Topic: UFC 263

UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2

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Tapology
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02.25.2021 | 12:51 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC 263
  • Saturday 06.12.2021 at 10:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: ESPN
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: Gila River Arena
  • Location: Glendale, Arizona, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Joe Rogan, Paul Felder
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Joe Rogan
  • PPV Buys / Buyrate: N/A | TV Ratings: 1.09M avg. viewers (ESPN prelims)
  • MMA Bouts: 14
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Israel Adesanya   defeats   Marvin Vettori   via Decision, Unanimous   5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page
Brandon Moreno   defeats   Deiveson Figueiredo   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   2:26 Round 3 of 5, 12:26 Total Bout Page
Leon Edwards   defeats   Nate Diaz   via Decision, Unanimous   5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page
Belal Muhammad   defeats   Demian Maia   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Paul Craig   defeats   Jamahal Hill   via KO/TKO, Arm Injury and Strikes from Guard   1:59 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Brad Riddell   defeats   Drew Dober   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Eryk Anders   defeats   Darren Stewart   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Lauren Murphy   defeats   Joanne Calderwood   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Movsar Evloev   defeats   Hakeem Dawodu   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Pannie Kianzad   defeats   Alexis Davis   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Terrance McKinney   defeats   Matt Frevola   via KO/TKO, Left Cross to Ground and Pound   0:07 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Steven Peterson   defeats   Chase Hooper   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Fares Ziam   defeats   Luigi Vendramini   via Decision, Majority   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Carlos Felipe   defeats   Jake Collier   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 8

Erison
Erison
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06.08.2021 | 1:26 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 6 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 1311th

I think this’ll probably be an anticlimactic last fight for Maia. Probably just get volume punched for three rounds. 
HiDefff
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06.08.2021 | 1:44 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 14 Winners, 6 Perfect, 625 Points   |   Tied for 552nd

Really all he has to do is poke Belal in the eyes and he will get a bigger fight 2 months later lol 

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FistyMcKickerChoke
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06.08.2021 | 2:12 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 14 Winners, 4 Perfect, 615 Points   |   Tied for 674th

Maia has to actually get a takedown or back take in order for a submission to happen, and Belal has great TDD and is very mobile when he fights so I don't think Maia will be able to get a hold of him. Maia is like most BJJ fighters in that he only has a single and double-leg takedown in his arsenal. Belal will stay on the feet and piece him up for 3 rounds to a wide decision because he's not a power puncher and Maia is tough as ****

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2021.06.08 2:48 PM ET

bout status update

Frevola vs. Camacho Changed from Confirmed to Cancelled
Thewelshguy1998
Thewelshguy1998
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06.08.2021 | 2:59 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 14 Winners, 5 Perfect, 425 Points   |   Tied for 3002nd

The odds on izzy by ko tko aren't bad 

Edit - because I think Thats what will happen 

* Edited at 06.08.2021, 4:00 PM ET *

Swallerballs
Swallerballs
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06.08.2021 | 3:40 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 5 Perfect, 475 Points   |   Tied for 2342nd

If I were to do a parlay I would just do over 2.5 Adeanysa v Vetorri, Belal, and Edwards tbh. Maybe throw in fight goes the distance in the Dawodu fight
Jardani_Wick
Jardani_Wick
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06.08.2021 | 3:44 PM ET

Camacho out

Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 4 Perfect, 500 Points   |   Tied for 1929th

HiDefff
HiDefff
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06.08.2021 | 3:47 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 14 Winners, 6 Perfect, 625 Points   |   Tied for 552nd

I think my favorite bet on the entire card is Dober -130. Personally think he smokes Riddell 

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Fight4Love
Fight4Love
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06.08.2021 | 4:10 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 2 Perfect, 465 Points   |   Tied for 2522nd

Adesanya vs. Vettori II
Israel Adesanya, TKO, R4
3 Years and 2 months since the last fight. Isi for the KO! Vettori has gone on a 5 fight win streak against mid level opponents. Just look at the 8 names Israel has taken down since then.

Figueiredo vs. Moreno II
Brandon Moreno, DEC
stay away from this fight as far as money goes. damn, im betting on the over line of 4.5 Rounds. lets go the distance boys!

Edwards vs. Diaz
Nate Diaz, DEC
I have nothing to go off of except Imbedded Footage of Diaz.

Maia vs. Muhammad
Demian Maia, SUB, R3
Belal is not a finisher and If you give Maia enough time, he can find a way to win.

Craig vs. Hill
Paul Craig, TKO, R2
I think the Bearjew wants it more! Hill is due for a loss.

"She slammed me on my head, and that's not cool" -Thug Rose

Fight4Love
Fight4Love
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06.08.2021 | 4:15 PM ET

Ill share this one.

Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 2 Perfect, 465 Points   |   Tied for 2522nd

Parlay
(3 Team) Details 
Boxing - 24705 Marvin Vettori/Israel Adesanya under 4½ +110 for Game 
Boxing - 24701 Brandon Moreno +185 for Game 
Boxing - 24717 Nate Diaz/Leon Edwards over 4½ +100 for Game
$10 for $109.70
1 of 3

* Edited at 06.08.2021, 4:16 PM ET *

"She slammed me on my head, and that's not cool" -Thug Rose

Joshjeffords
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06.08.2021 | 4:49 PM ET

Predictions: 4 of 10 Winners, 3 Perfect, 290 Points   |   Tied for 3810th

FIGHTERKDSIG. STR.SIG. STR. %TOTAL STR.TDTD %SUB. ATTREV.CTRL

Jan Blachowicz

Israel Adesanya

0

0

107 of 193

78 of 161

55%

48%

184 of 276

99 of 182

3 of 5

0 of 0

60%

---

0

0

0

0

7:06

0:01

Just wondering did the 80 percent of you forget this just happened
Tieoken
Tieoken
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06.08.2021 | 5:01 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 14 Winners, 4 Perfect, 450 Points   |   Tied for 2617th

To be fair, Jan is a thick ***** LH and Izzy is a skinny MW.

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Erison
Erison
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06.08.2021 | 6:43 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 6 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 1311th

Yeah I think the (probably) 40ish pound difference in weight on fight night had a lot to do with Jan’s performance. Even on the feet Izzy had to stick and move and respect his power in a way that he doesn’t with Vettori. Then obviously that impacted the takedowns. I’m sure Vettori think that fight is the blueprint, but I don’t think he’s going to be able to replicate any of that. 
Erison
Erison
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06.08.2021 | 7:57 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 6 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 1311th

The difference between middleweight and light heavy is the biggest divisional weight jump in the sport. (heavyweight circus fights aside) And Izzy is on the light side of middleweight, Jan on the heavy side of light heavyweight to boot. That fight was like a basketball heat check, when a shooter makes a few shots in a row so they start taking riskier and riskier shots to test how hot they are. Izzy tore through everyone and tested how far he could push it. No shame in that, but I also think we gotta be careful how much mma math we try to take from it. Like, I don't think there's a "blueprint" other than "Be massively bigger and stronger". 
Pezzie
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06.08.2021 | 8:11 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 575 Points   |   Tied for 969th



"never tell me the odds."

Nuggetheel
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06.08.2021 | 9:30 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 14 Winners, 5 Perfect, 575 Points   |   Tied for 969th

Terrance McKinney finally making it to the big show, good for him. wish it was under different circumstances though, hope Camacho heals up quickly
VicVinegar
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06.08.2021 | 9:46 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 5 Perfect, 525 Points   |   Tied for 1565th

Adesanya vs. Vettori II
Israel Adesanya, DEC
I dont see Vettori racking up enough control time to win this fight without gassing out. Israel is miles ahead on the feet and he alwaus seems to land the more eye catching strikes. I think Vettori can win rounds if he gets some takedowns and pressures Izzy relentlessly when they are on the feet but I dont see him being able to keep up the kind of pace necessary to take Izzy out of his gameplan for 5 rounds. Marvin is tough as nails and so hard to finish so Adesanya by decision is the pick.

Figueiredo vs. Moreno II
Deiveson Figueiredo, DEC
This is gonna be a helluva fight. I see Figgy's power making the difference here. Deivison was beatable when he accepted being on the bottom after being taken down but now he has evolved his game and when his opponents try to take him down he attacks with submissions, tries to sweep or creates space and gets back up. Moreno can take him down, but can he hold him there? If not I see Deiveson landing the more impressive strikes. Moreno is incredibly tough and hard to finish but if anyone in the flyweight division has the power to do it it's Deiveson. I'm picking Figgy by decision, however, if he makes weight with no problem and appears to be fully healthy I might pick him to win by KO in the 2nd or 3rd.

"Fortune favors the bold."

DamienHandel420
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06.09.2021 | 1:14 AM ET

Duck's Pick And Breakdowns

Predictions: 14 of 14 Winners, 6 Perfect, 905 Points   |   2nd Place


This was a hard card to pick as most of the fights were close and interesting matchup, Shock so many heavy favourites on the card. You don't want to be a ***** picking all the favourites as it also boring. Really exited for this card as this card is going to have a lot of upsets. Thank you for reading
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1YTlKbKewxu0nRa8pkcP7euaZeDB6t4i500yvzyTMu9I/edit?usp=sharing

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KyleH
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06.09.2021 | 2:19 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 14 Winners, 4 Perfect, 450 Points   |   Tied for 2617th

I’m not sure if I’ve seen McKinney fight, how well does he match up with Frevola?

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DelinquentMMA
DelinquentMMA
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06.09.2021 | 7:20 AM ET

predictions link

Predictions: 9 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 1247th

"Delinquentmma.com"

Tieoken
Tieoken
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06.09.2021 | 8:16 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 14 Winners, 4 Perfect, 450 Points   |   Tied for 2617th

@Duck

That’s a hot take picking Paul Craig. But the juice is there for the reasons you state in your breakdown, especially if you pick a twofer bet of Sub/Dec. Way to find value. The only one I don’t agree with at all is the McKinney pick.

"I’m here to snatch necks and cash checks" - Darrick Minner

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