Topic: UFC Fight Night

UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad

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Tapology
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12.08.2020 | 1:12 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC Fight Night
  • Saturday 03.13.2021 at 05:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: ESPN+
  • Name: UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad
  • Also Known As: UFC Vegas 21
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: UFC APEX
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Brendan Fitzgerald, Michael Bisping, Daniel Cormier
  • Ring Announcer: Joe Martinez
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Daniel Cormier
  • MMA Bouts: 13
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Leon Edwards   vs.   Belal Muhammad   Ends in a No Contest, Eye Poke   0:18 Round 2 of 5, 5:18 Total Bout Page
Ryan Spann   defeats   Misha Cirkunov   via KO/TKO, Right Cross to Ground and Pound   1:11 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Dan Ige   defeats   Gavin Tucker   via KO/TKO, Right Cross   0:22 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Davey Grant   defeats   Jonathan Martinez   via KO/TKO, Overhand Left   3:03 Round 2 of 3, 8:03 Total Bout Page
Matheus Nicolau   defeats   Manel Kape   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Eryk Anders   vs.   Darren Stewart   Ends in a No Contest, Illegal Knee   4:37 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Angela Hill   defeats   Ashley Yoder   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Charles Jourdain   defeats   Marcelo Rojo   via KO/TKO, Punches   4:31 Round 3 of 3, 14:31 Total Bout Page
Rani Yahya   defeats   Ray Rodriguez   via Submission, Arm Triangle Choke   3:09 Round 2 of 3, 8:09 Total Bout Page
Nasrat Haqparast   defeats   Rafa García   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
JJ Aldrich   defeats   Cortney Casey   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Jinh Yu Frey   defeats   Gloria de Paula   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Matthew Semelsberger   defeats   Jason Witt   via KO/TKO, Counter Right   0:16 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page

Responses Page 6

ModestMan
ModestMan
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03.08.2021 | 9:39 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 10 Winners, 2 Perfect, 380 Points   |   Tied for 2176th


* Edited at 03.08.2021, 1:02 PM ET *

"WMMA = 50/50 no matter the odds"

2021.03.08 10:12 AM ET

bout status update

Madge vs. Haqparast Changed from Confirmed to Cancelled
Aric123
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03.08.2021 | 11:12 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 3 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 175 Points   |   Tied for 3388th

Edwards vs. Muhammad
Leon Edwards, DEC
First off, let me say that Belal is a absolute dog for taking this fight and fighting twice in a months time. That being said I believe leon edwards is absolutely the kinda fighter that ring rust shouldn’t effect. He’s very strong mentally and his will to compete will see him through. Now onto the actual fight, I can’t see belal being able to pressure leon too much and imposing his wrestling on him. If anything I think leon will be the one scoring with takedowns. This is a great fight to get Rocky those rounds he desperately needs to stay active and chase that belt.

"“Who ain’t got Jiu Jitsuuu” "

Stephen Terry
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03.08.2021 | 1:43 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 520 Points   |   Tied for 496th

@thebluedash

Well, you're right that picking Jason Witt isn't a mad pick as I'm not picking a +500 underdog or something but it was more that the round and method seemed unlikely. I picked a 3rd round submission simply because my gut told me to lol. The more I think about it, the more I'm leaning towards Witt to win a decision. I even think Witt to win by a KO is more likely than a submission but I've still gone with a submission simply because that was my gut feeling when I first heard of the fight and even after seeing strong evidence to suggest that it will go the distance, I still couldn't shake off that feeling that it would end by a 3rd round submission so I just said "**** it!" and picked that. Even if I'm right with picking Witt, I don't expect the extra points for a correct round or method and I certainly don't think that will be a perfect pick.

"I wish you good luck but I don't want you to rely on luck"

depmode33
depmode33
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03.08.2021 | 1:54 PM ET

Someone is going to get finished in the Jason Witt vs Matthew Semelsberger fight because all of their combined losses over 30+ fights have come by finishes.  There will be major value to do a finish prop on either of them as the bookies will probably think it ends by decision.  

I am personally leaning towards Jason Witt for this one because he has more experience and has foughter stronger competition but it should be a good fight either way.  

* Edited at 03.08.2021, 1:55 PM ET *

depmode33
depmode33
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03.08.2021 | 1:58 PM ET

I also really need to start watching more tape on women's fights.  From Maycee Barber's shadow boxing to Livinha Souza's nonexistent standup ability, I got wrecked by placing bets on them.  I have no idea how these women won their other fights in the past.  

* Edited at 03.08.2021, 1:59 PM ET *

Thewelshguy1998
Thewelshguy1998
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03.08.2021 | 2:01 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 4 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 325 Points   |   Tied for 2795th

Edwards vs. Muhammad
Leon Edwards, DEC
Leon wants respect and I feel he will want to prove himself this Saturday

Nicolau vs. Kape
Manel Kape, DEC
kape at even money is 👌🏻

Stephen Terry
Stephen Terry
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03.08.2021 | 2:17 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 520 Points   |   Tied for 496th

@depmode33

You're right about there being value on the Witt VS Semelsberger fight not going the distance. The current odds for it are:

Fight goes to a decision = -175
Fight doesn't go to a decision = +135

It'd be even more interesting to see what the prop odds for Witt via 3rd round submission are when they drop.

"I wish you good luck but I don't want you to rely on luck"

depmode33
depmode33
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03.08.2021 | 2:29 PM ET

@Stephen_Terry

Let's just say you'll be a very rich man if that 3rd round sub prop hits lolll

Don't forget about your buddies at Tapology if you hit the big time :)
Stephen Terry
Stephen Terry
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03.08.2021 | 3:02 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 520 Points   |   Tied for 496th

@depmode33

Regardless of the odds, I'll stick £5 on it and see what happens! I'm not confident enough to put any more than a fiver on it but I never really bet heavily anyway. The most I've ever put on a bet was £50 on a football (soccer) double that lost.

"I wish you good luck but I don't want you to rely on luck"

Fattie0
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03.08.2021 | 3:09 PM ET

Ray Rodriguez vs. Rani Yahya

Predictions: 1 of 1 Winners, 1 Perfect, 100 Points   |   Tied for 3520th

Rodriguez gonna slug it out & thug it out. Rd. 2 TKO.
Fattie0
Fattie0
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03.08.2021 | 3:15 PM ET

Jason Witt vs. Mathew Semblesberger

Predictions: 1 of 1 Winners, 1 Perfect, 100 Points   |   Tied for 3520th

Semblesberger rd. 3 he's a sneaky striker.  By third round he'll catch Witt with something.  As long as Witt doesn't dominate the grappling.
MicrowaveFanFic
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03.08.2021 | 3:41 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 595 Points   |   Tied for 89th

Rothwell vs. Lins
Ben Rothwell, TKO, R2
Only Politics Can Slow Him. You Have Seen Nothing Yet.

DelinquentMMA
DelinquentMMA
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03.08.2021 | 4:07 PM ET

Predictions: 4 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 275 Points   |   Tied for 3098th

Dan Ige vs. Gavin Tucker looks like it could be FOTN 

"Delinquent MMA"

Thewelshguy1998
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03.08.2021 | 4:19 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 4 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 325 Points   |   Tied for 2795th

Rothwell vs. Lins
Ben Rothwell, DEC
Probably going to decision. Hope big Ben gets the w.

CheckLeftHook
CheckLeftHook
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03.08.2021 | 6:13 PM ET

Predictions: 4 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 300 Points   |   Tied for 2985th

pretty weak looking card, hopefully the match-ups deliver

"🏴 No Quarter Given 🏴"

FistyMcKickerChoke
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03.08.2021 | 6:34 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 455 Points   |   Tied for 1217th

@checklefthook I was just thinking this looked like a card people would underestimate, but honestly there could be some lackluster decisions in here. Tough to have a bad card with Kape, Martinez, Ige and Jourdain on it though, those guys are all action.

"Throughout my career I've learned that "If you win you're the ****, if you lose it's bad." - Bruno "Blindadao" Silva"

Stephen Terry
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03.08.2021 | 6:41 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 520 Points   |   Tied for 496th

In all honesty, any card would seem disappointing following UFC 259. This one does have quite a lot of intriguing match ups on it such as Dan Ige VS Gavin Tucker, Matheus Nicolau VS Manel Kape and of course the main event will be interesting to see Leon Edwards back in action. Overall, there have certainly been worse Fight Night cards.

* Edited at 03.08.2021, 6:42 PM ET *

"I wish you good luck but I don't want you to rely on luck"

cfarrell3
cfarrell3
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03.08.2021 | 7:08 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 480 Points   |   Tied for 875th

I’ve been following Semi since his last fight when I heard he was from Maryland.  Him and Witt are edefinitrly going to be getting the action started right for the night, I’m actually pretty excited for that fight
dirtyreg22
dirtyreg22
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03.08.2021 | 8:34 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 340 Points   |   Tied for 2614th

Yu Frey vs. de Paula
Jinh Yu Frey, DEC
yu frey 3-0 record in main events in invicta. shes fought better competition since being in the ufc. de paula no ufc experience only fight has been on the contenders series.

thebluedash
thebluedash
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03.08.2021 | 10:27 PM ET

Predictions: 3 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 190 Points   |   Tied for 3361st

People are forgetting here though Yu Frey was decent in Invicta's atomweight, she's a pretty small strawweight and it's likely why she hasn't find much success in the UFC so far as she's a natural atomweight. Her opponent Gloria de Paula is going to be coming in quite taller and heavier, Yu Frey has to be able to show she's able to hang with the heavier girls but for now she hasn't shown me that. So I am going Gloria De Paula.

"Don't follow my bets, it's probably wrong."

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