UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

Moved to 274. Must have wanted to give cowboy a retirement fight with a crowd 

Can't be mad at that, Cowboy deserves a big send off

Fili and Levy top slip parlay

Chase Sherman blesses up with the opening fight 🙏🙏

I'm thinking Fili, Dawson, Meerschardt, Romanov and maybe Mazany should be good parlay bets. 
Mazany is a finisher. The chick she's fighting is a bum who lost on the Contender series and somehow still got signed. 

Stay away from the ME and Elkins/Connelly. 

* Edited at 04.24.2022, 2:19 PM ET *

Not seen the odds yet but I am gonna parlay Fili, Dawson and Meershardt I think. 

I think just about the last thing I'd do is put my money in Gina Mazany's hands.

You guys are gonna parlay Fili down aren't you? Should've waited

I sure as hell am. And I put money on brito in his last fight pretty confidently against that Algeo. And yeah you can say bad debut and he's going to look like his old self here and improving and whatnot, and yeah maybe, but I think it's more he was just looking good and dominating a lower level of guys, weather or not that's level of competition, or that now there's USADA, I don't know.... But I think he can't do that same thing once he steps up to ufc level. The other thing is they absolutely gave him Algeo expecting him to dominate him, at that time Algeo was taken down like a bunch of times in every fight prior. And he couldn't do it more than like idk twice, of which Algeo got up in good time. There's nothing Algeo does that Fili isn't considerably better at. And it's not that I don't think Brito isn't necessarily too big of a dog, it's the way I bet my first priority is finding my 2 most confident people per card and it's a generally evenly matched card. 

Also, I like mazany a good bit too. Not necessarily because of her but because I think Young is pretty bad. A d not at UFC level. Also, most of Mazanys losses she's winning with her grappling game until she absorbs any sorta power and then just can't handle it from there and gets tkod. I watched probably 4-5 of Youngs recent fights.....and I don't think I saw her once land anything close to as powerful looking as the ones previously beating mazany. I think it's a horrible matchup for Young but you're getting pretty good value because it's Mazany and nobody wants to put any money on her.   

* Edited at 04.24.2022, 4:19 PM ET *

I think if you like Romanov, of which everyone who isn't ******** does, play fight doesn't go distance instead. It's like -600 instead of -2000, there's gotta be next to no ******* way Jake ****** Collier gets easy takedown and sub with almost no Resistance.... and Romanov wins by decision. And then if Sherman just lands some perfect shot that he isn't going to land and ko him you're covered. I'm usually very against parlaying totals but come on how does this not finish. Does Romanov decide to pull a Thiago Santos and just force a a staring contest with a guy he can clearly dominate? Idfk. 

The only problem with betting Romanov is that he's either -2000 or really close to it, I'm not saying he going to lose, He will win, I just don't like the 95% implied probillty of him winning, Anything can happen in MMA, Sherman could catch him, Romonov could get DQ, Break his ankle, **** his pants and fight get stopped, Who knows but all I know is that they're no such thing as free bets

I'm not betting Sherman either because he will lose

Is that fight a lock then? Why not go back to Boser or is he injured? Haven't seen odds pop up for Romanov yet but my bookie closed the +1100 I had on Sherman this weekend. They usually keep bets open for a few weeks if they like them.

Font vs. Vera
Marlon Vera, TKO, R1
It's a coin toss for me. I pick Vera because Font didn't disappointed me in his last fight vs Aldo.

Elkins vs. Connelly
Tristan Connelly, DEC
Elkins is tough, durable and may be better on the ground. But Connelly is a slightly better striker.

Meerschaert vs. Jotko
Krzysztof Jotko, DEC
Meerschaert's almost all wins are by submission, and his striking is not good. Jotko has been submitted only once in his career. On other hand majority of Jotko's opponents were strikers. I think Meerchaert won't be able to sub Jotko, and probably Jotko will win by dec.

Gordon vs. Dawson
Jared Gordon, DEC
dawson is overrated

da Silva vs. Figueiredo
Daniel da Silva, SUB, R1
francisco is terrible and da silva looked good in the round 1 against molina who is a future champ imo

@martine How is Dawson overrated? Lol. Undefeated in the ufc. Hasn't lost in 6 years bud.

This main event is the first time since the Sandhagen vs Yan fight that I just shrug my shoulders and just randomly picked a dude to win amongst ranked opponents.

* Edited at 04.24.2022, 9:14 PM ET *

Font vs. Vera
Marlon Vera, DEC
50-50 Fight imo, I think Vera is a bit tougher has better variety with kicks and can mix in the grappling if he needs to.

Collier vs. Arlovski
Jake Collier, TKO, R1
Gonna take a shot on Collier. I think if he manages to get on top of Arlovski its gonna be wraps this guy is a fat mess.

Fili vs. Brito
Andre Fili, DEC
Brito really disappointed in his debut. Fili had good fights against Mitchell and Jourdain.

Gordon vs. Dawson
Grant Dawson, DEC
Gordon didnt look that bad against Solecki, I think Dawson is just gonna have better positional control and be slightly ahead on scrambles.

Breeden vs. Levy
Natan Levy, DEC
Better grappling, should not be this big of a favorite hes not that good.

Mazany vs. Young
Gina Mazany, DEC
Why are either of them in the UFC why does womens mma exist man.

Romanov vs. Sherman
Alexandr Romanov, TKO, R1
Night night sherman

da Silva vs. Figueiredo
Daniel da Silva, DEC
Who is letting bootleg figgy be a favorite..

* Edited at 04.25.2022, 2:41 AM ET *

🔥💥 Yes sir! Natan Levy submits Mike Breeden in the 2nd round. Both Natan Levy and Mike Breeden are coming off a loss. Mike Breeden lost by an overhand right punch. Natan Levy was defeated by Rafa Garcia who has a better record than Mike Breeden, and with some of his earlier opponents was able to literally carry them across the ring for takedowns and also KO them. This wasn't the case with Natan Levy. Garcia's victory came by desicion and he was not able to do the things he did to his other opponents. That says something for Natan Levy's ability to defend Rafa Garcia's strong points better than his other opponents were able to do. Mike Breeden, although he is ranked fairly well, comes in under Natan Levy. Natan Levy pulls out a win and goes up in the rankings this coming Saturday 04/30/2022🔥💥

* Edited at 04.24.2022, 11:46 PM ET *

Fili vs. Brito
Andre Fili, DEC
Brito really let me down in his last fight. There were times when he was catching Algeo cleanly but he didn't do much with it. Fili is coming into this prime it seems, and he looked absolutely incredible in his last outing. I think he takes this one in impressive fashion.

Elkins vs. Connelly
Tristan Connelly, DEC
I'm not so sure that Elkins can grit out a win here against Tristan. I don't see Tristan slowing down significantly enough for Elkins to catch up.