Topic: UFC Fight Night

UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo

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Tapology
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08.25.2021 | 3:52 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC Fight Night
  • Saturday 12.04.2021 at 07:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: ESPN
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: UFC APEX
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Daniel Cormier, Michael Bisping
  • Ring Announcer: Joe Martinez
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Daniel Cormier
  • TV Ratings: 592,000 avg. viewers (400k prelims)
  • MMA Bouts: 13
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
José Aldo   defeats   Rob Font   via Decision, Unanimous   5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page
Rafael Fiziev   defeats   Brad Riddell   via KO/TKO, Wheel Kick   2:20 Round 3 of 3, 12:20 Total Bout Page
Jamahal Hill   defeats   Jimmy Crute   via KO/TKO, Right Hook   0:48 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Clay Guida   defeats   Leonardo Santos   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   1:21 Round 2 of 3, 6:21 Total Bout Page
Chris Curtis   defeats   Brendan Allen   via KO/TKO, Punches and Knees   1:58 Round 2 of 3, 6:58 Total Bout Page
Alex Morono   defeats   Mickey Gall   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Duško Todorović   defeats   Maki Pitolo   via KO/TKO, Ground and Pound   4:34 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Manel Kape   defeats   Zhalgas Zhumagulov   via KO/TKO, Punches   4:02 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Bryan Barberena   defeats   Darian Weeks   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Cheyanne Vlismas   defeats   Mallory Martin   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
William Knight   defeats   Alonzo Menifield   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Claudio Puelles   defeats   Chris Gruetzemacher   via Submission, Kneebar   3:25 Round 3 of 3, 13:25 Total Bout Page
Vince Morales   defeats   Louis Smolka   via KO/TKO, Overhand Right   2:02 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page

Responses Page 27

AyyLmaonnaise
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11.28.2021 | 10:42 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 555 Points   |   354th Place

I agree. It all depends on weigh ins, but as for now I’m going figgy. Unpopular opinion because I know the mma community loves Brandon Moreno. But hey, if figgy is last to weigh in again I’m hammering Moreno 

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

BP217
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11.28.2021 | 10:47 AM ET

AyyLmaonnaise you got a twitter ? 
AyyLmaonnaise
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11.28.2021 | 10:50 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 555 Points   |   354th Place

I do. I don’t post anything on it tho lol I just use it to get mma news

* Edited at 11.28.2021, 10:51 AM ET *

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

RichOsama
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11.28.2021 | 11:02 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 505 Points   |   Tied for 697th

Smolka has better striking stats , defense and his output is better. Also , Vince absorbs just as many significant strikes as he throws, being 4 per minute. Also , like I stated 14 times , Smolkas Karate background will keep him at distance and he'll chop that leg. 

* Edited at 11.28.2021, 11:02 AM ET *

RichOsama
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11.28.2021 | 11:05 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 505 Points   |   Tied for 697th

Also as stated about 14 times. Smolka will make the pace and it'll be his fight . 
RichOsama
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11.28.2021 | 11:06 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 505 Points   |   Tied for 697th

$RichOsama if you guys are confident. I'll take any challenges 🤝🤑
AyyLmaonnaise
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11.28.2021 | 11:06 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 555 Points   |   354th Place

^^^^^^^^^^^ 

For the pace not the challenges 

* Edited at 11.28.2021, 11:06 AM ET *

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

2021.11.28 12:50 PM ET

bout status update

Lins vs. Murzakanov Changed from Confirmed to Cancelled
2021.11.28 12:51 PM ET

bout announced

Azamat Murzakanov vs. Jared Vanderaa at 265 lbs (120.2 kg)
RichOsama
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11.28.2021 | 1:03 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 505 Points   |   Tied for 697th

Also , half of Azamats opponents have had height and major reach advantages. I don't see vandera being any different. 
AyyLmaonnaise
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11.28.2021 | 1:09 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 555 Points   |   354th Place

Yup that was something I noticed too. He’s actually quite small for lhw now that I think about it. Also guto was a very accomplished kickboxer so I’m sure his stand up is far better than vanderaa’s. Azamat by first round smesh 

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

AyyLmaonnaise
AyyLmaonnaise
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11.28.2021 | 1:14 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 555 Points   |   354th Place

Even in the Muniz fight, who despite being a middleweight,had a 7 inch reach advantage and azamat knocked him out with one punch. His movement probably makes him “longer” as he’s able to dart in and out very quickly 

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

DelinquentMMA
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11.28.2021 | 2:01 PM ET

Predictions: 4 of 9 Winners, 0 Perfect, 200 Points   |   Tied for 3387th

Liking the value of Zhalgas Zhumagulov at first glance. 

"Delinquent MMA"

DCpredictions
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11.28.2021 | 2:05 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 390 Points   |   Tied for 2090th

Vince may have had a wrestling background before but he hasn't had much success in the UFC with it. 

Here's some stats from their last 5 (each) fights......

Vince 1 for 4 on takedowns, his opponents 6 for 12. Vince in control time for 1.78% of his fights, his opponents 6.79%. smolka 5 for 10 takedowns, his opponents 3 for 4. Smolka 33.68% control time, his opponents 6.49%

So very little of Vince's fights have involved wrestling, less than 10% overall and that's based on over a hour of fight time. What little there was, was 3 times more against him. Smolka on the other hand with a pretty significant 34% and only 7% against. That's a pretty big advantage over 2% for Vince. Smolka did give up 3 for 4 takedowns though, but they weren't able to keep him down for long with 7% control time for his opponents. 

Then if we divide control time by total ground/clinch strikes...... (Control time counts clinch and ground)

You get 4% for smolka and 0.5% for Vince. Smolka's opponents get 1.1%, and 0.4% for Vince's. So that's 8 times as often smolka is landing. Vince also pretty on pace with his opponents while smolka quadruples his. 

So if anyone will have success on the ground it'll be smolka. 
DCpredictions
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11.28.2021 | 2:09 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 390 Points   |   Tied for 2090th

Yeah amazat is usually at a height and reach disadvantage, it's the fact dude will probably be like 60lbs at least heavier. 
AyyLmaonnaise
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11.28.2021 | 2:10 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 555 Points   |   354th Place

Yeah I don’t like that either, but I haven’t seen azamat try to wrestle anyone so it shouldn’t be that much of a problem. Plus he has experience fighting in open weight tournaments so he’s probably used to it 

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

RichOsama
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11.28.2021 | 2:28 PM ET

DC and Lmaonnaise

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 505 Points   |   Tied for 697th

Great breakdown. And I agree with Azamot but hopefully vandera doesn't shoot

* Edited at 11.28.2021, 4:25 PM ET *

AyyLmaonnaise
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11.28.2021 | 2:32 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 555 Points   |   354th Place

I think he’s attempted a total of one takedown so we should be good

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

Sabbath
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11.28.2021 | 2:57 PM ET

Predictions: 3 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 215 Points   |   Tied for 3374th

Each time I study Dusko’s last three fights, I grow increasingly confident Maki is the best underdog on the card
This user is suspended from posting until 9 years, 2 months, 3 weeks, 17 hours, and 28 minutes from now.
Xconchris
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11.28.2021 | 3:33 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 2007th

I just created the new Tapology Survivor 79 Game for who wants to play!


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Xconchris
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11.28.2021 | 3:33 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 2007th

https://www.tapology.com/forum/threads/64029?page=1#post-991703

"Dont take life too serious, you will never make it out alive."

AyyLmaonnaise
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11.28.2021 | 3:54 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 555 Points   |   354th Place

I was thinking that same thing sabbath. I just don’t know if I can trust makis fight iq. I really feel like he will get subbed 

* Edited at 11.28.2021, 3:55 PM ET *

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

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