Topic: UFC Fight Night
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov
Forum Home | Topic Page | Event Page Help
Anonymous Mode
You are not logged in to Tapology. When browsing anonymously, profanities and images are automatically removed from the forum.
10.16.2020 | 10:28 AM ET
Responses Page 51
02.07.2021 | 8:28 AM ET
Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 380 Points | Tied for 2048th
02.07.2021 | 8:45 AM ET
Predictions: 5 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 375 Points | Tied for 2160th
"For no particular reason beat up everyone"
02.07.2021 | 10:19 AM ET
Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 390 Points | Tied for 1941st
"I’m here to snatch necks and cash checks" - Darrick Minner
02.07.2021 | 11:16 AM ET
Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 470 Points | Tied for 1004th
* Edited at 02.07.2021, 11:18 AM ET *
"If you find yourself in a fairly even fight... You didn't plan your mission properly!! 🥊👊👍"
02.07.2021 | 11:37 AM ET
Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 380 Points | Tied for 2048th
* Edited at 02.07.2021, 11:43 AM ET *
"KURZHAAR - Tomorrow Never Comes Until It's Too Late"
02.07.2021 | 11:46 AM ET
Predictions: 10 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 680 Points | Tied for 37th with 7 others
"When the stakes are high you can't be afraid to go all in"
02.07.2021 | 12:16 PM ET
Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 380 Points | Tied for 2048th
Chandler with Gaethje and then bitten through his teeth for a title fight !
* Edited at 02.07.2021, 12:19 PM ET *
"KURZHAAR - Tomorrow Never Comes Until It's Too Late"
02.07.2021 | 12:20 PM ET
Predictions: 10 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 680 Points | Tied for 37th with 7 others
"When the stakes are high you can't be afraid to go all in"
02.07.2021 | 12:36 PM ET
Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 380 Points | Tied for 2048th
Benny - Ferguson
Olivera - Poirier - title fight
Chandler - Geaghje
Chandler - Poirier - title fight
Shelby where you @!
* Edited at 02.07.2021, 12:45 PM ET *
"KURZHAAR - Tomorrow Never Comes Until It's Too Late"
02.07.2021 | 1:22 PM ET
Another 50/50 card for me but it was very entertaining!
Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 350 Points | Tied for 2398th
"I wish you good luck but I don't want you to rely on luck"
02.07.2021 | 2:01 PM ET
Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 470 Points | Tied for 1004th
Tony Ferguson Vs Benny Dariush to see what Tony has left at World Level in the Division
Justin Gaethje Vs Dustin Poirier II for the UFC Lightweight Title, if Khabib stays retired and depending on whether or Not McGregor Vs Poirier III can be made between September and November
Michael Chandler Vs Connor McGregor would be a great fight with relevance for McGregor to come back into the mix... Plus on PPV, given his last performance, Michael Chandler would definitely take it to test himself and make some good money... 💰💰💰
Charles Oliveira Vs Dan Hooker... I still think that Charles Oliveira needs to get a further Win or 2 against Top 10 competition before he his granted a Title shot
Some fantastic fights to look forward to whatever happens though... 🤔👏🥊👊👍🤑
"If you find yourself in a fairly even fight... You didn't plan your mission properly!! 🥊👊👍"
02.07.2021 | 2:30 PM ET
Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 380 Points | Tied for 2048th
We thank you for the nice pass you gave us!
"Even though you are sitting, it seems that your thoughts are standing upright"!
I think whatever match the UFC makes will be hell of a season!
"KURZHAAR - Tomorrow Never Comes Until It's Too Late"
02.08.2021 | 12:52 AM ET
This weeks bets at PredictionsUFC.com
Predictions: 3 of 6 Winners, 0 Perfect, 150 Points | Tied for 3388th
PredictionsUFC.com
Profit this event: 22.94 units
2021 profit: 49 units
2020 profit: 125 units
Combining edge and discipline to beat the bookie.
Bet like an economist at PredictionsUFC.com
(Results independently verified at www.betmma.tips/Killbot2000)
"Bet like an economist"
02.08.2021 | 1:00 AM ET
Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 6 Perfect, 680 Points | Tied for 45th with 1 other
* Edited at 02.08.2021, 3:37 AM ET *
"Quack quack quack"
02.08.2021 | 3:58 AM ET
Betting 101
Predictions: 3 of 6 Winners, 0 Perfect, 150 Points | Tied for 3388th
All of our individual bets this week are at www.betmma.tips/Killbot2000Tapology measures % accuracy in tips, which is largely irrelevant when trying to make money.
Betting success is linked to margin - the value you can find over the bookie.
For example, I might have a 90% accuracy with my tips, but will still lose money if the odds I wagered with the bookie were on average less than 90% in probability (equivalent to 1.11 odds, -909 moneyline).
For our bets this week, we hit two decent underdog bets and four favourites (all propositions for the fight going to a decision or finish). For each of those bets we calculated a more probable outcome than the bookie was paying.
For Pantoja/Kape, we calculated the probability of a decision at 59%. But the bookies were paying 2.60, which equates to a predicted 38% probability for a decision. In sum, the bookies were paying too much for the bet. We took it and won 12.8 units profit on that outcome.
The short answer to your question: Maths and edge over the bookie.
"Bet like an economist"
02.08.2021 | 10:04 PM ET
Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 480 Points | Tied for 869th
i'll give you credit for the pantoja over, it was an underdog, but you can't give out bum picks to the public and expect to get credibility.I wanna know what table/equation you use to calculate percentages and probabilities in MMA.
A wealthy gambler I know gave out Timur Valiev at -400 as his most confident play.
He also gave out mike rodriguez and volkov as a 2 legger.
Meanwhile I gave out to my friends Beneil, Pantoja and Volkov as my most confident plays.
I had seung woo choi, joselyne, the over on devonte and under on volkov as confident underdogs.
* Edited at 02.08.2021, 11:25 PM ET *
"R.I.P. Beneil"
02.08.2021 | 11:26 PM ET
Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 480 Points | Tied for 869th
You also have to make the most logical and best bets you can.
"R.I.P. Beneil"
02.09.2021 | 12:33 AM ET
Predictions: 3 of 6 Winners, 0 Perfect, 150 Points | Tied for 3388th
Betting talk here doesn't seem that popular
You're right though, diary of a pro gambler seems spot on with his method
"Bet like an economist"
02.09.2021 | 8:23 AM ET
Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 500 Points | Tied for 720th
02.09.2021 | 9:05 AM ET
Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 350 Points | Tied for 2398th
@HiDefff is spot on with his reply, if you look through the earlier pages of any UFC thread, there is a lot of talk about betting and users discussing bets. Hell, there's even the Tapology Wagering League game which is very popular amongst the regular users, so to say that betting on this site isn't popular is just incorrect. as @HiDefff said, just give us some logical arguments as to why your free bets will come in instead of just maths formulas and then you'll gain some credibility. Unlike a lot of the other bet pluggers that have tried and failed before, you seem like a very pleasant guy to debate with so there's no reason at all why we wouldn't eventually warm to you, it's just that we want logical arguments, not numbers. Personally, I don't believe that something as unpredictable as an MMA fight where one punch, kick or bad body position could change everything, can be effectively predicted using numbers alone. Good luck with your bets in the future!
"I wish you good luck but I don't want you to rely on luck"