent being someone that trains in one of the same gyms as Ciryl Gane. I think Josh takes him down, hits some ground and pound, goodnight Alan Baudot.

Magny vs. Rakhmonov
Neil Magny, DEC
I guess I'm gonna pick half the underdogs this fight. Shankat has fought basically nobodies so far in my opinion. Yes he's special, but so is Neal. And we've seen that he can scrap, and it's not like he doesn't know what he's doing with the ground game. I think Magny is twice anyone Shavkat has been in the octagon with, he's got some extra reach, and I think we see some weaknesses exposed here.

Nah I hear you bro, I should’ve worded it better though, I don’t necessarily agree with the method that AC thinks Tafon is going to win by, what I meant to say is I just agree with the fact that Tafon is going to win Saturday whether it be by decision or by finish. (But I’m leaning more towards decision)

I've been watching film all night about to do a long ass breakdown on all fights cause I'm bored af @ work.

* Edited at 06.20.2022, 2:53 AM ET *

No, no I get you. I think both have a good chance of winning it tbh. Tafon did look really good in his last fight and I sure as hell don't trust Ulberg. But until I do some tape study of both I think I will pick the kick boxer with his good distance control and technical striking. 

Regardless if it goes to decision like I said it dosen't matter who we pick, the judges will ruin it either way. MMA is a joke nowadays.

Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot
Arman Tsarukyan, SUB, R3
Gamrot is very good in the standup, so techinal. So was Joel Alvarez... Arman sticks to you early and throws elbows until you give him an opportunity for the sub. Arman is a lot more proven, I expect it to be a matter of time before Gamrot is forced to submit by TKO or SUB. 1st or 3rd round.

Magny vs. Rakhmonov
Shavkat Rakhmonov, SUB, R1
Shavkat's nasty striking will hurt Magny early and Rakmonov will smell blood in the water; ending it with a beautiful choke.

Parisian vs. Baudot
Josh Parisian, DEC
Parisian had really nice output, work and pressure R1 against Parker Porter, Baudot on the other hand got pushed up against the cage whenever Porter wanted him there or taken down. Only thing scaring me from Parisian is the gas tank, gassed hard against Porter in round 2 n 3.

Nchukwi vs. Ulberg
Tafon Nchukwi, TKO, R2
Ulberg has to show me A. his cardio has improved B. he can go strike for strike with another solid hitter in the LHW division. + Even in Tafon's recent KO lose, I thought he was winning until Azamat landed a PERFECTLY timed knee. Really love Nchukwi here!

Brown vs. Nuerdanbieke
TJ Brown, TKO, R1
Brown is pretty bouncy and quick in that 1st round, Soriano was tagging Nuerdanbieke early round 1 and reversed his takedown. Expecting TJ to connect early with a flush overhand right, and maybe finish it off with GnP if needed.

Paiva vs. Morozov
Raulian Paiva, DEC
Paiva being the quicker fighter, dictating where the fight goes.+ I like to see him adding some extra muscle 💪.

Durden vs. Buys
Cody Durden, DEC
Really wanted to go Buys but just can't. Buys hasn't showed he can hold anybody UFC level down, his striking is very stiff and flat footed, doesn't help his chin is pretty bad for a flyweight. Only hope is Durden gassing late imo. 
Durden could also get the back early and punish Buys with a RNC in round 1.

Yu Frey vs. Demopoulos
Vanessa Demopoulos, SUB, R2
Don't know why I even watched film for this one, Yu Frey's fight IQ is horrible and Demopoulos has 0 takedowns in the UFC. Especially being WMMA I expect Yu Frey to make a mistake late round 2 and Vanessa punish her for it. + I like Demopoulos has been training with girls like Lupita Godinez and Tabatha Ricci.

* Edited at 06.20.2022, 3:34 AM ET *

But Joel Alvarez has an 0% takedown defence, can’t compare to Gamrot who are really good MMA grappler and is really accomplished grappler outside of MMA.

I think it’s a 50-50 fight which is very well match, Gamrot is really good and well rounded 

Anyone else think mangy has a way better chance than odds indicate? I've been on the shavkat train so far, but magny is a huuuuge step up from who he's been fighting. Seems like dollar general version of Khamzat vs Burns, where the one guy being super hyped up taking a big step up, expected to dominate, and then faces a harder resistance than expected. 

Magny vs. Rakhmonov
Shavkat Rakhmonov, SUB, R1
Big gun for Rakhmonov, maybe by finish.

Nurmagomedov vs. Maness
Umar Nurmagomedov
Big gun for Umar (best of the Khabib stable)

Curtis vs. Vieira
Chris Curtis
Viera has world class BJJ. Kenny for Viera, Big gun for Curtis.

Yup. But **** 'em odds. I think both has a same chance of winning - that's why this one gonna be really interesting fight. Can't wait.

Arman is listed as 5'7" but he's 6'4" in the poster lol

I agree that half of the card or more will be decisions.

I do not agree with you about Ulberg's fight. I think Carlos will be having fun kicking Tafon's butt.