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Topic: Bellator 256

Bellator 256: Bader vs. Machida 2

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Tapology
Tapology
  • Location: www.tapology.com
  • Member Since: 2012.01.20
  • Predictions:  0  |  0.0%
  • Forum Posts:  14,860
  • Post Score: 39

02.01.2021 | 10:28 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
Bellator 256
  • Friday 04.09.2021 at 09:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: Showtime | Prelims: Internet Stream
  • Promotion: Bellator MMA
  • Ownership: Bellator Sport Worldwide, LLC
  • Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena
  • Location: Uncasville, Connecticut, United States
  • Enclosure: Cage
  • TV Announcers: Mauro Ranallo, John McCarthy
  • Ring Announcer: Michael C. Williams
  • Post-Fight Interviews: John McCarthy
  • MMA Bouts: 13
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Ryan Bader   defeats   Lyoto Machida   via Decision, Unanimous   5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page
Liz Carmouche   defeats   Vanessa Porto   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Ádám Borics   defeats   Jeremy Kennedy   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Cat Zingano   defeats   Olivia Parker   via Submission, Armbar   2:56 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Dan Moret   defeats   Goiti Yamauchi   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Dalton Rosta   defeats   Tony Johnson   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Talita Nogueira   defeats   Jessica Borga   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Jornel Lugo   defeats   Cass Bell   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Cody Law   defeats   Nathan Ghareeb   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Jaylon Bates   defeats   Jeffrey Glossner   via Submission, Modified Guillotine Choke   1:27 Round 2 of 3, 6:27 Total Bout Page
Nainoa Dung   defeats   Izzy William   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Diana Avsaragova   defeats   Tara Graff   via KO/TKO, Counter Punches   0:29 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
John Douma   defeats   Will Smith   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 2

Kcoh MMA
Kcoh MMA
  • Location: Chi
  • Member Since: 2021.03.04
  • Predictions:  88  |  72.7%
  • Forum Posts:  12
  • Post Score: -675

04.06.2021 | 2:28 PM ET

Predictions: 11 of 13 Winners, 6 Perfect, 700 Points   |   Tied for 109th

If your picking Porto against a women who literally took Valentina shev to a decision less than a year and half ago, comes from UFC to Smellator against an old washed up bum vet in Porto. No wonder why your pick percentage is in the 50s. Geesh do some tape study and you'll be in the high 60s or 70s like myself 

"All I smell is blood"

Kcoh MMA
Kcoh MMA
  • Location: Chi
  • Member Since: 2021.03.04
  • Predictions:  88  |  72.7%
  • Forum Posts:  12
  • Post Score: -675

04.06.2021 | 2:31 PM ET

Tapology filled with a bunch of scrub predictors

Predictions: 11 of 13 Winners, 6 Perfect, 700 Points   |   Tied for 109th

About 95% of you on this site do absolutely 0 tape study and it shows in your pathetic picks and lifetime pick percentages.  Stop giving out terrible picks with no tape study and advising people to pick someone who has 0 chance of winning. Bunch of losers

"All I smell is blood"

FistyMcKickerChoke
FistyMcKickerChoke
  • Location: The real Fight Island in our hearts
  • Member Since: 2020.06.09
  • Predictions:  7,074  |  74.5%
  • Forum Posts:  1,490
  • Post Score: 214

04.06.2021 | 2:31 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 0 Perfect, 350 Points   |   Tied for 1039th

@kcoh you've made 58 picks, total. shut the **** up.

"Check out my pound-for-pound greatest list, AKA "Fisty's Rusty Can Pile" for a laugh at the worst fighters to ever step in a cage! 200+ and counting!"

DamienHandel420
DamienHandel420
  • Location: Somewhere over the rainbow
  • Member Since: 2018.09.01
  • Predictions:  2,248  |  64.4%
  • Forum Posts:  2,061
  • Post Score: 255

04.06.2021 | 4:01 PM ET

@kcoh

Predictions: 11 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 650 Points   |   Tied for 268th

Bro, stop acting like watching tape on Julia Budds opponent is a accomplishment, Bet you parents are real proud of you. And btw 97% people here picking Budd and 87% picking Carmouch, so your no some Einstein

* Edited at 04.06.2021, 4:03 PM ET *

"Qwack Qwack Qwack"

agripp
agripp
  • Member Since: 2021.02.06
  • Predictions:  86  |  65.1%
  • Forum Posts:  42
  • Post Score: 279

04.06.2021 | 5:23 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 734th

Moret vs. Yamauchi
Dan Moret, TKO, R3
moret tko round 3

TARTARA
TARTARA
  • Location: ANTARCTICA
  • Member Since: 2021.02.01
  • Predictions:  367  |  64.6%
  • Forum Posts:  935
  • Post Score: 216

04.06.2021 | 6:44 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 734th

For those who play it like they are experts!

* Edited at 04.06.2021, 6:44 PM ET *

" DuluthPack™ @Stephen Terry,@Hippie, @JPosadas, @Drmaxis2,@bradparton, @ImperatorFishrat, @Millershades, @DamienHandel420, @Quack247, @PinkPanther, @Rombu, www.delinquentmma.com "

TARTARA
TARTARA
  • Location: ANTARCTICA
  • Member Since: 2021.02.01
  • Predictions:  367  |  64.6%
  • Forum Posts:  935
  • Post Score: 216

04.06.2021 | 6:45 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 734th

For those who play it like they are experts!

" DuluthPack™ @Stephen Terry,@Hippie, @JPosadas, @Drmaxis2,@bradparton, @ImperatorFishrat, @Millershades, @DamienHandel420, @Quack247, @PinkPanther, @Rombu, www.delinquentmma.com "

TARTARA
TARTARA
  • Location: ANTARCTICA
  • Member Since: 2021.02.01
  • Predictions:  367  |  64.6%
  • Forum Posts:  935
  • Post Score: 216

04.06.2021 | 6:50 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 734th

For those who play it like they are experts!

" DuluthPack™ @Stephen Terry,@Hippie, @JPosadas, @Drmaxis2,@bradparton, @ImperatorFishrat, @Millershades, @DamienHandel420, @Quack247, @PinkPanther, @Rombu, www.delinquentmma.com "

dirtyreg22
dirtyreg22
  • Member Since: 2020.11.01
  • Predictions:  193  |  54.9%
  • Forum Posts:  72
  • Post Score: 286

04.07.2021 | 12:25 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 3 of 5 Winners, 1 Perfect, 175 Points   |   Tied for 1192nd

Bader vs. Machida II
Ryan Bader, TKO, R3
bader typically finishes his main event fights early if it were only 3 rounds thats when he grinds out decisions. i think he finishes machida by tko in round 3

Zingano vs. Parker
Olivia Parker, DEC
parker has passed all tests but 1. 4 amateur fights 4 of 5 in pro fights. cat was a 500 fighter in ufc. i think her glory days are behind her.

INTERNET_DEBO
INTERNET_DEBO
  • Member Since: 2019.08.08
  • Predictions:  1,510  |  66.6%
  • Forum Posts:  53
  • Post Score: 172

04.07.2021 | 11:50 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 11 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 655 Points   |   Tied for 258th

Kennedy vs. Borics
Jeremy Kennedy, DEC
Gonna have to value going 3-0 in the Ufc and eventually losing to volk over dominating bella bums and taking mike hamel to a split

Kcoh MMA
Kcoh MMA
  • Location: Chi
  • Member Since: 2021.03.04
  • Predictions:  88  |  72.7%
  • Forum Posts:  12
  • Post Score: -675

04.08.2021 | 3:23 AM ET

Assanine

Predictions: 11 of 13 Winners, 6 Perfect, 700 Points   |   Tied for 109th

Assanine thought about zingano. Do you do any research on fights or interviews etc... actually it looks like you don't with that 54% prediction rating. Keep your ******** thoughts to your self Parker is one of the worst mma fighters I've ever seen. Zingano could and will roll this chick with an eye closed. You would know this if you did actual tape study

"All I smell is blood"

Kcoh MMA
Kcoh MMA
  • Location: Chi
  • Member Since: 2021.03.04
  • Predictions:  88  |  72.7%
  • Forum Posts:  12
  • Post Score: -675

04.08.2021 | 3:27 AM ET

Predictions: 11 of 13 Winners, 6 Perfect, 700 Points   |   Tied for 109th

I make over 50k a year on sports betting and mainly on mma.  I do this **** actually for a living. No one gives a **** about free tapology picking. If I made this years ago I would have over 85%. And only made this to join a predictors tourney from YouTube  that pays out 5k to the winner. So know your roll or shut your ****** mouth child. Little kids hop in to other people's convos. No one gives a **** what your 20 year old ass has to say

* Edited at 04.08.2021, 3:28 AM ET *

"All I smell is blood"

TARTARA
TARTARA
  • Location: ANTARCTICA
  • Member Since: 2021.02.01
  • Predictions:  367  |  64.6%
  • Forum Posts:  935
  • Post Score: 216

04.08.2021 | 4:21 AM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 734th

@Kcoh MMA

We do not care about the percentage or the amount of money you made!
We care a-bout you talking humanly because you are talking to people!
When you talking to someone in particular you should tag him!
If you check your previous posts again, maybe you can understand !?
It is one thing to just make fun of each other, and another thing that you did!
Anyway, and i gave you a lot of value, that i dealt with you! 
Thank you for your kindness, the previous and the next ones , in advance!
Over and out!

" DuluthPack™ @Stephen Terry,@Hippie, @JPosadas, @Drmaxis2,@bradparton, @ImperatorFishrat, @Millershades, @DamienHandel420, @Quack247, @PinkPanther, @Rombu, www.delinquentmma.com "

ImperatorFishrat
ImperatorFishrat
  • Location: Wife's Boyfriend's Kitchen
  • Member Since: 2017.09.16
  • Predictions:  6,922  |  63.2%
  • Forum Posts:  14,150
  • Post Score: 198

04.08.2021 | 4:33 AM ET

Predictions: 12 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 765 Points   |   Tied for 14th with 7 others

Koch, have you considered the possibility that you might be completely ridiculous?

Here's the thing: If you were to purely pick UFC, and only ever pick the bookies favorites, you would have a win rate of at least 68%. Greg has written a process to do just this, and it's optimal 68% currently. Which is interesting, because it indicates that the bookies are getting better at writing odds for MMA. Or maybe it's a confound, or maybe the bouts are simply getting more predictable. Whatever. I have seen an algorithm that consistently hits slightly higher than favorites anywhere between 71-73% on UFC. That was a beta. 

To put this all into perspective, someone who had never watched a single bout of MMA---or indeed had never heard of it, could simply just pick the favorites and wind up with a rate of accuracy three percentile points below what yours is currently.--which incidentally will decline as a matter of pure Arithmetic as you make more picks. Unless you are Magnus Carlsen, which I am going to assume you are not.

If you colour-coded favorites, you could train a lower order primate, which couldn't even understand what MMA was any more than a fly could understand how a television works, to hit 68% by feeding it bananas. 

There is nobody on this site who has a purely UFC-based pick percentage in the 70% range as far as I have seen.  Almost nobody on Tapology has honest record, and Greg's is the only one I can even think of. If you have a hit rate 70% and up, all that means is that you're scouring this site for obscure MMA and Boxing events and cherry-picking the can crushes to boost your stats.

What a challenge.



"Omnes Una Manet Nox"

DamienHandel420
DamienHandel420
  • Location: Somewhere over the rainbow
  • Member Since: 2018.09.01
  • Predictions:  2,248  |  64.4%
  • Forum Posts:  2,061
  • Post Score: 255

04.08.2021 | 5:37 AM ET

Predictions: 11 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 650 Points   |   Tied for 268th

HAHHAHAHAHAHAHHA

You ****** Clown,You sound like a 12 year old playing COD with all these Insults ,If you don't care about pick, just piss off, No one want you here anywhere.

Bro, You some genious Huh? Give out some picks them. You alway talk **** about people picks but all of them are like 90% picked and -800. So even my nan know who gonna win. So slow you role they buddy

I know for a fact that you don't make 50k a year gambling, If your gonna lie make more real, Like 5k. Anyone who belive people make insane amout of money is clearly lying, As anyone who try to live off gamiling is just retarted, As that the worst way to make money

You act like watching tape is the most important thing? But I don't and I give out valuble bets because just recently I called Derreck Lewis, Demetrius Johnson and tons on women fight at +200 or more. My ROI is +1000 so with no effort, Im way better at you imaginary job then you.

* Edited at 04.08.2021, 5:39 AM ET *

"Qwack Qwack Qwack"

Hippie
Hippie
  • Location: 🇵🇲 Florida Keys 🧿
  • Member Since: 2019.05.03
  • Predictions:  26,498  |  69.0%
  • Forum Posts:  3,466
  • Post Score: 332

04.08.2021 | 7:33 AM ET

Predictions: 11 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 650 Points   |   Tied for 268th



Amettxpc
Amettxpc
  • Member Since: 2020.04.15
  • Predictions:  5,129  |  75.7%
  • Forum Posts:  95
  • Post Score: 260

04.08.2021 | 9:29 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 525 Points   |   Tied for 800th

Kennedy vs. Borics
Jeremy Kennedy, DEC
Borics has had some serious problems against the wrestlers: Aaron Pico dominated him for most of the fight with takedowns and control before the Hungarian landed that flying knee that left Pico with one foot off the Jackson Wink; and in the fight against Cadwell he was brought down and subdued with considerable ease. Kennedy has a good fighting background and was released by the UFC for practically having that style of takedown and control that is not very fan-friendly. Borics is explosive and could surprise Kennedy with a flying knee when he tries a takedown, but I think in this fight Jeremy Kennedy manages to show why he was a PFL semifinalist and why he had a 3-1 run in the UFC where he was only beaten by the current monarch Alexander Volkanovski.

Rosta vs. Johnson
Dalton Rosta, TKO, R2
Rosta has excellent wrestling and good wrestling. Although the bookmakers put him as -500 favorite Johnson knocked out Joe Schilling (multiple Kickboxing champion) and also won a fight at DWCS but without getting a pass from him to the UFC. Tony Johnson seems to me to be an excellent test of Dalton Rosta's abilities, who will be able to show which direction his career is heading.

Nogueira vs. Borga
Talita Nogueira, SUB, R1
Last chance for Talita Nogueira to hold a position within the Bellator women's featherweight category. I believe that the Brazilian can get a takedown starting the fight, dominate the position and from there take her back or look for an armbar

Dung vs. William
Izzy William, DEC
Dung was programmed against Campbell to demolish him and shine, he was a super favorite but after a dominant first round Cambell managed to destroy him with leg kicks. His opponent Izzy Williams lost to Orion Cosce and Jordan Leavitt (current UFC fighters) which shows that he is a very big stone against a fighter who was beaten after being in complete dominance.

njrp77
njrp77
  • Member Since: 2016.09.23
  • Predictions:  1,092  |  59.2%
  • Forum Posts:  28
  • Post Score: 393

04.08.2021 | 10:35 AM ET

Predictions: 10 of 11 Winners, 4 Perfect, 600 Points   |   Tied for 557th

Welcome back fishrat
John douma hs
2021.04.08 12:04 PM ET

weigh-in result

John Douma: 135.4 lbs (61.4 kgs)
Willsmith
2021.04.08 12:04 PM ET

weigh-in result

Will Smith: 134.6 lbs (61.1 kgs)
Diana avsaragova
2021.04.08 12:04 PM ET

weigh-in result

Diana Avsaragova: 125.8 lbs (57.1 kgs)
Dsc01900
2021.04.08 12:04 PM ET

weigh-in result

Tara Graff: 125.2 lbs (56.8 kgs)
Nainoa dung hs
2021.04.08 12:04 PM ET

weigh-in result

Nainoa Dung: 155.9 lbs (70.7 kgs)
Izzy william
2021.04.08 12:04 PM ET

weigh-in result

Izzy William: 156.0 lbs (70.8 kgs)
Jaylon bates
2021.04.08 12:05 PM ET

weigh-in result

Jaylon Bates: 136.0 lbs (61.7 kgs)
26167550 10155016149930636 2678933830401989752 n
2021.04.08 12:05 PM ET

weigh-in result

Jeffrey Glossner: 137.8 lbs (62.5 kgs)
Cody law hs
2021.04.08 12:05 PM ET

weigh-in result

Cody Law: 145.2 lbs (65.9 kgs)
Nathan ghareeb hs
2021.04.08 12:05 PM ET

weigh-in result

Nathan Ghareeb: 143.8 lbs (65.2 kgs)
Cass bell
2021.04.08 12:05 PM ET

weigh-in result

Cass Bell: 135.6 lbs (61.5 kgs)
Untitled7
2021.04.08 12:05 PM ET

weigh-in result

Jornel Lugo: 135.0 lbs (61.2 kgs)
Ttreta2
2021.04.08 12:06 PM ET

weigh-in result

Talita Nogueira: 146.0 lbs (66.2 kgs)
Jessica borga full
2021.04.08 12:06 PM ET

weigh-in result

Jessica Borga: 145.2 lbs (65.9 kgs)
Dalton rosta hs
2021.04.08 12:07 PM ET

weigh-in result

Dalton Rosta: 185.5 lbs (84.1 kgs)
Tony johnson
2021.04.08 12:07 PM ET

weigh-in result

Tony Johnson: 185.2 lbs (84.0 kgs)
Danmoret tapology
2021.04.08 12:07 PM ET

weigh-in result

Dan Moret: 155.6 lbs (70.6 kgs)
Goiti yamauchi hs
2021.04.08 12:07 PM ET

weigh-in result

Goiti Yamauchi: 155.8 lbs (70.7 kgs)
Zingano cat tuf17 1 hs
2021.04.08 12:07 PM ET

weigh-in result

Cat Zingano: 145.2 lbs (65.9 kgs)
Olivia parker hs
2021.04.08 12:07 PM ET

weigh-in result

Olivia Parker: 145.4 lbs (66.0 kgs)
Jeremy kennedy
2021.04.08 12:08 PM ET

weigh-in result

Jeremy Kennedy: 145.7 lbs (66.1 kgs)
Adam borics hs
2021.04.08 12:08 PM ET

weigh-in result

Ádám Borics: 145.8 lbs (66.1 kgs)
Carmouche liz ufc157 1 hs
2021.04.08 12:08 PM ET

weigh-in result

Liz Carmouche: 125.4 lbs (56.9 kgs)
Vanessa porto hs
2021.04.08 12:08 PM ET

weigh-in result

Vanessa Porto: 126.0 lbs (57.2 kgs)
Bader ryan tuf8 2
2021.04.08 12:08 PM ET

weigh-in result

Ryan Bader: 205.0 lbs (93.0 kgs)
Lyoto machida hs
2021.04.08 12:08 PM ET

weigh-in result

Lyoto Machida: 204.6 lbs (92.8 kgs)
Joshjeffords
Joshjeffords
  • Location: Alaska, United States Of Merica
  • Member Since: 2020.02.08
  • Predictions:  763  |  56.6%
  • Forum Posts:  1,226
  • Post Score: 180

04.08.2021 | 2:45 PM ET

Predictions: 3 of 6 Winners, 0 Perfect, 165 Points   |   Tied for 1221st

Hey fish read you breakdown of some can from china nearly pissed my pants laughing glad to have you back!
KyleH
KyleH
  • Location: Fight Island
  • Member Since: 2020.11.28
  • Predictions:  2,107  |  69.9%
  • Forum Posts:  79
  • Post Score: 305

04.08.2021 | 5:36 PM ET

Thoughts?

Predictions: 11 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 625 Points   |   Tied for 398th




"There's 3 things in life that excite me. A woman, of course. Dinosaurs, and the violence of the Octagon" - GSP

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