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Topic: UFC 258

UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns

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Tapology
Tapology
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  • Predictions:  0  |  0.0%
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10.15.2020 | 10:36 AM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC 258
  • Saturday 02.13.2021 at 10:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: ESPN
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: UFC APEX
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Joe Rogan, Daniel Cormier
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Joe Rogan
  • MMA Bouts: 10
  • Promotion Links:
    UFC
  • Event Links:
    UFC
Bout   Info
Kamaru Usman   defeats   Gilbert Burns   via KO/TKO, Power Jab to Ground and Pound   0:34 Round 3 of 5, 10:34 Total Bout Page
Alexa Grasso   defeats   Maycee Barber   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Kelvin Gastelum   defeats   Ian Heinisch   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Ricky Simón   defeats   Brian Kelleher   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Julian Marquez   defeats   Maki Pitolo   via Submission, Anaconda Choke   4:17 Round 3 of 3, 14:17 Total Bout Page
Anthony Hernandez   defeats   Rodolfo Vieira   via Submission, Arm-In Guillotine Choke   1:53 Round 2 of 3, 6:53 Total Bout Page
Belal Muhammad   defeats   Dhiego Lima   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Polyana Viana   defeats   Mallory Martin   via Submission, Armbar   3:18 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Chris Gutierrez   defeats   Andre Ewell   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Gabe Green   defeats   Phil Rowe   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 10

Steamy
Steamy
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02.10.2021 | 7:15 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 5 of 10 Winners, 1 Perfect, 275 Points   |   Tied for 3018th

Barber vs. Grasso
Alexa Grasso, TKO, R2
Grasso’s boxing is going to be a huge advantage. Barber will have to utilize her grappling, but Grasso has strong grappling defense.

"Undefeated and undisputed"

Erison
Erison
  • Member Since: 2020.05.24
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02.10.2021 | 8:05 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 7 Winners, 4 Perfect, 425 Points   |   Tied for 964th

Brian Kelleher and Philip Rowe getting faith from nowhere on here. Both will be big underdogs on fight night for good reason.
FistyMcKickerChoke
FistyMcKickerChoke
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02.10.2021 | 8:22 PM ET

Predictions: 5 of 10 Winners, 3 Perfect, 340 Points   |   Tied for 2278th

Kelleher is getting faith because he has a guillotine that comes from nowhere, and knockout power to go with it. I have Simon by decision because I think he’ll be able to avoid the most serious danger, but I wouldn’t be surprised if Kelleher caught him with something. 

Rowe/green has been hovering at a pick em so that’s a good spot to bet if you’re feeling confident. I don’t think it’s going to swing in favor of either fighter before Saturday but if I had to guess, Rowe is going to be the favorite because he gets more promo. 

Burns just said in an interview that he knows from sparring that he can submit usman anywhere. He seemed pretty calm and confident about it, so I think it’s the truth, at least in Burns’ head.

"Throughout my career I've learned that "If you win you're the ****, if you lose it's bad." - Bruno "Blindadao" Silva"

Tieoken
Tieoken
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02.10.2021 | 8:26 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 10 Winners, 3 Perfect, 475 Points   |   Tied for 347th

Yeah, Burns can definitely sub Usman. I'd believe that beyond a shadow of a doubt, but he can't ******* take him down lol. And I hope to got that Usman isn't dumb enough to try and take Burns down. This should be a stand up fight. I'm praying for a Burns KO though

"I’m here to snatch necks and cash checks" - Darrick Minner

FistyMcKickerChoke
FistyMcKickerChoke
  • Location: Snapdown City
  • Member Since: 2020.06.09
  • Predictions:  29,457  |  80.7%
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  • Post Score: 237

02.10.2021 | 8:35 PM ET

Predictions: 5 of 10 Winners, 3 Perfect, 340 Points   |   Tied for 2278th

Burns said he can submit him standing too, my guess would be by guillotine along the fence or something similar. I am so excited for this fight, I love when a title fight is the champion’s biggest challenge of their career, at least on paper. Usman could make it look easy, too. 

"Throughout my career I've learned that "If you win you're the ****, if you lose it's bad." - Bruno "Blindadao" Silva"

Pezzie
Pezzie
  • Member Since: 2020.05.05
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02.10.2021 | 8:56 PM ET

Early Parlays and Legs

Predictions: 4 of 10 Winners, 2 Perfect, 250 Points   |   Tied for 3287th

Non Prop   Scratch: Usman/Muhamad  @-132
Dogs:        Barber/Kelleher  @+545
Prop:         Usman Dec(+110)/ Green Dec(-125) @ +278
Hail Mary Money Line : Roberson+115,Kelleher +207, Green -265, Barber +110, Usman -278 @+2501

Good spots for parlays as there are many familiar fighters on this card who consistently perform in a predictable fashion.

There are 3 decision machines on this card: Usman, Belal Muhammad and Bobby Green
Ricky Simon and Brian Kelleher fight for your money...there will not be a decision. 
Barber and Robertson will out grapple their opponents more than likely to decisions.

No tremendous values on parlays this card so play minimally and would favor to straight moneyline bets with a few method picks to round out your night.

* Edited at 02.10.2021, 9:02 PM ET *

"never tell me the odds."

MMAn
MMAn
  • Member Since: 2020.11.17
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02.10.2021 | 8:59 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 4 of 8 Winners, 0 Perfect, 200 Points   |   Tied for 3595th

Lima vs. Muhammad
Dhiego Lima
Tapology.com is amazing! I want a shirt!

Hippie
Hippie

02.10.2021 | 9:01 PM ET

^

Predictions: 6 of 10 Winners, 4 Perfect, 425 Points   |   Tied for 964th

I’d take a shirt also.

Preferably aquatic blue if u have.
NO black!

* Edited at 02.10.2021, 9:05 PM ET *

Hippie
Hippie

02.10.2021 | 9:07 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 10 Winners, 4 Perfect, 425 Points   |   Tied for 964th



* Edited at 02.10.2021, 9:11 PM ET *

TWJake
TWJake
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02.10.2021 | 9:11 PM ET

Predictions: 5 of 10 Winners, 4 Perfect, 350 Points   |   Tied for 2116th

Man, if Burns can't beat Usman, IDK who will. Covington? He already lost once but I could see the argument for him beating Usman maybe. Wonderboy? He's getting up there and seems to get injured in every fight now. (For further discussion on this I started a thread about a year ago on this particular subject)

"I know many a troops that I visit when I went to Iraq in 2005... 2-uh excuse me in 19-or.. 05' 06' 07' 08' 09' 2010 2011. I went from the Korwaiten border! All the way up to the Turkish border!" -Tito Ortiz

Hippie
Hippie

02.10.2021 | 9:12 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 10 Winners, 4 Perfect, 425 Points   |   Tied for 964th

3’s in but couldn’t post them together.

Hippie
Hippie

02.10.2021 | 10:34 PM ET

❓

Predictions: 6 of 10 Winners, 4 Perfect, 425 Points   |   Tied for 964th

How Burns going to Sub Usman if he cannot Sub  Tyron Woodley
Tieoken
Tieoken
  • Member Since: 2015.07.05
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02.10.2021 | 11:02 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 10 Winners, 3 Perfect, 475 Points   |   Tied for 347th

Yeah @Greg, where's our tap merch!!!

* Edited at 02.10.2021, 11:02 PM ET *

"I’m here to snatch necks and cash checks" - Darrick Minner

Hippie
Hippie

02.10.2021 | 11:07 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 10 Winners, 4 Perfect, 425 Points   |   Tied for 964th

Thank u @ Tieoken!
Hippie
Hippie

02.10.2021 | 11:08 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 10 Winners, 4 Perfect, 425 Points   |   Tied for 964th

Want a follow Tie, I like Gold names.. 🤓
Tieoken
Tieoken
  • Member Since: 2015.07.05
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  • Post Score: 313

02.10.2021 | 11:08 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 10 Winners, 3 Perfect, 475 Points   |   Tied for 347th

@Hippie, you make a valid point. I know Burns CAN submit Usman. Don't know for sure if he will manage it in a fight even if he gets put in a good position, I just know that he has a good (~25%) of managing to sub him if he gets into a good position.

"I’m here to snatch necks and cash checks" - Darrick Minner

RangerJW
RangerJW
  • Member Since: 2018.10.01
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02.10.2021 | 11:13 PM ET

Seriously...

Predictions: 9 of 10 Winners, 4 Perfect, 580 Points   |   Tied for 27th with 3 others

All I can think about now is that merch. I’ll pay stupid amounts for a baseball T. 
Hippie
Hippie

02.10.2021 | 11:13 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 10 Winners, 4 Perfect, 425 Points   |   Tied for 964th

Right?  Usman is WAY better then Woolley right?  I’m asking..
So how..  ?

& Thank u, don’t feel obligated!  
Hippie
Hippie

02.10.2021 | 11:16 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 10 Winners, 4 Perfect, 425 Points   |   Tied for 964th

@ Ranger not stupid money!  (It took me 7 tries to spell money)  ***
But a fair prize for sure!!

* Edited at 02.10.2021, 11:17 PM ET *

Tieoken
Tieoken
  • Member Since: 2015.07.05
  • Predictions:  1,977  |  59.0%
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  • Post Score: 313

02.10.2021 | 11:24 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 10 Winners, 3 Perfect, 475 Points   |   Tied for 347th

But, seriously @Greg if you don't want that hassle of purchase and distribution I can put you in touch with the merch guy I worked with at combat corner where people can just buy the merch (mma shorts, shirts, rashguards, etc) from there and they take a portion of the profit but it cuts out the front end work for you guys

"I’m here to snatch necks and cash checks" - Darrick Minner

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