Topic: UFC 269

UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier

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Tapology
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08.02.2021 | 10:40 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC 269
  • Saturday 12.11.2021 at 06:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: ESPN
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: T-Mobile Arena
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Joe Rogan, Daniel Cormier
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Joe Rogan
  • Attendance: 18,471
  • PPV Buys / Buyrate: 500,000 | TV Ratings: 729,000 avg. viewers (ESPN2 prelims)
  • MMA Bouts: 14
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Charles Oliveira   defeats   Dustin Poirier   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   1:02 Round 3 of 5, 11:02 Total Bout Page
Julianna Peña   defeats   Amanda Nunes   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   3:26 Round 2 of 5, 8:26 Total Bout Page
Geoff Neal   defeats   Santiago Ponzinibbio   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Kai Kara-France   defeats   Cody Garbrandt   via KO/TKO, Punches   3:21 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Sean O'Malley   defeats   Raulian Paiva   via KO/TKO, Punches   4:42 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Josh Emmett   defeats   Dan Ige   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Dominick Cruz   defeats   Pedro Munhoz   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Tai Tuivasa   defeats   Augusto Sakai   via KO/TKO, Punches   0:26 Round 2 of 3, 5:26 Total Bout Page
Bruno Silva   defeats   Jordan Wright   via KO/TKO, Punches   1:28 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
André Muniz   defeats   Eryk Anders   via Submission, Armbar   3:13 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Erin Blanchfield   defeats   Miranda Maverick   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Ryan Hall   defeats   Darrick Minner   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Tony Kelley   defeats   Randy Costa   via KO/TKO, Ground and Pound   4:15 Round 2 of 3, 9:15 Total Bout Page
Gillian Robertson   defeats   Priscila Cachoeira   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   4:59 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page

Responses Page 27

ntrsbob
ntrsbob
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12.07.2021 | 11:37 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 14 Winners, 2 Perfect, 485 Points   |   Tied for 2620th

excuse me his foot dropped lol
RichOsama
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12.07.2021 | 11:38 PM ET

Baldric

Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 560 Points   |   Tied for 1650th

He's a lock , so you throw him on a parlay with other locks. Lol, not ******** , just simple math. But I can't expect simple anything from someone whose mom and dad are brother and sister. 
RichOsama
RichOsama
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12.07.2021 | 11:39 PM ET

JJ

Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 560 Points   |   Tied for 1650th

I stopped reading after the Sakai by decision. Good luck to you .
Jake Pauler
Jake Pauler
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12.07.2021 | 11:42 PM ET

Jake Paul would destroy dustin.

* Edited at 12.07.2021, 11:43 PM ET *

"The Jake Paulers are the strongest army out there. Dab. - Jake Paul"

AyyLmaonnaise
AyyLmaonnaise
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12.07.2021 | 11:43 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 635 Points   |   Tied for 757th

I like him as a fighter but his personality outside the ring has become annoying to me

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

Cheeseball
Cheeseball
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12.07.2021 | 11:45 PM ET

@ntrsbob

Predictions: 9 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 635 Points   |   Tied for 757th

Agreed. I don't care if he looks like a mumble rapper or if that he isn't "humble" his striking is too fun to watch.

* Edited at 12.07.2021, 11:46 PM ET *

"🌽⚽️"

Volatyle
Volatyle
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12.07.2021 | 11:46 PM ET

Vol's Parlays

Predictions: 4 of 14 Winners, 2 Perfect, 280 Points   |   Tied for 4121st

1. Blanchfield/Minner/Cachoeira @ 23.47 : 1
2. Munhoz/Sakai/Anders @ 7.63 : 1
3. Poirier/Ponzinibbio/Garbrandt @ 5.16 : 1
4. Emmett/Perez/Costa @ 3.13 : 1
5. Nunes/O'Malley/Silva @ 1.77 : 1
All paid = 41.16 : 5
Baldric Eggling
Baldric Eggling

12.07.2021 | 11:53 PM ET

Predictions: 12 of 14 Winners, 4 Perfect, 785 Points   |   Tied for 55th

Rich, If I had a dollar for every time I have seen some mudpirate on these forums describing various fighters as locks only to see those same posters derided horribly in chat when their 'locks' get upset at absurd odds, I would have roughly 2000$--enough to pay your mother to blumpkin me about 395 times and buy a happy meal once after one of them.

O'Malley will probably win, but at -300 that's an implied probability of 75%. I personally would never trust a man who is prone to being pressure******, and who has ankles made of dried macaroni spirals to have a 75% chance of winning with my money. Not against Paiva.

Parlay additions still have to have some frame of reference for value, even if you're including them in purely as a multiplier. 










RichOsama
RichOsama
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12.07.2021 | 11:59 PM ET

Baldric

Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 560 Points   |   Tied for 1650th

Gotta admit man you are one funny ass guy. But Paiva is too slow. He's too patient. He also absorbs way too many strikes and that will only let Malley capitalize. 
RichOsama
RichOsama
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12.08.2021 | 12:00 AM ET

Baldric

Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 560 Points   |   Tied for 1650th

I can see you as the midget on Project X who hopped out the oven nut shotting guys. Idky , I just imagine you looking like that , but with Ricky from Trailer Park Boys attire on. 
RichOsama
RichOsama
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12.08.2021 | 12:01 AM ET

Baldric

Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 560 Points   |   Tied for 1650th

Either that or , "O'Doyle rules" with a nice mullet 
Baldric Eggling
Baldric Eggling

12.08.2021 | 12:01 AM ET

Predictions: 12 of 14 Winners, 4 Perfect, 785 Points   |   Tied for 55th

And O'malley will probably win because of that. But purely as moneyline, he's not a value bet. He might be a value bet some other way by method under/over.
ntrsbob
ntrsbob
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12.08.2021 | 12:03 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 14 Winners, 2 Perfect, 485 Points   |   Tied for 2620th

I only see the OMalley line going up as the week progresses so to me -300 is a value. The most out of whack line right now is Gillian Robertson. She is on a skid and not understanding the -400.
RichOsama
RichOsama
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12.08.2021 | 12:03 AM ET

Baldric

Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 560 Points   |   Tied for 1650th

Probably , but when he gets comfortable he gets too ****y and tries to just keep the fight going to toy with em. Idk. Maybe by decision. 
AyyLmaonnaise
AyyLmaonnaise
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12.08.2021 | 12:10 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 635 Points   |   Tied for 757th

I don’t get the -400 but Gillian should most definitely be -200 or bigger. Cachoeria has not beaten anyone good, and when she does fight someone good, she gets destroyed. Gillian may be on a streak but she was in the top 15 in her last fight; plus look at her last two losses, taila santos and Miranda maverick, not too shabby of competition

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

Baldric Eggling
Baldric Eggling

12.08.2021 | 12:19 AM ET

Predictions: 12 of 14 Winners, 4 Perfect, 785 Points   |   Tied for 55th

Have either of you actually seen Priscilla fight? She's terrible everywhere and only ever beats women who should be giving baking lessons, not fighting. Gillian's strength is her wrestling and there's probably twelve year olds with muscular dystrophy in your local children's hospital with better TDD than Cachoiera.  I'm not surprised she's -400.

* Edited at 12.08.2021, 12:21 AM ET *

ntrsbob
ntrsbob
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12.08.2021 | 12:31 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 14 Winners, 2 Perfect, 485 Points   |   Tied for 2620th

Speaking of the ladies. I was super stoked for Blanchfield/Barber because I thought Blanchfield would beat her ass. Now kinda feel bad for Blanchfield having to see Maverick right now. Maverick got robbed against Barber don't wanna here it.
ZoomerBet
ZoomerBet
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12.08.2021 | 12:32 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 14 Winners, 2 Perfect, 390 Points   |   Tied for 3531st

Fun fact: Her nickname is high school was Priscilla Catch-a-beating

"Excuse me guys, I want to say something. I want to stay humble, but I have to talk because you guys talk too much"

AyyLmaonnaise
AyyLmaonnaise
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12.08.2021 | 12:35 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 635 Points   |   Tied for 757th

Yeah I’ve seen her fight; she’s dog****. It’s just she was -220 for a while and went to -400 out of nowhere. 

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

TheMess63
TheMess63
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12.08.2021 | 12:35 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 440 Points   |   Tied for 3133rd

I think they boost the odds on the opening fight for the favorite to entice people to include it in their parlays. Then if the upset happens it wipes away a lot of slips making people scramble back to place more bets on the rest of card. 

* Edited at 12.08.2021, 12:42 AM ET *

"Records are for djs"

Page 27


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