UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

Seriously I’d buy at least 7 at start, long sleeve only  (sun & tattoos).  Strangely locals wear long sleeves cause the sun & everyone’s on boats all day.  I’ve told u b4, I can advertise so easy here. I can get a small business license & sell shirts x3/x4 of ur price for millions of visitors driving by, Ill start sitting on the ******* street front!

Think about it..   Lots of ideas! 💡  
It’s nice when many people come together & talk, the more the better.

Usman vs. Burns
Gilbert Burns, SUB, R2
Feeling funky

You gotta grade jumping the guillotine on a curve. For every one time Kelleher has done it, he's been straight taken down five times. More often than not, even in his case, you just end up on your back. He's a known quantity and the 11 losses, coming in every which way, often to subpar competition, are not coincidences. Dude just got wrestled around by Stamann, in the same way Simon is looking to. 

Thats another fight I think the bookies got right, with Simon -270.

* Edited at 02.11.2021, 1:07 AM ET *

I’d wear a tapology shirt, especially if it has one of the cool belts on it like iceman or something

And @erison I think you’re spot on in that Simón is gonna take him down a bunch and avoid the guillotine. It’s just something I thought was worth considering 

* Edited at 02.11.2021, 1:37 AM ET *

Usman vs. Burns
Kamaru Usman, DEC
Usman is going to dominate Burns just like he did others. Easy decision win. I don't think people know just how good Usman is yet.

Barber vs. Grasso
Alexa Grasso, DEC
Initially had Barber but after more research I'm going with Grasso. Barber been out for a while with a ACL injury on her knee. She should be out for another year, she's rushing it. Grasso more technical and more experience.

Gastelum vs. Heinisch
Kelvin Gastelum, TKO, R2
Kelvin motivated more than ever because he know he will get cut if he loses this one. Should be a easy win for kelvin

Green vs. Miller
Bobby Green, DEC
Jim miller too old and way out of his prime

Marquez vs. Pitolo
Maki Pitolo, DEC
Marques been out for over 2 years. Pitolo might not have the same power as marquez but throws way more volume. Only way I see Marquez winning is by KO

Vieira vs. Hernandez
Rodolfo Vieira, SUB, R1
Easy SUB win for Rodolfo "The Black Belt Hunter"

Lima vs. Muhammad
Belal Muhammad, TKO, R2
Easy win for Belal.

Green vs. Rowe
Gabe Green, TKO, R1
Rowe is making his UFC debut after being off for over a year. His record is patted. Rowe literally fought nobodies

My locks for this card are Rodolfo Vieira, Belal Muhammad and Ricky Simon.  Those 3 on a moneyline parlay.  I give up on trying to be Nostradamus and trying to win big from each event.  I'm just gonna choose 2 or 3 moneylines and parlay them for each event for +100 money, that's all.  Basketball really destroyed me in the beginning of this year.  

@depmode33 They're no point in betting -400 because they no bang for you buck, The bookies know they gonna win so they no value, way better to bet underdog and slight favourites because that the only way in getting value. 

Edit: Finding good prop bets is really good way to get good value on favourites, Last week put a decent amount of money on Sandhagen by Ko at +250, Suprise so many people didn't thought Edgar was getting slept

* Edited at 02.11.2021, 4:22 AM ET *

@depmode33
The only way to win is to bet Good money on pretty safe fights.
I bet half of the money I have on my account.
So if i lose i have a half back.
Last week i bet 100 Euro on zalal.
Lost.
Now i bet 50 Euro on Usman .
50x1,34: 67 Euro
Next week i can bet More and I hope I will make these year 2k bets on fights to win much money.

@damienhandel420... there is value when you parlay the big favorites with each other.  If you parlay Ricky Simon moneyline, Belal Muhammed moneyline and Rodolfo Viera by submission... you have a +155 parlay which has a great chance of hitting.  I would have thrown in Usman on there but I've learned to stay away from main events for these type of parlays. 

@kingdima96... this is really the only way for me to win.  I'm not going to go for big money anymore.  Just going to choose 2 or 3 moneylines for a really safe and easy +100 bet.  Also, my locks for the card after this one is Casey O'Neil moneyline and Tom Aspinall moneyline which gives you another +100 parlay.  I'm just going to let this all ride out.  

* Edited at 02.11.2021, 4:42 AM ET *

@TWJake... you asked who could beat Usman?  If Chimaev is the next superstar in the making, I think he has a chance to dethrone Usman especially if he destroys Edwards inside the distance.  They will more than likely make that fight if Usman dominates Burns and Chimaev destroys Edwards in spectacular fashion.  I know they are represented by the same manager but Chimaev has said many times he wants to fight Usman.  

depmode33 You are straight right man! I think it is no coincidence that he appeared and they started promoting him shortly before Khabib retired! And they have the same manager who reigns in their area!

I have been on the edge week after week, I gotta be due for a ******* hit lol

• https://www.delinquentmma.com/post/ufc-258-usman-vs-burns-predictions
  

I am absolutely a Barber fan. To hear her protest with the doctor, “I’m fine, I’m fine,” after her knee got wrecked just so she could try to get it back against Modafferi in the third round earned all of my respect. She’s strong, fairly accurate, and has good pressure. She also has decent leg kicks and throws a lot of volume. The good thing about combining strength with volume is that there’s an increased chance of landing that shot that puts her opponents on roller skates. After that, she’s an animal, mauling her opponents until the ref has to step in. I have to mention too that she stuffed all of Gillian Robertson’s takedown attempts, which is not an easy thing to do. There are definitely some downsides to her game, though. Her striking defense is pretty poor. Instead of keeping her hands up to block shots, she tries to swat away strikes, which leaves her chin wide open for combinations. Even before her knee exploded, she was getting pieced up by Modafferi, who isn’t exactly known for her boxing. She also throws looping shots instead of straight ones, leaving her chin wide open for counters. (JJ Aldrich was pretty successful with counters in the first round of their fight before Barber turned it into a clinch battle.) This is going to be a problem against Grasso, who is the better counter fighter, has a good jab, and throws some pretty impressive combinations. Grasso also has the better striking defense and doesn’t expose her chin as much as Barber does. I don’t really see this fight going to the ground unless Barber gets frustrated. And if it does, I don’t see it staying there. Both have shown they can scramble well, and neither of them usually want to hang out there. If Barber can get close to Grasso and prevent her from fighting at range—make it a dirty clinch/fence fight—then I think she has a good chance to use her power and get the TKO victory. However, I think Grasso’s jab and combinations, along with her slick counters and high guard will make it really tough for Barber to get inside. Grasso’s also good at keeping the fight in the middle of the cage where she's strong, even against good wrestlers like Carla Esparza. As good as Grasso’s hands are, and as bad as Barber’s defense is, I hate to say it as a Barber fan, but I have Grasso by TKO in the 3rd.

Usman vs. Burns
Kamaru Usman, DEC
im betting on Gilbert bcuz i like plus money.

Marquez vs. Pitolo
Julian Marquez, TKO, R3
over 1.5. julian marquez will come out late rounds. Maki will gas out of 1st round knock out. i like the pass.

Viana vs. Martin
Mallory Martin, SUB, R2
under 2.5

Green vs. Rowe
Philip Rowe, DEC
rowe by decision is +450

Robertson vs. Maverick
Miranda Maverick, TKO, R2
under 2.5

Anyone who thinks Khamzat will smash Usman, is getting trick from the UFC hype machine, Usman is a all time great and Khamzat only beat people no longer in the UFC. Khamzat ain’t Khabib 

* Edited at 02.11.2021, 1:43 PM ET *

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Probably, Burns is gonna give a stund up fight! 
If is true, is gonna be a good night! 

# 4

@Hippie 
@6:50
Thanks man! 

Yw @ TarTara