Topic: UFC 265

UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane

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Tapology
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04.15.2021 | 9:51 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC 265
  • Saturday 08.07.2021 at 10:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: ESPN
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: Toyota Center
  • Location: Houston, Texas, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Dominick Cruz, Daniel Cormier
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Daniel Cormier
  • Ticket Revenue (live gate): $3,460,000
  • Attendance: 16,604
  • PPV Buys / Buyrate: N/A | TV Ratings: 675,000 avg. viewers (ESPN prelims, 823k peak)
  • MMA Bouts: 13
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Ciryl Gane   defeats   Derrick Lewis   via KO/TKO, Ground and Pound   4:11 Round 3 of 5, 14:11 Total Bout Page
José Aldo   defeats   Pedro Munhoz   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Vicente Luque   defeats   Michael Chiesa   via Submission, D'arce Choke   3:25 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Tecia Torres   defeats   Angela Hill   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Yadong Song   defeats   Casey Kenney   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Rafael Fiziev   defeats   Bobby Green   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Vince Morales   defeats   Drako Rodriguez   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Alonzo Menifield   defeats   Ed Herman   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Jessica Penne   defeats   Karolina Kowalkiewicz   via Submission, Armbar   4:32 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Manel Kape   defeats   Ode Osbourne   via KO/TKO, Flying Knee   4:44 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Miles Johns   defeats   Anderson dos Santos   via KO/TKO, Overhand Right   1:16 Round 3 of 3, 11:16 Total Bout Page
Melissa Gatto   defeats   Victoria Leonardo   via KO/TKO, Doctor Stoppage (broken Arm)   5:00 Round 2 of 3, 10:00 Total Bout Page
Johnny Munoz Jr.   defeats   Jamey Simmons   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   2:35 Round 2 of 3, 7:35 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 11

Erison
Erison
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08.04.2021 | 5:31 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 465 Points   |   Tied for 2488th

lol I think my man is pretty good in this kind of fight. Bovada's line on him actually moved down to a very reasonable -285.
HiDefff
HiDefff

08.04.2021 | 5:36 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 3103rd

Lewis +450 for KO/TKO seems disrespectful for that being the guys only path to victory.
Erison
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08.04.2021 | 5:39 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 465 Points   |   Tied for 2488th

Yeah, even if you're all-in on Gane, gotta hedge on a Lewis freak KO.
DamienHandel420
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08.04.2021 | 5:48 PM ET

Predictions: 11 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 620 Points   |   539th Place

I had Lewis at +600 by Ko in his last fight. I told everyone don't bet against Derrick Lewis in his fight with Blaydes at such low odds  like -600 because fighting someone like Derrick Lewis is never an 100% win, At best it approximately an 80% chance win. 

A bet on Lewis by KO at +455 is about 18.2% implied probity, Not terrible, I don't think I bet it as the margins aren't high

A bet on Gane in general is -450  or 82% implead problilty on my sportbook, Not terrible but I'm not touching that as I say a million time, fighting Derrick Lewis is never a free win

* Edited at 08.04.2021, 6:51 PM ET *

"Quack quack quack"

PlusmoneyGod
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08.04.2021 | 5:52 PM ET

Predictions: 11 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 690 Points   |   Tied for 132nd

HiDefff that video you posted of Derrick Lewis getting up easily when he's on his back is wild because Olenik held him down there a lot of 1st round and Olenik on comes into fights weighing like 227 nowadays. Just really shows how unpredictable Lewis is

"You people need a bad guy like me.... say good night to the bad guy ~Scarface "

Dankmemes112
Dankmemes112
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08.04.2021 | 6:10 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 615 Points   |   Tied for 577th

Herman vs. Menifield
Alonzo Menifield, TKO, R1
Menifield should win this fight, he hits insanely hard and can be aggressive too, Herman can get cracked and he's also 40 so it's a bit concerning. You can't count Herman out though, he is a veteran and he is tough, if he can weather that storm early which he absolutely can then his chances sky rocket. But, that being said I do think Menifield can land some big shots early, he's strong in the clinch and has good TDD as well, I see him getting the finish, not too confident though

HiDefff
HiDefff

08.04.2021 | 6:15 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 3103rd

Completely agree. Even though that video is amazing it is a little misleading. Latifi controlled him for almost 9 mins. Those 2 get ups in the video against Roy Nelson also misleading lol Roy took him down 7 times and also controlled for about 10 mins. Roy controlled him for more than half of each round. If Roy would have thrown literally anyyyyyyy strikes that fight he probably would have taken it. but because he landed a whopping 4 significant strikes over 15 mins the control time and takedowns were not enough to get the decision. 
Erison
Erison
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08.04.2021 | 6:42 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 465 Points   |   Tied for 2488th

Munoz Jr
Miles Johns
Fiziev
Menifield
Kape

Who's gonna lose? I want to parlay them all. But my faith in my ability to pick five is shattered after these past two cards.
HiDefff
HiDefff

08.04.2021 | 6:57 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 3103rd

until Menifield shows a better gas tank I wouldn't touch him in a parlay. soon as that fight gets passed 5 minutes you're gonna be sweating your **** off. Of course he should KO him but I just can't parlay a guy who's chances to win go down with every minute that passes by. too risky. 

Kape has no volume or seems scared to let it go anyway so far. Not a round winning strategy. Could lose, and Ode Cracksss 
Erison
Erison
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08.04.2021 | 7:13 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 465 Points   |   Tied for 2488th

I was originally going to do Munoz Jr, Johns, Fiziev, Gane then maybe Menifield. But yeah holy **** there's a lot of panic sweating with that bet. You could replace both their value with one Aldo. I just wish I had a strong leaning on that fight or Chiesa-Luque.

* Edited at 08.04.2021, 7:13 PM ET *

HiDefff
HiDefff

08.04.2021 | 7:46 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 3103rd

I think Aldo runs away with this fight really. Better on the feet way more crisp and clean id say. Pedro prob more power. I just don't think Pedro can or will get the fight to the ground. great wrestlers haven't been able to hold Jose down. Assuming it plays out on the feet I'd say Aldo is much "safer" than Menifield 
Erison
Erison
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08.04.2021 | 7:48 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 465 Points   |   Tied for 2488th

Those two rounds Aldo stood his ground with Yan might be better than any win between either guy in the past few years. 
HiDefff
HiDefff

08.04.2021 | 7:50 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 3103rd

Does anyone have a take on Gatto not fighting for 3 years. Has been signed to the UFC for 2 years now and hasn't fought yet. Pulled out of 3 straight fights 

* Edited at 08.04.2021, 7:53 PM ET *

Swallerballs
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08.04.2021 | 8:18 PM ET

@erison

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 3103rd

I'm parlaying Munoz, Fiziev, Aldo, Menifield, Johns, and fight to complete one full round in the gane v Lewis main event. I'll gladly take -325 odds on that and I get to enjoy the fight regardless of who wins. I'll be damned if this fight ends in the first, I think gane gonna try to read Lewis and Lewis gonna look for the counter that will never come. I just refuse to take a fighter with less than 10 ufc fights at -360 (and going up) vs DERRICK LEWIS.
Erison
Erison
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08.04.2021 | 9:02 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 465 Points   |   Tied for 2488th

Think I'm gonna go with Munoz, Johns, Fiziev, Kape.
DCpredictions
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08.04.2021 | 9:05 PM ET

@swallerballs

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 505 Points   |   Tied for 1931st

What book do you use that allows you to parlay props like that?
ThaFilthiestCasual
ThaFilthiestCasual
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08.04.2021 | 9:32 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 540 Points   |   Tied for 1416th

Lewis vs. Gane
Ciryl Gane, DEC
Alt Derrick lewis late ko

Song vs. Kenney
Casey Kenney, DEC
Alt song dec

Kape vs. Osbourne
Ode Osbourne, SUB, R1
Alt kape by sub rd 2

Leonardo vs. Gatto
Melissa Gatto, SUB, R3
Alt Leo by dec

Bronco
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08.04.2021 | 9:40 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 0 Perfect, 330 Points   |   Tied for 3510th

I think Gane, Munoz, luque, and Kenny win

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Piercerdan
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08.04.2021 | 9:59 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 5 of 6 Winners, 2 Perfect, 330 Points   |   Tied for 3520th

Lewis vs. Gane
Derrick Lewis, TKO, R3
got a feeling!! hoping for the black beast!

Torres vs. Hill II
Tecia Torres, DEC
come on tiny tornado~!!

"Fact: knowledge or info based on real occurrences, opinion: a belief held with confidence not substantiated by proof."

ZoomerBet
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08.04.2021 | 10:16 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 605 Points   |   Tied for 654th

Leonardo has fought 11 times since Gatto's last fight, and it looks like all of her fights were at 135. 

"Excuse me guys, I want to say something. I want to stay humble, but I have to talk because you guys talk too much"

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