Topic: UFC 263
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
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02.25.2021 | 12:51 PM ET
Responses Page 2
04.27.2021 | 12:17 AM ET
Vettori, Dec.
There's only one question that need be asked when trying to determine a winner here: Can Vettori execute effective chain wrestling to win rounds/get the fight to his wheelhouse where he can possibly get a TKO finish through GNP? Well, let's try and make sense of that possibility:
Marvin Vettori has the second highest TD rate of anyone Adesanya has ever faced--the first being Brunson. He has the highest TD accuracy percentage of anyone Adesanya has faced, including Yoel Romero. Adesanya has the highest TDD percentage of anyone Vettori has faced at 86%. We can break down what this means a little by analyzing the first fight.
The first fight
Was definitely not a blowout for Adesanya, and having rewatched it a couple of hours ago, I am confident that Vettori has improved far more than Adesanya has. Israel is the same fighter he was during their first encounter. Vettori is not.
The first two round were not competitive. Vettori was kept at the end of Izzy's range and although he did land some counters/combos, they were rolled for the most part, and he definitely got the worst of it.
However, the third--which is where things get interesting in terms of breaking down their second bout--was a different deal. Vettori basically figured out that Adesanya is far less dangerous in intimate space than he is through the middle/outside, and where before he would stop advancing when izzy threw heat, he held his ground and took steps forward in high guard. This really ****** Adesanya's **** up. He started eating short 1-2'S, got cut-off, and became open to diving single legs.
Vettori successfully took Izzy down, and would have kept him there without too much trouble had Herb Dean, who is a corrupt *************, not badgered him with 'Let's work'! And threatened to stand them up basically 4 seconds after Vettori passed guard--which incidentally he was able to do like a hot knife through butter. Israel attempted a sweep and didn't get close to hitting it. Dean continued to harangue Vettori whenever he secured dominant position moving forward basically instantly. It was horrendous. Don't believe me? Rewatch the fight.
I'm going to take Vettori in this one and hope Dean isn't adjudicating. I think Vettori learned what he needed to from the first fight, and has improved his chain wrestling, grappling and cardio to the point that he's going to do enough to win on points through control and top damage. I don't see a finish. And new.
* Edited at 04.27.2021, 12:22 AM ET *
04.29.2021 | 1:48 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 525 Points | Tied for 1565th
Israel Adesanya
I like Vettori but I hate this fight. Allowing champions to play matchmaker is a very slippery slope, once they have the power to pick fights, the structure of the division will collapse.
"Excuse me guys, I want to say something. I want to stay humble, but I have to talk because you guys talk too much"
05.02.2021 | 7:31 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 1 of 2 Winners, 0 Perfect, 50 Points | Tied for 4189th
Israel Adesanya, TKO, R3
adesanya is the greatest
Figueiredo vs. Moreno II
Deiveson Figueiredo, DEC
figueiredo is gonna win the rematch
05.02.2021 | 11:14 PM ET
Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 6 Perfect, 550 Points | Tied for 1311th
Adesanya by Decision. I feel like Vettori is going to have a false confidence going for takedowns after that's how Jan won it. But I see Izzy defending the takedowns and winning the striking exchanges just like the first fight.
Figgy by KO, later on like the 3rd or 4th. I think we saw the worst Figueiredo last time. Tried to cut and fight again way too soon, got food poisoning, gassed late in the fight, and still would have won if not for the point deduction. I think remove all those variables, he just comes in and goes to work.
Muhammad by Decision. Feels like a gimme for Belal after a bad beat last time, right? He's gonna piece Maia up.
Hill by KO. Just can't give up a freak submission.
Hooper by Submission because why not?
05.03.2021 | 5:20 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 7 of 14 Winners, 0 Perfect, 350 Points | Tied for 3464th
Steven Peterson, TKO, R2
if Hooper hasn't fixed his stand up I think he's getting finished
"š“ No Quarter Given š“"
bout announced
Leon Edwards vs. Nate Diaz at 170 lbs (77.1 kg)
05.04.2021 | 1:28 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 7 of 14 Winners, 0 Perfect, 350 Points | Tied for 3464th
Leon Edwards, TKO, R3
this card is officially insane ***
"š“ No Quarter Given š“"
05.04.2021 | 4:56 AM ET
Predictions: 7 of 14 Winners, 4 Perfect, 450 Points | Tied for 2617th
"There's 3 things in life that excite me. A woman, of course. Dinosaurs, and the violence of the Octagon" - GSP
05.04.2021 | 4:02 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 2 of 5 Winners, 1 Perfect, 125 Points | Tied for 4100th
Marvin Vettori, DEC
After a chess match for 25 minutes, Vettori wins a clear cut decision with takedowns and pressure while Israel lands more on the feet.
Figueiredo vs. Moreno II
Brandon Moreno, DEC
Hard rematch to predict. I say Deiveson dominates the first 2 and maybe gets a knockdown, but then he struggles with Moreno in the last 3 after gassing and Moreno uses clean boxing to steal a close rematch that isnāt nearly as fun as the first one.
Craig vs. Hill
Jamahal Hill, TKO, R1
Paul gets caught and wobbles bad and Hill finishes with a standing TKO.
Maia vs. Muhammad
Belal Muhammad, DEC
Belal has too much volume for Maia to handle and I think Demian gets hit with a spinning backfist late in the fight and barely survives.
Edwards vs. Diaz
Nate Diaz, TKO, R4
Leon will piece Diaz up for 4 rounds and then Diaz will throw an overhand right that grazes and cuts Edwards and he wins with a BS stoppage and it gets rebooked for August.
"If you jingle my bells, you will have a white Christmas, "
05.05.2021 | 3:37 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 4 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 275 Points | Tied for 3827th
Leon Edwards, DEC
I'll be surprised if Leon finishes Nate. I mean Nate is basically that cat Denis got when he was looking for a junk yard dog on sunny.
"I fell off harder then those monkeys jumping on the bed"
05.05.2021 | 7:39 PM ET
Predictions: 7 of 14 Winners, 0 Perfect, 350 Points | Tied for 3464th
"š“ No Quarter Given š“"
05.05.2021 | 8:04 PM ET
Predictions: 6 of 14 Winners, 5 Perfect, 425 Points | Tied for 3002nd
05.05.2021 | 8:05 PM ET
Predictions: 6 of 14 Winners, 5 Perfect, 425 Points | Tied for 3002nd
05.06.2021 | 8:29 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 9 of 14 Winners, 8 Perfect, 650 Points | Tied for 415th
Leon Edwards, DEC
This is a waste of time for Edwards, who should be fighting the top 5 of the division right now, and I don't think it will be fun to watch at all. Nate will eat shots and takedowns for 3 or 4 rounds until his face lets him down again. Late TKO or clear decision for Edwards. Seriously tho, Nate Diaz vs Cerrone 2, or vs a Carlos Condit, or a Matt Brown would have been way better. If he somehow wins this (by submission ?) I will eat my words, but this is really an undeserved opportunity, almost worst than the Poirier rematch for McGregor. Maybe if they both loses, the trilogy could finally happen ?
Peterson vs. Hooper
Steven Peterson, TKO, R2
Peterson may not be the best fighter of the UFC, but he is tough and durable, relentless with his offense, with dangerous stand up skills. Hooper can drag him to the ground and sub him with his elite JJB talent of course, but his body looks really awkward and weak, he's slow, doesn't move very well, and can't defend at all, so I think Peterson gets it done late in rounds 2 or 3.
"Check my ART here if you want : https://www.instagram.com/john.volcan/"
05.06.2021 | 11:40 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 7 Perfect, 575 Points | Tied for 1097th
Leon Edwards, DEC
If Leon Edwards was facing Nate Diaz 10 years ago, I would give Nate a good chance at winning, but he is washed up now.
05.08.2021 | 4:22 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 9 of 14 Winners, 5 Perfect, 590 Points | Tied for 900th
Israel Adesanya, TKO, R2
Picked Jan to beat Izzy because frame and technical striking; Vettori has frame, but that straight left hand is telegraphed -- his chin is open.
Edwards vs. Diaz
Leon Edwards, TKO, R2
This is a give-me for Leon. Leon by whatever he wants.
bout announced
Eryk Anders vs. Darren Stewart II at 205 lbs (93.0 kg)
05.10.2021 | 12:45 AM ET
Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 6 Perfect, 550 Points | Tied for 1311th
05.10.2021 | 6:39 PM ET
Wow
Predictions: 2 of 5 Winners, 1 Perfect, 125 Points | Tied for 4100th
"If you jingle my bells, you will have a white Christmas, "
05.10.2021 | 6:41 PM ET
Predictions: 2 of 5 Winners, 1 Perfect, 125 Points | Tied for 4100th
"If you jingle my bells, you will have a white Christmas, "
bout announced
Pannie Kianzad vs. Alexis Davis at 135 lbs (61.2 kg)
05.14.2021 | 3:28 PM ET
Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 4 Perfect, 500 Points | Tied for 1929th
05.14.2021 | 11:21 PM ET
Predictions: 14 of 14 Winners, 6 Perfect, 905 Points | 2nd Place
"Quack quack quack"