UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

Dumont vs. Ladd
Aspen Ladd, TKO, R3
I feel like a lot of people are overhyping Dumont and underestimating Ladd. Yes, Ladd has had one of the worst strings of luck when it comes to getting a fight, but she made weight today no problems at all. I think a lot of people are also impressed with Dumont's last fight, but how good is Felicia specter really? imo she's just an above average featherweight. Yeah Dumont looks good all around, but I think people do forget that Ladd is ranked 3 in her division and aside from her questionable stoppage loss to GDR, has been perfect in her fighting career. She's also knocked out everyone she's fought execpt for sijaara Eubanks who she has beaten twice.

Arlovski vs. Felipe
Andrei Arlovski, DEC
Felipe is a solid prospect but hes not ready for this step up in competition. yes, his fights may be exciting but at the end of the day, hes not fighting the same people arlovski is; tafa and de Castro dont really compare to boser and Aspinall. Another thing about Felipe is, while he may make fights exciting with his brawling and taunting, you could make the argument that hes actually lost the tafa and the collier fights. Felipes best chance is knocking out arlovski but doesn't hit very hard and has yet to have a fight end inside the distance in the Ufc. I think this is going to be similar to the miller/gonzalez fight where the veteran experience is going to over power the young and ****y fighter.

Miller vs. Gonzalez
Jim Miller, SUB, R1
This is a really tough one to call. Miller is nearing the end of his career and they are giving him an unproven debutant. Gonzalez hasn't been can crushing but he hasn't been facing the greatest completion, where Jim miller has the second most appearances in the Ufc. Miller is older, but he still looks pretty good in the first round before slowing down in the next two. He also still has incredible bjj and I think he will pull of the sub here as Gonzalez has been finished by sub before. Gonzalez did say hes going to go and try and knockout miller spectacularly, which I dont really like for a few reasons: first, miller is pretty durable and has only been ko'ed twice against dan hooker and cowboy. This makes me think that Gonzalez will gas trying to impress Dana. Another thing I dont like is I feel he will try and hit miller with some flashy strikes, which could also lead to him getting taken down and subbed. Finally, the experience. Miller may be declining but at the end of the day hes faced much tougher opponents and even if you look at his recent losses, he's losing to really good fighters so I think his experience will help him outpoint Gonzalez.

Fiorot vs. Bueno Silva
Manon Fiorot, TKO, R2
this is a really good matchup between two really good prospects. Manon has some of the crispest striking we've seen in the women's flyweight division and, on the flip side, silva has some of the best bjj in the women's division. Silva has solid striking, but she does absorb +.83 more strikes than she lands, which is not good against an exceptional striker like fiorot. Another thing that keeps me away from the silva side is her wrestling. Despite having some of the best bjj in her division, silva has not landed a single takedown and I believe has only ever attempted one in her Ufc career. However, a lot of her wins come from her opponents making a mistake and her getting the sub as a result (much like Mackenzie dern last week).

Sanchez vs. Silva
Bruno Silva, TKO, R2
Sanchez is a well rounded fighter; hes solid in all fundamentals of the sport, but has decided to become more of a striker recently. I have a feeling this fight will be similar to his last, where he is going to stand with someone who is objectively a better striker and get ko'ed as a result. Silva has power too, this dude knocked out some pretty good people on the regional scene and looked really good after his 3 year USADA suspension. One weakness in silva's game is his tendency to lose by submission, but these losses happened earlier in his career and he is also a black belt himself. He also was able to out grapple another black belt in turman and also showed a really good tdd, so even if Sanchez goes to the wrestling, he may not even be able to take silva down.

Roberts vs. Emeev
Ramazan Emeev, DEC
this feels like weird matchmaking to me. Roberts is coming off of a 2 year layoff and is getting a pretty tough opponent. Emeev may be a very boring decision machine, but that boring style wins him fights. hes probably going to wrestle Roberts, who has a 53% tdd and grind him out to a boring decision. Roberts has been finished in all his losses but I really dont think emeev will finish him.

Godinez vs. Carolina
Luana Carolina, DEC
Going with the underdog here. Loopy looked incredible in her last fight but, it was against a short notice replacement from the contender series. I think she rightfully deserves to be the favorite but she is going to be much smaller and going to have a serious reach disadvantage of 8 inches. Luana is also a very capable striker and I think she's going to look even better on the feet because of the reach advantage. One complaint I do have from Luana is her ground game as she did get submitted by ******* ariane lipski, so I could see loopy winning via sub.

Klein vs. Landwehr
Ľudovít Klein, TKO, R1
klein is a really well rounded fighter. he has a strong wrestling and sub game but has more recently relied on his striking, using his patented high kick. In his last fight, Klein had to rely more on his wrestling as his striking was nullified due to trizano. He showed the flaws in Kleins striking, but I think that's easier said then done, and is more the result of trizano being the better fighter that night. Nate is going to be a much different fight than trizano; Nate can be technical if he wants to, but in his Ufc tenure he has shown a tendency to brawl and throw caution to the wind. While this pressure could throw off klein, you really dont want to get in a brawl with someone who has the power of klein. I see this going similar to Nates debut.

Davis vs. Batgerel
Brandon Davis, DEC
davis had a super tough run in the Ufc, going 2-5, but he was facing people like giga and zabit and I also believe he took some fights on short notice as well. Coming down a division is gonna be really useful for him because he is going to have a 3 inch height advantage and a 2 inch reach advantage over danaa. However, he does have a really tough opponent in front of him; Danaa has some beautiful striking and hits like a truck. One problem lies in his wrestling, as shown in the alateng fight, and I think that's something Davis can go to here as he has a solid ground game. This combined with Davis's ability to take a shot will help him pull off the win.

Carnelossi vs. Nunes
Ariane Carnelossi, TKO, R2
I dont really like the fact that nunes has been out of competition for 3 years because of roids. Especially if she is off her roid cycle now I think she is going to get pummeled by the much larger carnelossi.

Greasy ****** card ****** ufc. alright changed my mind bet the house on jim miller inside the distance. I hate this card ****** hell

Can we just address the fact that Arlovski is rocking the most Russian beard ever? Seriously... is he going as Zangief for halloween or what?

* Edited at 10.15.2021, 6:50 PM ET *

Very impressive Belarus beard I'm honestly jealous, think it beats Court Mcgees!!  

It's funny to hear fans call this fight '' The Worst Main Event '', because surely they also think: Why the UFC always favors fighters like McGregor, Lesnar, Rousey and Jones despite inactivity or problems with USADA? (the latest in the cases of Lesnar and Jones), Why do the same fighters always receive the main spots or title shots ?. For fighters to grow on Fanbase and make their way in the UFC they need opportunities like these: Thiago Santos vs. Eryk Anders was a Fight Night Main Event in Brazil that many did not understand because it was the Main Event and it was a very exciting fight, Kattar vs. Ige was a Main Event that was also criticized but then also people complained about why the UFC does not give the Featherweight Fighters a chance outside the Top 5, Former Champions like Robert Whittaker, Max Holloway, Cody Garbrandt were able to make themselves known when they had Main Events against fighters like Derek Brunson, Charles Oliviera and Thomas Almeida respectively. The fight that catapulted Adesanya to always be in the main PPV fights was his Main Event in the TUF Finale against Brad Tavares, fighters such as Sean Strickland, Giga Chikadze, Islam Makhachev showed their best performances and made themselves known more widely to the public. just when they fought in their first Fight Night Main Event. This week Aspen Ladd and Norma Dumont have the opportunity to have the 5 round Fight Night fight and be the main image of the poster. It was a fight on Short Notice, but both have a winning streak, both come from perhaps their most important victory in relation to the names of their rivals (Dumont beat the former title challenger Felicia Spencer and Ladd comes from defeating the former challenger to the title Yana Kunitskaya). This fight may be the key to a future title shot for the winner and is a commendable spot for its current momentum. It is understandable that many people have low expectations, but in general Main Events with little Hype tend to be one of the most exciting fights like Figueiredo-Moreno or Waterson-Hill last year.

I'm pissed that marquez and Wright is off it was plus odds for over 1.5 rounds 

@amettxpc I see where you're coming from and that's done pretty consistently for Fight Night cards, the main event is used to bolster name value and hype for contenders and in some cases could be considered title eliminators. 
It's a smart move because when the fighters that do end up fighting for the title, fight for the title, they have had that exposure as a main event fighter as well as having that 5 round experience.
Doesn't change the fact that this is a **** main event though. 

How has Davis looked outside the UFC lately?  He's bigger than Batgriel and that split with Giga looks real good these days.   He worth taking a shot on?

* Edited at 10.15.2021, 9:18 PM ET *

I swear, they wait until the day before the fight and intentionally dump fights over "non disclosed" health reasons so Bruce Buffer can get to bed on time.  Jordan Wright is probably 110%.

he’s looked good but he’s also been can crushing. The opponents on his win streak are just objectively worse than Davis.

That being said, my pick is still on Davis, but I don’t feel confident enough to get because danaa is an incredibly tough fight for your return to the ufc.

I have Davis, although he looked like he had a pretty tough weight cut judging by the weigh ins today

Jim Miller   vs.   Erick Gonzalez 


Honestly, Jim miller shouldn't be -200 plus against anyone competing in UFC at this point in his career. He is truly the definitional shopworn veteran. He's 1-3 in his last four, and he's 38 years old, an age that belies his overall condition because he's been a professional MMA fighter since age 5--which incidentally is same age at which he fathered his first child and started smoking.


I'm going to take him by sub here, but that's only because Gonzalez lacks KO power and has zero situational awareness in grappling transmissions or anywhere else. I doubt his ring I.Q exceeds the average room temperature. He also  throws strikes like a tween mongoloid hurling pudding in a remedial school food fight.


But I won't be surprised if he can stuff TD's and do slightly enough to take it by split. Or if when Jim does sink in a sub at some point his arm just falls off at the shoulder, like a wet ginger bread man trying to open a bottle of ketchup.


Miller, Sub R1-2.

* Edited at 10.16.2021, 12:05 AM ET *

Fiorot by Decision may be worth something here.

This may be unpopular, But I actually think this card is not bad, More mediocre, This card is not boring, Only boring fight is Ramazen Emmeve fight IMO, The names ain't great and the skill aren't great, But i think these boys and girls will throw down for your money, I think this card might shock people as people think  it ****, But it just being mediocre might make it amazing being of the expactation

And a hill I die on is that UFC 255 is the worst card ever, as the main card which you had to pay $65 for had Valitina Shevshinko and she is the most boring fighter in the UFC, Chookagian is pretty close on the list, No one want to see Shogun get merked by Paul Craig and Figgy vs Perez was a mismatch, Only saving grace was Tim Means vs Mike Perry, Which was quite awesom, And don't forget you had to pay $65

Baldric with another great breakdown. Seriously, your **** leaves me laughing every time. I think I'm gonna start throwing in a "Baldric's quote of the event" on my post-fight posts 

:)

Jim Miller Sub Round 1 +750 is just way too tempting against a guy who has been tapped out in the 1st round several times before.  

Arlovski vs Felipe to go to decision: -165 is pretty nice odds too.