Topic: UFC Fight Night
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson
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02.04.2021 | 9:07 PM ET
Responses Page 8
05.05.2021 | 1:55 AM ET
Predictions: 4 of 9 Winners, 0 Perfect, 200 Points | Tied for 2508th
05.05.2021 | 1:57 AM ET
Predictions: 4 of 9 Winners, 0 Perfect, 200 Points | Tied for 2508th
05.05.2021 | 3:36 AM ET
Predictions: 6 of 9 Winners, 3 Perfect, 390 Points | Tied for 234th
05.05.2021 | 3:43 AM ET
Predictions: 4 of 9 Winners, 0 Perfect, 200 Points | Tied for 2508th
05.05.2021 | 9:04 AM ET
Predictions: 5 of 9 Winners, 4 Perfect, 390 Points | Tied for 279th
Adashev on the other hand has not looked very good. He has had a pretty extensive kickboxing career however he has not won a single stand up bout in the UFC and if you watched his past matches in which he won against this one 3-1 guy, he was losing round 1. He got knocked out by Nam on the feet, he got outclassed by Mudaerji on the feet. For a kickboxer, he has not looked very good on the feet. Benoit's record is ugly but so is Adashev but it's just the level of competition imo that really puts the stamp in betting on Benoit. Especially since he's barely a favorite so get the line while it last.
* Edited at 05.05.2021, 9:05 AM ET *
"Don't follow my bets, it's probably wrong."
05.05.2021 | 9:24 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 4 of 9 Winners, 3 Perfect, 300 Points | Tied for 1207th
Amanda Ribas, SUB, R2
Ribas is a great grappler. Ribas has always been hungry to rise up the rankings and nine years younger than Hill.
Hill is technical striker and Ribas has lost twice to KO, but Hill famously doesn't have KO power.
Almost all of Hill's losses are against grapplers. Ribas said recently she made a mistake going away from the grappling gameplan against Marina and is going to be more agressive and alert, looking to fully use her great judo.
At a slight favorite and with a clear path to victory, Ribas is a lock for me and I'm looking to continue my recent fortune of favoring great Brazilian grapplers (last one, Mackenzie Dern)
* Edited at 05.05.2021, 9:28 AM ET *
05.05.2021 | 9:55 AM ET
Predictions: 4 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 225 Points | Tied for 2197th
05.05.2021 | 12:50 PM ET
predictions link
Predictions: 2 of 5 Winners, 1 Perfect, 125 Points | Tied for 3125th
"Delinquent MMA"
05.05.2021 | 2:54 PM ET
Predictions: 4 of 9 Winners, 2 Perfect, 250 Points | Tied for 1856th
"I know many a troops that I visit when I went to Iraq in 2005... 2-uh excuse me in 19-or.. 05' 06' 07' 08' 09' 2010 2011. I went from the Korwaiten border! All the way up to the Turkish border!" -Tito Ortiz
05.05.2021 | 2:56 PM ET
Predictions: 4 of 9 Winners, 2 Perfect, 265 Points | Tied for 1723rd
05.05.2021 | 3:09 PM ET
@thebluedash
Predictions: 6 of 9 Winners, 2 Perfect, 365 Points | Tied for 384th
I have to disagree with Benoit being a “safe bet.” Too close of a fight to get that kind of classification. Both are coming off of two losses, Benoit has seven in seventeen bouts. Adashev got caught cold vs Nam who, in his own right, has plenty of other ko’s on his record to show that he can crack a bit. However, Adashev’s last bout against Su Mudajeri showed he could go the distance with an arguably better striker than Nam, having made a few adjustments. This is striker vs striker, something Adashev has plenty of experience with outside of the UFC, so he should be able to hold his own. For me, close fights are never safe bets, especially considering the state of judging we’ve seen lately. Place carefully.
"They don’t want a man like me to have the title cause I’m not a puppet like that fool up there."
05.05.2021 | 3:20 PM ET
Predictions: 4 of 9 Winners, 2 Perfect, 265 Points | Tied for 1723rd
Adashev is 3-3 fighting regional-tier comp. His wins are against absolute cans. He went to dec against a guy who has literally never won a fight. His KO wins are against 3-2 guys whose wins are also against cans.
Benoit is worth his price, especially for a parlay.
05.05.2021 | 3:25 PM ET
Predictions: 4 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 240 Points | Tied for 2041st
"I’m here to snatch necks and cash checks" - Darrick Minner
05.05.2021 | 3:30 PM ET
Predictions: 4 of 9 Winners, 2 Perfect, 265 Points | Tied for 1723rd
How do you see him winning? By KO? Benoit has never been KO'ed. Moreno couldn't KO Benoit. By dec? Maybe. He has one Dec win over, again, a guy who has never won a fight in MMA.
yeah....
* Edited at 05.05.2021, 3:33 PM ET *
05.05.2021 | 3:57 PM ET
Gotta love cowboy: 10:04 for the laughs
Predictions: 4 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 240 Points | Tied for 2041st
* Edited at 05.05.2021, 3:58 PM ET *
"I’m here to snatch necks and cash checks" - Darrick Minner
05.05.2021 | 4:58 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 2 of 7 Winners, 1 Perfect, 125 Points | Tied for 3125th
Donald Cerrone, DEC
I personally thought cowboy beat Pettis when they fought. Maybe Pettis had a great night but morono had exactly nothing for Pettis when they fought. If that Alex shows up he will also offer exactly nothing to cowboy. Cowboy has looked old vs top and middle tier talent and with this step down he should be able to get the W.
"“Who ain’t got Jiu Jitsuuu” "
05.05.2021 | 6:55 PM ET
Predictions: 5 of 9 Winners, 4 Perfect, 390 Points | Tied for 279th
* Edited at 05.05.2021, 7:40 PM ET *
"Don't follow my bets, it's probably wrong."
05.05.2021 | 7:48 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 3 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 175 Points | Tied for 2778th
Ryan Benoit, TKO, R2
Zarrukh Adashev - Sean O Malleys Future Opponent
05.05.2021 | 7:49 PM ET
Predictions: 6 of 9 Winners, 2 Perfect, 365 Points | Tied for 384th
@Fish & @Bluedash
I hear you both on those assessments, fair enough. But here’s the thing for me, I have to see the clear advantages. Yes Benoit has fought some better names/competition than Adashev has. Adashev is still relatively young in his mma career compared to Benoit. And yes, I watch tape on virtually every fighter I make a pick for (not doing so, IMO is not giving yourself a fair chance at making a proper assessment. But to say Benoit is a safe bet or a lock, nah. Is he going to run over Adashev and blow him out of the water in the first? Nah. He hasn’t had a KO of his own in over three years. Is he a better striker than Mudajeri? Nah. Adashev got hurt a few times in that bout and still was able to pull through and not get stopped. My point is, he’s still got room to improve in his mma game, he’s making the adjustments to round himself out. I wouldn’t put Ryan near any of my parlays, even if I did lean towards him. Ryan has lost to all of those better names and probably doesn’t have a higher ceiling. But, this is why we watch.
"They don’t want a man like me to have the title cause I’m not a puppet like that fool up there."
05.05.2021 | 7:50 PM ET
Duck bets
Predictions: 3 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 190 Points | Tied for 2687th
This are my betting Ideas, Do you like them or not. I'm just making a little bit of profit over the last few weeks because the Judges have been mean to me on all the coin flip value fights I like to put money on. I don't watch tape so i'm interested to know you oppion on this bets as I usually put my bets in the night before
Parley piece favourites- - Try to have 5% implied probilty margin.
Amanda Ribas 1.53 (65.4%)
I give Ribas at lest 70% and up to 80% chance of beating Hill. She a top 5 women skill wise and is the best grappler in the division and arguably in WMMA with a Judo and Jiu-Jitsu black belt. I would be almost certain she destroys Hill if it wasn't for a chin But what the chance that a women fighter get slept two fight in a row. Very minimal
Geoff Neal 1.50 (66.6%)
I give Magny virtually no chance in beating Geoff as Magny entire fighting style is clinching and grappling strikers with no takedown defense. Geoff Neal takedown defence is really good and has 93% takedown defence and the last time he got taken down was in his first UFC fight. Magny stand up never really impress me as dude got piece up by Chiesa on the Feet
Kyle Daukous 1.64 (61%)
I thought Phil Hawes look really bad in his last fight as was lucky the guy he fought was green. I'm still high on Kyle Daukous as dude is a top 25 guy now and i think in the future will be a top 15 guy. Kyle Daukous can also take a beating as if you watch the Brendan Allen fight so Hawes only path to victory being a 1st round Ko is pretty unlikely
Underdogs- More then 10% implied Probilty margin
Carlos Diego Ferriera 2.47 (40.5%)
Im surprise at the odds Tbh. Carlos should be favourite. Really think Gregor is overated as dude was a can crusher and the got merked by Kevin Lee. In this fight Gregor has the luxarary of picking his demise as Carlos gonna submet Gregor if he try to wresle him as dude almost submented Benny on a few occasion and dude a 3 degre blackbelt in Jiu jitsu and if he try to kept it on his feet, Gregor gonna catch them hands
Mike Trizano 3.00 33.33%
I just think the line on Ludovit Klein is a bit inflated.There a alot of unknown in this fight like how will Trizano look like after 2 years off and how Klein look like if he doesn't get the headkick Ko or if he doesn't miss weight by 5 pounds. I fell like the line is based off the worst possible outcome for Trizano as this fight is close to a pick em.
Prop bets- Honesly the best place to find value if you know what your talking about because they're alway value somewhere
Maurice Greene Sub 6.00 (16.7%)
This fight is a coin flip as it low level heavyweight and I maybe lean Greene. And Greene main path the victory is submission as Greene win are usually submession and Lima only losses are by Submession. I think it at lest 30% likely it cash so approximately 15% margin is a good margin
Cerrone vs Moreno inside the distance 2.35 (42.6%) or Cerrone inside the Distance 4.45 (22.5%)
I'm pretty confident in this fight ending inside the distance as Cerrone is a finisher with 9 decsion out of 36 wins and I'm about 60-65% confendent in Cowboy winning as Moreno clearly lost to Pettis and I think Cerone and Pettis are about the same level. And if Moreno were to win, He probley have to "Old yeller" Cowboy
Daukous sub 4.75 (21.1%)
I like this prop as 8 out of 10 of Daukous wins are by sub, And I'm already pretty high on Daukous winning anyway,
CDF sub 6.00 (16.7%)
Gregor Gilespe is gonna try and wresle Carlos. I don't see that ending well for him as Diego is a 3 degre black belt, So Good luck on not getting submitted
Ryan Benoit Ko 4.00 (25%)
Ryan Benoit 8 out of his 10 wins are by Ko And Zaruck Adashive is a guy the UFC sign to make other guys look good. Dude is a 3-3 fight in the UFC. Not dumb to have Jobber in you company tho
Phillpe Lin by Decsion 3.25 (30.8%)
Ben Rothwell should be the Underdog, Dude was getting his asskick by Stuve before the ******** **** kick KO and pretty much lost every other fight, Lins ain’t some beast but I think he has enough to win. But Rothwell is also impossible to KO
* Edited at 05.05.2021, 8:43 PM ET *
"Quack quack quack"