UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

I think this card will be entertaining. Very low skill level, rivaling that of a regional card, but I think there’s gonna be a lot of finishes

Pearce vs. Rodriguez
Christian Rodriguez, DEC
Rodriguez is one tuff young man. Do not sleep on this kid.

Walker vs. Hill
Jamahal Hill, TKO, R3
walker overcommits and i'm still very high on hill's boxing and career trajectory.

Daukaus vs. Pickett
Kyle Daukaus, DEC
daukaus by headbutt. really though, i think his persistence will be result in an eventual takedown and blanketing after the first couple minutes.

Porter vs. Baudot
Parker Porter, TKO, R2
porter has shown that he isn't fodder, baudot can't say the same yet.

Miller vs. Motta
Nikolas Motta, DEC
surprised to see such a high % taking miller, but i guess they think motta is gonna get overaggressive? i agree, but i'm not sure jim will capitalize this time.

Buckley vs. Razak Alhassan
Joaquin Buckley, DEC
will mmamath work or implode? i'm gonna get SPICY here and say buckley gets tired of trading and decides to grind it out a bit instead.

Benítez vs. Onama
Gabriel Benítez, DEC
gotta find an underdog or two so i'll go with the guy that missed weight. all of onama's wins are by finish so maybe fat moggly can survive the early storm and take him down? mason jones did it like 10 times in their fight and it's not like he's some prolific wrestler.

Clark vs. Egger
Jessica-Rose Clark, DEC
guess i'll say clark's boxing carries her.

Skelly vs. Striegl
Chas Skelly, SUB, R2
unsure how well mark will defend the td's and how much energy he'll burn doing so.

Belbiţă vs. de Paula
Diana Belbiţă, DEC
both only really have wins over regional level talent so i'll take the slightly bigger girl with more experience.

Strader vs. Anheliger
Chad Anheliger, TKO, R2
gonna take the popular pick. chad is coming off two legitimate wins, strader off a ko loss and a couple of regional wins. both losses via ko and that seems to be how chad wins.

Pearce vs. Rodriguez
Jonathan Pearce, TKO, R2
pearce seems to be bigger and had a full camp, rodriguez has still only fought regional level talent.

Bautista vs. Perrin
Mario Bautista, DEC
tough to take short notice replacements if i don't see a direct path to victory.

Plays today:
Onama to win
Razak Al-Hassan (best dog on the card) ITD
Daukaus ITD, also by Sub
Hill

Hill vs. Walker
Walker can only eat maybe 2 or 3 of Hills harder shots before he crumbles. Hill by finish.

Daukaus vs. Pickett
Daukaus is better than Pickett at everything. Daukaus by late finish or decision because it's at catch weight. If this were at middleweight I'd probably take Dakaus by finish but the added weight probably favors Pickett. 

Porter vs. Baudot
Porter is no world beater but he should handle Baudot no problem. If he gets a finish here I'd like to see him fight Arlovski. Baudot is bad. 

Miller vs. Motta
Very torn on this one but I'm going to ever so slightly lean Miller decision. This fight is probably going to come down to who's in better shape. Motta telling reporters he's "broke as ****" has me nervous he might go finish hunting and tire himself out. Very interested to see who is the better grappler. Miller has the experience edge but Motta seems stronger. Very close fight that I'm glad was rebooked.

Buckley vs. Razak Alhassan
I don't love Buckleys chin but I do think overall he is the better fighter. Unfortunately I think Alhassan catches him in the 1st or 2nd. Buckley hits just as hard but overall his striking isn't as good. 

Benitez vs. Onama
Onama by murder. Benitez will be cut after missing weight a 2nd time in a row and losing 4 of his last 5.

Rose Clark vs. Egger
I don't foresee JRC having as much success as many believe she will when it comes to grappling/wrestling. Egger by decision.

Skelly vs. Streigl
Another fight I am very torn on. Skelly is the better fighter and neither of these guys have been super active. Neither guys QOC is great but Skellys is clearly better. Streigl moving back up to 145 for this fight has me intruged though. In the video I've seen of him he seems competent grappling/wrestling and overall just very solid/strong. Skelly SHOULD win comfortably, but I just don't love his age and inactivity. Don't bet on this fight. 

Belbita vs. de Paula
This is actually a close fight but I liked the striking Belbita displayed in her last out against Goldy. Taking the more experienced fighter here by decision but de Paula is better than her 5-4 record. 

Strader vs. Anheliger
Outside of landing an early bomb I don't see a path to victory for Strader. This isn't exactly out of the realm of possibility with a 6in reach advantage, but Anheliger himself is actually the better overall striker and more well rounded fighter. Anheliger by late 2nd or 3rd round finish. 

Pearce vs. Rodriguez
Same deal with Perrin for Rodriguez; very very tough first fight and even tougher on short notice. JSP by rear naked in the 1st or 2nd.

Bautista vs. Perrin
Very tough fight on short notice for Perrin, who's actually not terrible. Bautista by late finish or decision. 

----------------------------

Just gonna say while overall this card is obviously much weaker than initially booked, the UFC continues to impress me with how they are able to adjust cards on the fly and find quality opponents. 

i didn't even know Strader had a 6 inch reach advantage. I gotta take a chance on that $$$$$$$$$$$$

sad part is, he doesn't use range well. He's a dirty boxer

* Edited at 02.19.2022, 12:36 PM ET *

Walker vs. Hill
Jamahal Hill, TKO, R3
Jamahal huge Knee and then punches and knees until Walker drops, ref steps in but too late KO.

Daukaus vs. Pickett
Kyle Daukaus, DEC
29-28 Uni

Porter vs. Baudot
Parker Porter, TKO, R2
I think Porter really pressures Baudot and eventually overwhelms him, KO on the cage Right straight counter.

Miller vs. Motta
Jim Miller, SUB, R1
Guillotine choke early.

Buckley vs. Razak Alhassan
Abdul Razak Alhassan, TKO, R1
I think Abdul has bigger power early, Hooks to ground and pound KO.

Benítez vs. Onama
David Onama, TKO, R1
Not confident in this whatsoever, Onama by 1st KO Left Hook.

Clark vs. Egger
Jessica-Rose Clark, TKO, R2
JJess gets this one done, tko straights n hooks ref steps in.

Skelly vs. Striegl
Chas Skelly, DEC
30-27 Uni

Belbiţă vs. de Paula
Diana Belbiţă, DEC
30-27 Unanimous

Strader vs. Anheliger
Chad Anheliger, TKO, R1
Too much power. Straights to ground and pound tko. Elbows.

Pearce vs. Rodriguez
Christian Rodriguez, SUB, R2
tough first round leaning Pearce, CeeRod changes it up sinks in a RNC in the 2nd.

Bautista vs. Perrin
Mario Bautista, TKO, R2
Light work, Ground and pound TKO after a big right hand drops Perrin.

Jessy vs. Egger

If the fight stays on the feet, Jessy can make Egger look amateur. 

Knuckle Mania 2

UFC

Bellator 

TONIGHT IS CRAZY!

* Edited at 02.19.2022, 1:10 PM ET *

I watched the very 1st BKFC but havent watched live many times since then

Knucklemania 2 is one of the few bkfc event worth watching

* Edited at 02.19.2022, 1:43 PM ET *

Just thinking about it, they’re a few of  the “locks” of this card are either in volytile divisions like women division or heavyweight and light heavyweight, or debutant. I can see a few big upset, but this could just me being hopeful, as this card seen favourite dominant,

* Edited at 02.19.2022, 2:11 PM ET *

Walker vs. Hill
Jamahal Hill, TKO, R2
Two power strikers. Walker with probably more explosion and range, Hill with the better approach and chin. If this was Walker two knockouts ago I'd maybe edge him. Now I feel like this favors Hill a lot more, Hill has to be confident in his own chin and similarly confident that all it will take to win is one good connection.

Daukaus vs. Pickett
Kyle Daukaus, DEC
Closer than it seems but I expect a 30-27, or maybe a sub if Pickett shows poor fight IQ.

Porter vs. Baudot
Alan Baudot, TKO, R1
This line blows my ******* mind. Not gonna really justify it, other than how anyone can watch tape and pick Porter is a bit of a shock. 65/35 Baudot imo.

Miller vs. Motta
Nikolas Motta, TKO, R2
I'm staying really far away from this fight. Sure Miller is a bit chinny, but he's still really ******* strong and really ******* good on the ground. I lean Motta by explosiveness, but I rate Miller everywhere in the skills department.

Buckley vs. Razak Alhassan
Abdul Razak Alhassan, TKO, R1
First big connect by Razak wins. Buckley will need more than one. Odds favor Razak.

Benítez vs. Onama
David Onama, DEC
Onama by absolute cardio-train domination. If there was a prop where I could bet >100ss landed by Onama I would hammmmmer that.

Skelly vs. Striegl
Mark Striegl, DEC
Hardest pick for me to go against Chas, but I really think Striegl should be the favorite. Streigl moving the the Lab and training with Phillips for his last fight as well as a lot of other really dynamic sub artists down in AZ makes me think he did the right move for his camp. Striegl has the Sambo to keep favorable positions, and better overall striking, but he just has to stay safe on the ground. Risky for him, but as per usual Chas really only has one route to victory.

Belbiţă vs. de Paula
Diana Belbiţă, DEC
This fight makes me vomit a little.

Strader vs. Anheliger
Chad Anheliger, DEC
I don't know much about Strader, but Anheliger has a dog in him and that's enough for me to nod him. I don't rate Anheliger against the top 20 at all, but he's got enough of a base in all areas of MMA to win via cardio and pressure against most lower level guys.

Pearce vs. Rodriguez
Jonathan Pearce, DEC
JSP by the fact that I know very little about christian rodriguez.

Bautista vs. Perrin
Mario Bautista, TKO, R2
Measured first as Mario matures in the game, but he finds no threat and explodes in the second.

I saw a meme I should have kept. Said Mike Perry vs Julian Lane is for the GED championship 😆

Pearce vs. Rodriguez
Jonathan Pearce, SUB, R3
I think JSP crushes the new kid.

Am I the only one concerned about Strader’s 6” reach advantage???

Benítez vs. Onama
David Onama, SUB, R3
Not as confident as most people, but i gotta imagine onama wears on him and gets him out late. Didnt see a lot of how this fight could play out with Jones' grapple heavy fight up a weight class. But yeah, plus the bad weight cut and mileage for benitez [ONAMA 2ND HALF FINISH]

Clark vs. Egger
Jessica-Rose Clark, DEC
My absolute most confident pick of the card and i cant really find a reason someone would back egger other than from a narrative basis. [CLARK DECISION]

Skelly vs. Striegl
Chas Skelly, SUB, R2
Another im not super confident in a lot of unknowns for stregl but ill go with experience to grab a sub at some point. [SKELLY 2ND HALF FINISH]

Belbiţă vs. de Paula
Gloria de Paula, DEC
The only thing belbita has going for her is more volume and probably more potential power. But that wont matter as she gets countered by the way more technical striker.....paula probably better on the ground too but idk. Its rediculous that more people are picking egger to win than her. [DE PAULA DECISION]

Strader vs. Anheliger
Chad Anheliger, DEC
Dont see anhelinger as a finisher as much as a montel jackson or rojo.......especially with the t rex arms. But hes the better fighter expecting him to drag out decision win [ANHELIGER DECISION]

Pearce vs. Rodriguez
Jonathan Pearce, SUB, R3
Seen some people very adament that rodriguez is legit but definitely going with JSP for short notice and up a weight class. I mean dude towers over him. [PEARCE 2ND HALF FINISH]

Bautista vs. Perrin
Mario Bautista, DEC
Didnt really research this perrin guy at all but ima just go with experience and not short notice like above. [BAUTISTA DECISION]

* Edited at 02.19.2022, 2:33 PM ET *