Topic: UFC Fight Night
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moisés
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03.24.2021 | 4:35 PM ET
Responses Page 6
07.14.2021 | 1:14 AM ET
Predictions: 6 of 10 Winners, 1 Perfect, 365 Points | Tied for 2889th
07.14.2021 | 1:23 AM ET
@cmiles
Predictions: 8 of 10 Winners, 1 Perfect, 500 Points | Tied for 1100th
* Edited at 07.14.2021, 1:25 AM ET *
"Quack quack quack"
07.14.2021 | 1:31 AM ET
Predictions: 6 of 10 Winners, 0 Perfect, 345 Points | Tied for 2995th
07.14.2021 | 1:38 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 7 of 10 Winners, 2 Perfect, 480 Points | Tied for 1412th
Miesha Tate, SUB, R1
Close Fight
Vieira vs. Stoltzfus
Rodolfo Vieira, SUB, R1
Vieira can gas after the 1st. Dustin has no defense. Will get creamed right away
Quarantillo vs. Benítez
Gabriel Benítez, TKO, R1
Close Fight
Taha vs. Morozov
Khalid Taha, DEC
Close Fight
07.14.2021 | 3:45 AM ET
DamienHandel420
You needed to watch MMA to learn that anything can happen? Wow. Anyway, if you are worrying that anything can happen, you probably shouldn't be placing bets. That is a loser mentality. A gambler needs to focus on what is PROBABLE, not what is possible, because anything is possible. Is it possible that Kayla could've lost to one of her opponents when she was -2000? Yes. But what is the probability of that happening? Very small.
I thought your example of Islam eating a head kick was particularly hilarious. Islam is literally the hardest fighter to hit in the history of the UFC, not just at lightweight, but in ANY weight class. He absorbs 0.77 strikes per minute. So he has been hit an average of 3.85 times PER ROUND in the UFC. It's hard to KO someone when you can't hit them.
* Edited at 07.14.2021, 3:46 AM ET *
07.14.2021 | 5:19 AM ET
@duke76
Predictions: 8 of 10 Winners, 1 Perfect, 500 Points | Tied for 1100th
dude, I think you have a stupid Mentalty. When you get to the -1000 range you need to win the fight 10 out of 10 times to breakeven. Ever tried to pick 10 fight right, and a matter of fact, no one on Taplogy picking MMA has higher the 84%, I think they be a few cherrypicker out of the whole Tap community. Not no one has the 90% implied probity to make money making -1000 bets and the best would just break even making -500 bets at 83% implied probity. I also think you miss the point on the Headkick thing, I'm not saying Islam is gonna eat a headkick. I'm just saying any thing can happen, Islam might get sick, Islam might get DQ or Islam might get a toe stuck in the fence, They're so many ways to lose a MMA fight.
Last point, If it just easy to bet fight like just betting every underdog, Favourte or -500+ Favoutes, All gambling company wouldn't exist because they wouldn't make money. Betting a +200, They could be actually a even fight so you make profit, betting a -200, Could be a -500, But if you bet a -500 or -1000 you can't really be more correct and you just aggreing with the bookies, And bookie take 10% of your win
* Edited at 07.14.2021, 5:30 AM ET *
"Quack quack quack"
07.14.2021 | 6:03 AM ET
Predictions: 6 of 7 Winners, 1 Perfect, 350 Points | Tied for 2986th
07.14.2021 | 7:34 AM ET
Prediction link
Predictions: 9 of 10 Winners, 2 Perfect, 555 Points | Tied for 273rd
"Delinquent MMA"
07.14.2021 | 8:15 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 8 of 10 Winners, 2 Perfect, 505 Points | Tied for 1011th
Amanda Lemos, TKO, R1
We all know what Ruiz is going to do, she's going to try and close the distance and get you into that head lock and keep you there. She's not going to be able to do that against Lemos, Lemos controls the distance so well and is an absolute powerhouse. She can hurt Ruiz with just jabs, that's how powerful she is. Ruiz is going to have a very hard time trying to get into the clinch and trying to get her down because of the strength of Lemos and Lemos' striking is just so much better
07.14.2021 | 8:24 AM ET
07.14.2021 | 9:36 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 4 of 10 Winners, 1 Perfect, 265 Points | Tied for 3315th
Thiago Moisés, DEC
It’s impossible to write any fighter off at the UFC level, and Moises is definitely legit. He showed great striking ability and improvement in his last fight. He might find a way to win by split decision.
Reneau vs. Tate
Marion Reneau, DEC
Tate may come out looking flat and showing some cage rust. She has been retired for 5 years and is no longer in her prime. Reneau is a solid fighter with a high level of athleticism. She can grind out a decision win.
Vieira vs. Stoltzfus
Dustin Stoltzfus, DEC
Vieira is coming off a huge upset after being submitted due to gassing out. If Vieira is going to win he has to win early. Stoltzfus can survive because grappling is a large part of his game. I'm leaning on a decision win by Stoltzfus, Vieira might have some confidence issues coming into this fight and has shown weakness in stamina.
Quarantillo vs. Benítez
Billy Quarantillo, SUB, R3
I expect a potential ‘Fight of the Night’ contender. Both men have well-rounded, solid skills however Billy seems to be a little tougher and durable. Trusting him to KO Benitez by Round 3.
Rodriguez vs. Parsons
Daniel Rodriguez, DEC
D-Rod has been preparing for a sprawl and brawl with Abubakar Nurmagomedov and I see him getting a decision win here.
Lemos vs. Ruiz
Montserrat Ruiz, TKO, R2
Conejo will be unable to wrestle with Amanda and Lemos has the ability to keep this fight on the feet. Reach advantage and punching power will make the clinch inaccessible for Ruiz. I see a stoppage by Round 2.
Taha vs. Morozov
Khalid Taha, SUB, R3
If The Warrior can apply consistent pressure on Mozorov he'll be able to batter him and get a finish.
"No guts, no glory."
07.14.2021 | 9:37 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 9 of 10 Winners, 3 Perfect, 580 Points | Tied for 137th
Islam Makhachev, TKO, R5
This is the most predictable card in terms of, "what are the fighters going to do?"
Machachev: 3 punch combo -> Let's wrassle.
Thiago: Cover, throw, shoot/jump guard.
Gamrot vs. Stephens
Jeremy Stephens, TKO, R2
Gamrot: Volume striking -> Let's wrassle.
Stephens: Step 1 Brawl, Step 2 Sprawl, Step 3 More Brawl.
Vieira vs. Stoltzfus
Rodolfo Vieira, SUB, R1
Viera: Get a submission fast enough to make up for my bad cardio caused by having more brazillian juice than a roided out show bull.
Dustin: Wear him out and implement my pretty generic but well rounded MMA game plan a'la Fluffy Hernandez.
Quarantillo vs. Benítez
Billy Quarantillo, DEC
Billy Q: Punch a lot, kick a little.
Moggly: Kick A LOT, punch a little.
* Edited at 07.14.2021, 9:38 AM ET *
"I’m here to snatch necks and cash checks" - Darrick Minner
07.14.2021 | 10:05 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 7 of 10 Winners, 1 Perfect, 415 Points | Tied for 2338th
Islam Makhachev, DEC
Moises didn't look well against Johnson and Green, both of those were lucky wins. I think Makhachev gets a 50-45 or 49-46 UD.
Gamrot vs. Stephens
Mateusz Gamrot, TKO, R2
Stephens is an exciting fighter but he needs to work on his game.
Vieira vs. Stoltzfus
Dustin Stoltzfus, DEC
Vieira is the middleweight Masvidal. One round of cardio. Stoltzfus by 29-28, 29-28, 29-28 UD.
Quarantillo vs. Benítez
Billy Quarantillo, DEC
Even I myself overrate Benitez because of that one KO of Jaynes. But he's been beaten by other strikers in the past. He could give Quarantilo probelms but UD Billy.
Figueiredo vs. Gordon
Francisco Figueiredo, SUB, R2
Once Deiveson's brother gets a real test, he's in trouble. Figgy II by submission of the human punching bag.
Nascimento vs. Baudot
Rodrigo Nascimento, SUB, R2
I've read a couple of forum posts talking about how Baudot could win and I might consider changing my pick. Baudot could definetely give Nascimento problems on the feet if his takedown defense is solid enough.
"I kind of try to focus on the moment, in the present. That’s humility. That’s being humble. That’s not setting no expectation. That’s going out there, enjoying the game, competing at a high level.” - Giannis Antetokounmpo"
07.14.2021 | 11:56 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 8 of 10 Winners, 2 Perfect, 520 Points | Tied for 792nd
Islam Makhachev, SUB, R4
Makhachev will show exactly who he is and why no one wanted to fight him in this fight. Thiago has no chance. The odds are accurate if not too generous. I think Makhachev could be better than Khabib.
Reneau vs. Tate
Miesha Tate, DEC
Tate is in great shape and will wrestle Marion who is 44 and in her last fight.
Gamrot vs. Stephens
Mateusz Gamrot, SUB, R3
Gamrot will be top 10 before long. He will wrestle Stephens to a finish.
Vieira vs. Stoltzfus
Dustin Stoltzfus, TKO, R3
If Dustin can keep it standing or avoid subs for 1.5 rounds he will win. I think Dustin is actually good. I think Vieira like many BJJ specialists is over-rated in MMA.
Quarantillo vs. Benítez
Billy Quarantillo, DEC
After round 1 Quarantillo's volume will take over. Could also get a sub as Moggly does not have great takedown defence. Also his weight cut will be worth watching, likely to tire with Billy's forward pressure in the later rounds. Kicks won't be as effective when being pressed backwards.
Rodriguez vs. Parsons
Daniel Rodriguez, TKO, R2
DRod is too good with his hands, also was preparing for Abubakar so will have his wrestling defence on point.
Lemos vs. Ruiz
Amanda Lemos, DEC
Lemos will be too big and has good grappling herself. Ruiz is Mexican so won't get KO'd. Only worry is Lemos's weight cut.
Taha vs. Morozov
Sergey Morozov, DEC
Dog of the day, Morozov is a better striker with higher volume and a great chin. Fought better opposition. And his grappling is levels above Taha who has poor take down defence. Morozov 30-27.
dos Santos vs. Johns
Miles Johns, DEC
Close fight but I am guessing Johns just wrestles for 15 mins and ADS tires out.
Figueiredo vs. Gordon
Francisco Figueiredo, TKO, R2
Gordon does not like to be hit. Both are black belts and there is no way Gordon is subbing or KO'ing little Figs.
Nascimento vs. Baudot
Rodrigo Nascimento, SUB, R2
Rodrigo has good striking and really good grappling. I think Baudot's only chance is to catch him with a KO coming in, but he does not look very good and won't have enough KO power. Rodrigo will be much bigger and heavier too.
07.14.2021 | 3:38 PM ET
Predictions: 6 of 10 Winners, 3 Perfect, 465 Points | Tied for 1678th
07.14.2021 | 4:28 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 6 of 10 Winners, 0 Perfect, 345 Points | Tied for 2995th
Rodolfo Vieira, SUB, R2
If he was a stock I would tell you the buy the dip. What happened in his last fight is very fixable. Work hard on cardio and don't kill yourself trying to finish every possible sub like your life depends on it. If you're taking a dog shot because you think that's what will always happen if it goes later, hey maybe, but I don't think many people are picking Dustin here if that last fight didn't happen.
07.14.2021 | 4:36 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 8 of 10 Winners, 4 Perfect, 590 Points | 109th Place
Islam Makhachev, SUB, R4
Moises is a good prospect but he hasn't really done anything impressive to convince me that he can win this. His last performance was the best he's looked but when he's fought the next level of competition (ismagulov and Dariush) he fell very short. Dariush is up there with islam as one of the better grapplers in the Ufc and he dominated Moises so I think that paints a good picture of how this is going to go. In his MJ fight, he didn't do **** the first round and got a lucky heel hook and I thought he lost the bobby green fight.
Reneau vs. Tate
Miesha Tate, DEC
tate hasn't fought in 5 years but she's still not ancient. I expect there to be ring rust but I think the fighting skill is still there. She's also getting a pretty easy fight considering she's fighting the oldest fighter on the roster who also happens to be on a 4 fight losing streak.
Gamrot vs. Stephens
Jeremy Stephens, TKO, R2
Im reaching with this one. Im pretty convinced that gamrot is the real deal; he's basically 19-0, was a double champ in a very competitive promotion, and is an incredibly well rounded and skilled fighter. This also seems like a dumb fight for stephens to take especially considering his last four opponents, but Gamrot is still not completely proven as elite yet. Stephens is the most veteran and most powerful fighter gamrot has fought yet. Dude is super durable and hits like a truck. Again, I know im reaching here but I just have this weird feeling this fight goes stephens way.
Vieira vs. Stoltzfus
Rodolfo Vieira, SUB, R1
I feel like vieras last fight was a fluke. Do I still think he has a good gas tank? No, but something just seemed weird how he gassed out in round 1, especially since he has finishes in round 2. Stolzfus got outgrappled by Kyle Daukaus in his last fight and viera is a much better grappler than daukaus so I expect viera to finish this.
Quarantillo vs. Benítez
Billy Quarantillo, DEC
FOTN. Both these guys are tough as nails and are always in exciting fights. Even though he got beat pretty bad against Gavin tucker I still think quarantillo can get it done here.
Rodriguez vs. Parsons
Daniel Rodriguez, TKO, R1
D Rod is a really tough fight for someone making their debut on short notice. I think he's easily a top 25 welterweight. Picking a first round finish because parsons has never seen the judges scorecard and I dont think he can deal with d rods volume
Lemos vs. Ruiz
Amanda Lemos, TKO, R1
I think the odds are way too high for this fight, however, I think Lemos should win this pretty easily. Ruiz has really good wrestling but is a one trick pony when it comes to that headlock of hers. Lemos on the other hand punches way harder and is much more well rounded.
Taha vs. Morozov
Sergey Morozov, DEC
Taha has really good hands and an iron chin. I think Sergey is the more well rounded fighter and Taha has shown a weakness to takedowns. I think Sergey will use his wrestling to his advantage here, plus the khazakstanis have been on a roll recently.
dos Santos vs. Johns
Miles Johns, DEC
Dos santos has an advantage on the ground but johns has better wrestling and striking. Johns has shown improvement in all his fights and would be undefeated if it wasn't for that flying knee. Dos Santos is also a pretty old bantamweight and I think he will struggle against a younger fighter.
Figueiredo vs. Gordon
Francisco Figueiredo, DEC
This is hard cuz lil fig is very clearly not his brother and he even lost a round against Jerome "the can" rivera. However, Malcolms chin is so so so bad; literally one of the worst in MMA. He has skill on the ground but cannot take a hit. This is also a major step down in competition for gordon so we will see how he does; not very confident in figgy.
Nascimento vs. Baudot
Rodrigo Nascimento, SUB, R1
Nascimento is more well rounded and baudot has poor TD defense.
"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"
07.14.2021 | 5:22 PM ET
Predictions: 8 of 10 Winners, 2 Perfect, 520 Points | Tied for 792nd
"never tell me the odds."
07.14.2021 | 5:34 PM ET
@Thesnake101 - Please stay hissing my friend...
Predictions: 6 of 10 Winners, 0 Perfect, 345 Points | Tied for 2995th
** you wanted to know what Underdogs I think will win... Here's my list :
Alan Baudot, Sergey Morozov, Dustin Stoltzfus, Jeremy Stephens, Billy Quarantillo...
I even think Monsterrat Ruiz has a path to victory like she did last fight. Make it ugly and grab the single leg and take her down. some ground n pound - decision win
And for those who are downvoting me. I love it!!! I am not like those others who cry about it. I look forward to it. LOL !!!
07.14.2021 | 5:39 PM ET
@jhayarhunkz
Predictions: 6 of 10 Winners, 0 Perfect, 345 Points | Tied for 2995th