UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Procházka

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

@ duck 

Sam hughes had a serious injury with her eye I watched a interview with her like a few days after the loss. Something about bleeding inside of the eye or something crazy like that I don't remember. But the point is it was something legit to not continue vs that koshcoph guy who just decided he was done. Right now I got luma as she's made me money in her past fight, but definitely not betting at these odds and rooting for Sam she's from my home state. I took a little sprinkle on her last fight which obviously didn't cash. I might get drunk enough to say **** it and change my pick to her. 

* Edited at 05.01.2021, 12:27 AM ET *

I don't really care that much about Pearce's fight being off. It's his income and if him and his coaches feel like this is for the best, then so be it. Also Benitez just flip flops between FW and LW, seems he can't make up his mind if he wants to be a weight bully or if he wants to fight people his own size. Hopefully he figures it out by his next weigh in.

I agree 90% of the time they pick the favorite I go by my guy feeling 

These are the bets I've placed after watching weigh ins/face offs/some tape study and what I already know. Don't recommend tailing but **** it hoping I make some money. These odds are rounded I don't feel like doing all that math you'll get the jist. 

Parlay - Sean strickland/merab+cody over 2.5....8 units to win 6 units. --- Sean is way better and has the potential for a finish no doubt, and in other one both guys seem to be expecting a long fight and both are hard to finish and aren't known for being huge finishers

Parlay - Luana Pinerho/giga+cub over 2.5....5 units to win 7 units ---- Luana seems to be ufc caliber and better in all areas then markos. Seems like the ufc wants her out with this match. Just enough dwcs people have lost for ppl to start wanting to fade them which got this at good tag for the actual skill of the two. Giga and cub not really finishers they have their moments but generally not and both have good chins. I lean giga so I expect mostly outpoint on feet most of fight to decision   

Small dog - dustin jacoby.... 2 units to win 2 units --- I think people counting this guy out I think he's pretty decent and against a guy who is finishable by everyone he faces over a certian skill level. Think jacoby gets a finish strongly but I've learned my lesson enough with trying to get greedy with props. A bit better than even money's fine. 

Small dog - dominick reyes.... 2 units to win 2 units --- I'm chalking his last loss to an off night plus the way he speaks about it. He usually has a good chin and pretty much beat jon jones the only argument is jon landing tds which jiri isn't going to be doing. Think dom wants to make a point in this one and is coming in super focused. Probably should have waited till tomorrow money probably will come in on ion. 

Big dog - Pinerho+markos under 2.5 rounds...1 unit to win 2 units --- either what I think happens and they get a showcase finish for the up and comer or she does something dumb out of the pressure and markos capitalizes. 

Big dog botelho+carolina under 2.5 rounds....1 unit to win 3 units (I bet this one on accident thinking it was the fight above....**** it can still see it happening)

* Edited at 05.01.2021, 2:09 AM ET *

Strickland vs. Jotko
Krzysztof Jotko, TKO, R2
Stickman too small

Swanson vs. Chikadze
Giga Chikadze, DEC
#GigaGang

Swanson vs. Chikadze
Giga Chikadze, DEC
It is a clash of styles! Despite both being strikers Cub Swanson is a Brawler with good strength and great KO power, Giga Chikadze is a technical kickboxer who knows how to handle the distance, works with combinations and that in his last 2 fights (against Morales and Simmons) he has shown that his opponents must be careful with the power of his kicks and punches. Even though the fight is close, I think Chikadze can take the decision by keeping the distance with leg kicks and landing more punches through long combinations. I respect Swanson's career, but the wars within the octagon and injuries in recent years have taken away some of his mobility and that ability to bring something new to every fight.

Reyes vs. Procházka
Dominick Reyes, TKO, R3
this is the way

Swanson vs. Chikadze
Giga Chikadze, DEC
this is the way

Cutelaba vs. Jacoby
Ion Cutelaba, SUB, R2
this is the way

Strickland vs. Jotko
Sean Strickland, DEC
this is the way

Botelho vs. Carolina
Poliana Botelho, DEC
this is the way

I'm trying out HiDeff's recommended website. It's a bit inaccurate since my profit is higher as there was a DQ that the website counts as a loss but overall it's not a bad tracking method. Also, don't tail my pick for this UFC because I went risky as **** due to have a streak of perfect events leading up to it.

1U = $20


https://www.betmma.tips/Tieoken

Is Dana on all the steroids in the world 

Swanson vs. Chikadze
Cub Swanson, TKO, R1
Levels

absolutely no confidence with my picks today

Swanson vs. Chikadze
Giga Chikadze, DEC
Disrespectful people toward Giga, he's not elite but he's taking this unless Swanson does some crazy ****.

Okay. I gotta ask, why do people take picking against a fighter so personally. I get less offended when people pick against me in my fights. Like we’re not slandering your mother’s honor, we’re picking against a fighter who have never met, will never meet, and don’t even know their middle name?

Reyes vs. Procházka
Jiří Procházka, TKO, R2
I was aware of Prochazka's trajectory at Rizin (especially from his fight vs. C.B. Dollaway) but with just one fight inside the octagon, Jiri is easily in the top 5 of the most exciting fighters currently in the UFC. His performance against Volkan Oezdemir was incredible: Jiri used feints, and an amazing combination of unorthodox striking with truly technical shots also did a bit of showboating in addition to the use of the big wave and play possum. The fact that Prochazka is so unpredictable makes him a very dangerous contender. On the other side we have Dominick Reyes who is a great athlete, has great physical strength and a characteristic KO power. But in reality he does not stand out beyond the aforementioned: Reyes' standing fight falls into the category of standard although he has managed to surprise with several kicks to the head, he usually only uses boxing punches and a few low kicks, Domick Reyes does not know characterized by having to launch a large number of combinations or by having great speed in his blows or by having an incredible timing in his counterattacks. It's a shame because I'm one of those who thinks that Dominick Reyes should have come out with his hand up at UFC 247, he clearly dominated Jon Jones in at least 3 rounds (maybe not with hitting effectiveness, but he did have more aggressiveness, more hits connected and Jones can only take him to the ground near the end of the fight) and now Dominick Reyes is practically going from being the champion without a crown to being on a possible 3-loss streak. Jiri has shown that when he gets serious in the fight he can quickly finish and after knocking someone so strong and dangerous in striking like Volkan Oezdemir I have no doubt that Jiri will get the TKO tonight in the second round.

Tieoken? Rationality?

That'll never work here