Topic: UFC 264

UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3

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Tapology
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03.23.2021 | 9:12 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC 264
  • Saturday 07.10.2021 at 10:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: ESPN
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: T-Mobile Arena
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Joe Rogan, Daniel Cormier
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Joe Rogan
  • Ticket Revenue (live gate): $15,759,800
  • Attendance: 20,062
  • PPV Buys / Buyrate: 1,504,737 | TV Ratings: 1.6M avg. viewers (ESPN prelims)
  • MMA Bouts: 12
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Dustin Poirier   defeats   Conor McGregor   via KO/TKO, Doctor Stoppage (broken Ankle)   5:00 Round 1 of 5 Bout Page
Gilbert Burns   defeats   Stephen Thompson   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Tai Tuivasa   defeats   Greg Hardy   via KO/TKO, Counter Hook to Ground and Pound   1:07 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Irene Aldana   defeats   Yana Santos   via KO/TKO, Ground and Pound   4:35 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Sean O'Malley   defeats   Kris Moutinho   via KO/TKO, Punches (standing TKO)   4:33 Round 3 of 3, 14:33 Total Bout Page
Max Griffin   defeats   Carlos Condit   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Michel Pereira   defeats   Niko Price   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Ilia Topuria   defeats   Ryan Hall   via KO/TKO, Ground and Pound   4:47 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Dricus Du Plessis   defeats   Trevin Giles   via KO/TKO, Right Cross to Ground and Pound   1:41 Round 2 of 3, 6:41 Total Bout Page
Jennifer Maia   defeats   Jessica Eye   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Brad Tavares   defeats   Omari Akhmedov   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Zhalgas Zhumagulov   defeats   Jerome Rivera   via Submission, Standing Guillotine Choke   2:02 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page

Responses Page 4

2021.05.03 9:50 PM ET

bout announced

Sean O'Malley vs. Louis Smolka at 135 lbs (61.2 kg)
RX fook jon jones
RX fook jon jones
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05.03.2021 | 10:31 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 10 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 655 Points   |   Tied for 324th

O'Malley vs. Smolka
Sean O'Malley, TKO, R1
15-0 GOAT

"Mentally Undefeated"

mickey420
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05.03.2021 | 10:32 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 565 Points   |   Tied for 1261st

sean o maley vs louis smolka is some bellator scott coker special matchmaking
mickey420
mickey420
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05.03.2021 | 10:32 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 565 Points   |   Tied for 1261st

louis smolka vs sean o malley haha great idea, i HATE competitive fights
mickey420
mickey420
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05.03.2021 | 10:36 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 565 Points   |   Tied for 1261st

hope all the people who praised omalley for turning down the chito rematch 'so he can fight dominic cruz' feel like morons

he turned down chito so he could fight louis smolka lol.
Thewelshguy1998
Thewelshguy1998
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05.03.2021 | 10:37 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 395 Points   |   Tied for 3435th

Omalley gunna be another parlay piece 
mickey420
mickey420
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05.03.2021 | 10:52 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 565 Points   |   Tied for 1261st

maybe after this fight sean omalley can fight renan barao or we can get the highly anticipated superfight with bj penn
Thewelshguy1998
Thewelshguy1998
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05.03.2021 | 11:30 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 395 Points   |   Tied for 3435th

😂 nah Eddie wineland rematch would make sense
CheckLeftHook
CheckLeftHook
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05.04.2021 | 1:27 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 0 Perfect, 410 Points   |   Tied for 3296th

O'Malley vs. Smolka
Louis Smolka, TKO, R3
O'Malley getting more tune ups. I think Smolka can take it, he works the body and legs well

"🏴 No Quarter Given 🏴"

RX fook jon jones
RX fook jon jones
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05.04.2021 | 12:50 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 10 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 655 Points   |   Tied for 324th

Hall vs. Topuria
Ryan Hall, SUB, R1
Ryan Hall The GOAT

"Mentally Undefeated"

Amettxpc
Amettxpc
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05.04.2021 | 3:34 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 440 Points   |   Tied for 2938th

O'Malley vs. Smolka
Sean O'Malley, TKO, R1
It is the return of Sean '' Michael Venom Page '' O'Malley, Smolka had a decent run in the flyweight until he was hit by Brandon Moreno (that was the debut of the current title challenger in his step that ended 3-2 before to return in 2019). After that loss Smolka had a 0-4 flyweight streak and added to his current pace in the UFC he has an "impressive" 3-6 record in his last 9 fights in the UFC. Smolka is not even a Top 25 in the category since at bantamweight he has no height or reach advantage. The funny thing is that with Nathaniel Wood, Tony Graverly, Merab Dvalalishvili, Dominick Cruz, Pedro Munhoz available to fight Sean O'Malley was scheduled to fight "the fearsome" Louis Smolka who was a loss from being cut from the UFC. Regarding my prediction I am sure that Sean O'Malley will have no problem knocking out Smolka in the first half of the first round, a Smolka who was knocked down 3 times in the first round by a Matheus Nicolau that despite having good striking It is not characterized by its KO power.

"Moicano Wants Money!"

Amettxpc
Amettxpc
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05.04.2021 | 3:44 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 440 Points   |   Tied for 2938th

The funniest thing of all is that once O'Malley gets the Knockout, he's going to flex in the Octagon and he will say in the post-fight interview that he is the greatest of all time and that if the UFC scheduled him against Henry Cejudo, Cody Garbrandt or Jose Aldo would do the same to them (when clearly fighting Smolka is a missmatch in their favor). That attitude of celebrating missmatches victories as if they were world title fights reminds me of people who get overjoyed with "surprise gifts" that they actually send themselves (under the pseudonym "anonymous gift").

* Edited at 05.04.2021, 6:11 PM ET *

"Moicano Wants Money!"

mickey420
mickey420
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05.04.2021 | 6:38 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 565 Points   |   Tied for 1261st

omalley is gonna call out someone like Petr Yan but then turn around and fight someone such as Tim Eliott making his Bantamweight Debut
mickey420
mickey420
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05.04.2021 | 6:47 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 565 Points   |   Tied for 1261st

i saw johnny eduardo was scheduled a fight that fell apart a few months ago

hes like 40 years old and coming off of 2 losses & hasnt fought since 2018. Pretty good future opponent for sean o malley IMO.

* Edited at 05.04.2021, 6:48 PM ET *

ImperatorFishrat
ImperatorFishrat
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05.04.2021 | 9:17 PM ET

Dustin Poirier   vs.   Conor McGregor 


I'll preface this by saying Dustin is definitely the value side here @+105. But he's in no way free money, and this is basically a pickem..but I lean Connor.


The thing is, Conor Mcgregor was winning that fight until Dustin adapted and started hammering that low kick. It was, absolutely, 100% Conor's  destroyed leg that led him to losing that fight, and had it not happened, I am very sure he would have won by KO/TKO. Watch the first round. Conor was landing better and harder, was dominating  the clinch, and his signature left was breaking Dustin's guard. He did have Poirier hurt. I have watched this many times over thus far, and I'm very confident in this analysis. 


Round 1 is how that fight plays out when Conor's lead leg isn't wrecked. Can Dustin pull the same trick twice? I doubt it. Say what you want about Conor, but Kavanaugh is a very high quality coach. He'll have a contingency plan moving forward. Surely.


I'm going take Mcgregor in this one--and hate doing it, because I hate him with a passion. If he does win he'll get literally any fight he wants, again, not having earned it. Never wanted Dustin to win more. And he does have a solid shot of doing it. But my spidey sense is telling me that doesn't happen, sadly.


Mcgregor, KO/TKO R2.



* Edited at 05.04.2021, 9:19 PM ET *

This user is suspended from posting until 8 years, 11 months, 2 weeks, 3 days, 2 hours, and 52 minutes from now.
2021.05.04 9:50 PM ET

bout announced

Irene Aldana vs. Yana Santos at 135 lbs (61.2 kg)
ITJUSTWORKS
ITJUSTWORKS
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05.05.2021 | 9:48 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 420 Points   |   Tied for 3158th

O'Malley vs. Smolka
Sean O'Malley, TKO, R2
Yeah, gonna be the 135 pound Champ in no time if he keeps fighting these top 5 level guys...

"I fell off harder then those monkeys jumping on the bed"

flying_frontkick
flying_frontkick
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05.05.2021 | 12:25 PM ET

Predictions: 11 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 710 Points   |   Tied for 104th

They are feeding O'Malley hand picked opponents and it couldn't be more obvious, one he faces a strong nosed wrestler who has kicks and punches in his arsenal, he will fall again. He is not going to be champion. 

"For no particular reason beat up everyone"

Hyrm
Hyrm
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05.05.2021 | 12:33 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 620 Points   |   Tied for 616th

Casual dont care. They will think Omalley is a  superstar because he finish 5 hand picked guy in a row and then they will watch the PPV when he get smashed hard again.

"Never go down without a fight"

flying_frontkick
flying_frontkick
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05.05.2021 | 12:46 PM ET

Predictions: 11 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 710 Points   |   Tied for 104th

oops

* Edited at 05.05.2021, 12:55 PM ET *

"For no particular reason beat up everyone"

FergboyMMA
FergboyMMA
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05.08.2021 | 3:10 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 6 of 10 Winners, 2 Perfect, 375 Points   |   Tied for 3639th

Poirier vs. McGregor III
Dustin Poirier, SUB, R4
Difficult fight to predict, but I just think after watching that second fight, that Dustin is a better game planner. And Conor will come into this third fight expecting to have a brawl. He will swing, and Dustin will go after those legs. Dustin will have a competitive fight with McGregor before tapping him out with a guillotine in the 4th.

Burns vs. Thompson
Stephen Thompson, DEC
Thompson will touch Burns up. Burns is not a very good striker. Yes, he can throw good strikes, but when you get pieced up by Usman like that, you are not outstriking Wonderboy Thompson. No freaking way. I see Stephen having a field day out there stuffing takedowns, and letting his hands and feet fly. Possible finish.

O'Malley vs. Smolka
Sean O'Malley, TKO, R1
The UFC is feeding Sean these opponents. Wow. Why Louis Smolka? I get they’re trying to build him up because of what happened the last time he was given a big name in Chito Vera, but this is a step too far back. Especially after dismantling Thomas Almedia. It’s almost like the Thomas fight never happened. Disappointed in the UFC, but Sean will continue his streak.

Hall vs. Topuria
Ilia Topuria, DEC
Glad to see Hall back in action but this is not a good opponent for him stylistically. Ilia has the ability to stuff Ryan’s wild scrambles and takedown attempts. And if he does, he will piece Ryan up on the feet and land some very crisp body shots en route to a decision win.

Maia vs. Eye
Jennifer Maia, SUB, R1
Jessica has done nothing to deserve a fight with a girl coming off a title loss. Absolutely nothing. I believe she’s lost 2-3 in a row now? Yikes. Boxing wise this seems to be even, but Maia has a huge edge in jiu jitsu and that will get her the win.

Tuivasa vs. Hardy
Tai Tuivasa, TKO, R1
This is one of the closest fights I’ve seen on paper. Greg is more technical and has a better jab, but Tuivasa is faster and seems to have a bit more power in his hands. They both have bad cardio. This could either be Tuivasa and Hardy trading until someone gets clipped and KOd, or it could look like a slow decision win for Greg Hardy. I’m leaning the first option, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see some angry people afterwards.

Aldana vs. Kunitskaya
Yana Kunitskaya, DEC
This truly has the potential to be a barnburner. Irene swings hooks like a wild man, and Yana is busy throwing the whole time no matter if she’s on top, bottom, or standing up.

"If you jingle my bells, you will have a white Christmas, "

Erison
Erison
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05.10.2021 | 12:58 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 530 Points   |   Tied for 1670th

Shocked to see so many people willing to pick Conor again. Yeah he won the first round (narrowly), but at the cost of his legs, gas tank, arms, and chin. He was a dead man walking to start the SECOND round. What state would he be in if Dustin drags it into the championship rounds? Conor has literally never won a championship round.

I don't think the last fight was a fluke. The leg kicks were just one of Dustin's tools working in that fight. We saw he could take Conor's best punch and smile. If Conor can't shock him in the first two minutes, the odds shift exponentially in Poirier's favor from then on out.

Page 4


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