Bellator 256: Bader vs. Machida 2

If your picking Porto against a women who literally took Valentina shev to a decision less than a year and half ago, comes from UFC to Smellator against an old washed up bum vet in Porto. No wonder why your pick percentage is in the 50s. Geesh do some tape study and you'll be in the high 60s or 70s like myself 

About 95% of you on this site do absolutely 0 tape study and it shows in your pathetic picks and lifetime pick percentages.  Stop giving out terrible picks with no tape study and advising people to pick someone who has 0 chance of winning. Bunch of losers

Assanine thought about zingano. Do you do any research on fights or interviews etc... actually it looks like you don't with that 54% prediction rating. Keep your ******** thoughts to your self Parker is one of the worst mma fighters I've ever seen. Zingano could and will roll this chick with an eye closed. You would know this if you did actual tape study

I make over 50k a year on sports betting and mainly on mma.  I do this **** actually for a living. No one gives a **** about free tapology picking. If I made this years ago I would have over 85%. And only made this to join a predictors tourney from YouTube  that pays out 5k to the winner. So know your roll or shut your ****** mouth child. Little kids hop in to other people's convos. No one gives a **** what your 20 year old ass has to say

* Edited at 04.08.2021, 3:28 AM ET *

Koch, have you considered the possibility that you might be completely ridiculous?

Here's the thing: If you were to purely pick UFC, and only ever pick the bookies favorites, you would have a win rate of at least 68%. Greg has written a process to do just this, and it's optimal 68% currently. Which is interesting, because it indicates that the bookies are getting better at writing odds for MMA. Or maybe it's a confound, or maybe the bouts are simply getting more predictable. Whatever. I have seen an algorithm that consistently hits slightly higher than favorites anywhere between 71-73% on UFC. That was a beta. 

To put this all into perspective, someone who had never watched a single bout of MMA---or indeed had never heard of it, could simply just pick the favorites and wind up with a rate of accuracy three percentile points below what yours is currently.--which incidentally will decline as a matter of pure Arithmetic as you make more picks. Unless you are Magnus Carlsen, which I am going to assume you are not.

If you colour-coded favorites, you could train a lower order primate, which couldn't even understand what MMA was any more than a fly could understand how a television works, to hit 68% by feeding it bananas. 

There is nobody on this site who has a purely UFC-based pick percentage in the 70% range as far as I have seen.  Almost nobody on Tapology has honest record, and Greg's is the only one I can even think of. If you have a hit rate 70% and up, all that means is that you're scouring this site for obscure MMA and Boxing events and cherry-picking the can crushes to boost your stats.

What a challenge.