Topic: UFC on ESPN+ 14

UFC on ESPN+ 14: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2

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Tapology
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05.13.2019 | 10:11 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC on ESPN+ 14
  • Saturday 08.10.2019 at 05:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: ESPN+
  • Name: UFC on ESPN+ 14: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2
  • Also Known As: UFC Fight Night Montevideo
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: WME-IMG
  • Venue: Antel Arena
  • Location: Montevideo, Uruguay
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Brendan Fitzgerald, Michael Bisping
  • Ring Announcer: Joe Martinez
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Michael Bisping
  • Attendance: 9,225
  • MMA Bouts: 13
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Valentina Shevchenko   defeats   Liz Carmouche   via Decision, Unanimous   5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page
Vicente Luque   defeats   Mike Perry   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Eduardo Garagorri   defeats   Humberto Bandenay   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Volkan Oezdemir   defeats   Ilir Latifi   via KO/TKO, Left Hooks   4:31 Round 2 of 3, 9:31 Total Bout Page
Rodolfo Vieira   defeats   Oskar Piechota   via Submission, Arm Triangle Choke   4:26 Round 2 of 3, 9:26 Total Bout Page
Enrique Barzola   defeats   Bobby Moffett   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Gilbert Burns   defeats   Alexey Kunchenko   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Ciryl Gane   defeats   Raphael Pessoa   via Submission, Arm Triangle Choke   4:12 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Marina Rodriguez   defeats   Tecia Torres   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Rogério Bontorin   defeats   Raulian Paiva   via KO/TKO, Doctor Stoppage (cut)   2:56 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Chris Gutierrez   defeats   Geraldo de Freitas   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Alex da Silva   defeats   Rodrigo Vargas   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Veronica Hardy   defeats   Polyana Viana   via Submission, Armbar   1:09 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page

Responses Page 7

freemoneyforall
freemoneyforall
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08.06.2019 | 12:54 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 1396th

Unless it is him just ******* with everyone... 
Thesnake101
Thesnake101
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08.06.2019 | 1:14 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 630 Points   |   Tied for 412th

Listen Numb, I get being confident in your picks and all, but that's no excuse for being an obnoxious prick about it. It's MMA and a **** ton of things can happen, so acting like the result for a fight is a foregone conclusion and everyone who doesn't agree with you is dumb shows that you have your head up your ass.

I do think Burns can beat Kunchenko though, but that's because Alexey had a competitive fight with Thiago Alves' corpse. It all hinges on Gilbert's power translating to WW, and his chin holding up.
MarioSuperSmash
MarioSuperSmash
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08.06.2019 | 5:23 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 640 Points   |   Tied for 340th

Paiva vs. Bontorin
Rogério Bontorin, SUB, R2
I cap Rogério Bontorin @ 57% win probability -133

"Eat Sleep Gamble on fights 👊🏿👊🏿👊🏿"

MarioSuperSmash
MarioSuperSmash
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08.06.2019 | 10:34 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 640 Points   |   Tied for 340th

Barzola vs. Moffett
Enrique Barzola, DEC
I cap Enrique Barzola @ 69% win probability -222

"Eat Sleep Gamble on fights 👊🏿👊🏿👊🏿"

BradThom717
BradThom717
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08.06.2019 | 11:22 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 655 Points   |   Tied for 247th

Maaaan.... It's not even fight night yet! @NumbFilth ... C'mon Maaaan. It's coool to be full of love and passion for whomever or whatever. But you don't gotta act like a goddamn child about it. By bragging about this and that, to be rubbing **** in another persons face for this and that, over what? Somebody gotta pick wrong? Somebody doesn't share the same opinions as you? Who ****-king cares man. The ones that are out here bragging about this and that, are usually the ones lacking in/with this and that. Like the idiots that brag about having a massive ****, usually aren't packing anything at all. 

* Edited at 08.06.2019, 11:23 PM ET *

"**** Fentanyl & **** Opiates too..."

mickey420
mickey420
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08.06.2019 | 11:41 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 555 Points   |   Tied for 928th

dude how has numb filth not been banned LOL
AtoZsportsinv
AtoZsportsinv
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08.07.2019 | 12:17 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 3 of 4 Winners, 2 Perfect, 225 Points   |   1999th Place

Burns vs. Kunchenko
Alexey Kunchenko, DEC
Burns steps in on short notice to get a payday up at 170. Curious move. I guess it won't hurt him too much as UFC usually gives guys a break who step in an take fights on short notice. I see this as a loss for Burns. His only path to victory here is by sub and I don't think he has the size or strength to get this to the mat and keep it there. Kunchenko has very good takedown D. Striking edge to Kunchenko as well. I have Kunchenko by dec but if Burns gets careless he could very well get KO'd.

"Aiming to be professional sports handicapper"

AtoZsportsinv
AtoZsportsinv
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08.07.2019 | 12:27 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 3 of 4 Winners, 2 Perfect, 225 Points   |   1999th Place

Luque vs. Perry
Vicente Luque, SUB, R2
This is some good matchmaking and honestly one of the few fights on this whole card worth a watch. I have this being exciting for as long as it last. Luque by sub after doing damage on the feet. A knockdown leads to RNC and a tapout. Odds have it about right so not much value on the bet but Luque should walk away with the W here.

"Aiming to be professional sports handicapper"

AtoZsportsinv
AtoZsportsinv
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08.07.2019 | 12:32 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 3 of 4 Winners, 2 Perfect, 225 Points   |   1999th Place

Shevchenko vs. Carmouche II
Valentina Shevchenko, DEC
I expect a 5 round sweep by bullet. 50-45 on all 3 cards "and still". Can't bet it at this price however. No real reason to add to a parlay. Just have to pass at the betting window and watch one of the best women's fighters in the business do what she does. Carmouche is no bum but is not on Shevchenko's level.

"Aiming to be professional sports handicapper"

MarioSuperSmash
MarioSuperSmash
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08.07.2019 | 3:00 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 640 Points   |   Tied for 340th

Gané vs. Pessoa
Ciryl Gané, TKO, R1
I cap Ciryl Gané @ 70% win probability -233

"Eat Sleep Gamble on fights 👊🏿👊🏿👊🏿"

Make Dat Money
Make Dat Money
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08.07.2019 | 1:14 PM ET

[DraftKings Session] MMA: UFC Uruguay

What’s up my fellow Tapologist,


Just providing DraftKings MMA insight for UFC Uruguay.

$7,000 lock of the card is Marina Rodriguez

MAKE DAT MONEY 🤑



freemoneyforall
freemoneyforall
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08.07.2019 | 1:52 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 1396th

Wow whatta parade of idiots.

NOBODY COMES ON TAP TO COPY PEOPLE'S PICKS! NOBODY GIVES A ****! YOU ****** DUMB ****S!
Hippie
Hippie

08.07.2019 | 3:54 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 470 Points   |   Tied for 1483rd

Haha  @free

@noksuk   
How do you get Gané 70% probability to win, r u going with Tap predictions or you have ur own methods?

Think Im going with Raphael Pessoa TKO R1
MarioSuperSmash
MarioSuperSmash
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08.07.2019 | 4:00 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 640 Points   |   Tied for 340th

Shevchenko vs. Carmouche II
Valentina Shevchenko, TKO, R4
I cap Valentina Shevchenko @ 90% win probability -909.

"Eat Sleep Gamble on fights 👊🏿👊🏿👊🏿"

freakdaddy5150
freakdaddy5150
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08.07.2019 | 8:14 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 6 Perfect, 705 Points   |   Tied for 108th

Viana vs. Macedo
Polyana Viana, DEC
Koi

MarioSuperSmash
MarioSuperSmash
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08.07.2019 | 8:38 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 640 Points   |   Tied for 340th

@Hippie my own methods from film sessions and research. he very well could as it's 2 debutants and HW mma both of those are already a bit sketchy. 

"Eat Sleep Gamble on fights 👊🏿👊🏿👊🏿"

ImperatorFishrat
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08.07.2019 | 9:09 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 605 Points   |   Tied for 562nd

@hippie he's just pulling numbers out his ass. None of those probabilities have any salient methodology behind them.

It's a tough fight to pick. I've watched some tape on Gane, and he's a pretty buck-standard kickboxer. He's a big ass dude who hits hard but he's flat footed. He does switch from orthodox to goofy pretty well and I like that he works the body. He bounces around quite a lot. He's a solid striking HW prospect.

Not much tape on Pessoa. From what I've seen, he's pretty loopy and his guard is very porous. His record is deeper but I'm not sure that means much. Doubt this goes to the floor, and I think Gane gets him out of there in the second. Not sure the -440 price tag is justified however. Pessoa could be value there but again, there's not enough tape out there to really know.
This user is suspended from posting until 8 years, 11 months, 1 week, 3 days, 20 hours, and 56 minutes from now.
ImperatorFishrat
ImperatorFishrat
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08.07.2019 | 9:13 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 605 Points   |   Tied for 562nd

Don't forget to check out Will's show. He's a Tap member.




This user is suspended from posting until 8 years, 11 months, 1 week, 3 days, 20 hours, and 56 minutes from now.
MarioSuperSmash
MarioSuperSmash
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08.07.2019 | 9:41 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 640 Points   |   Tied for 340th

LOL typical @ImperatorFishrat reply. worry about your own UFC predictions dude don't worry about mine and the hours of work and methods i use. 

"Eat Sleep Gamble on fights 👊🏿👊🏿👊🏿"

ImperatorFishrat
ImperatorFishrat
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08.07.2019 | 9:53 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 605 Points   |   Tied for 562nd

By 'research' I suppose you mean sniffing a hog-tied badger and reading tea leaves? Or did you throw a handful of bones in a sand circle and perform a dance?

I wasn't 'worrying' about them. I don't worry about much these days, really. I also don't think you have any idea what you're doing--that was my point.

Reading comprehension, nutsack.

*Taps Forehead*.

* Edited at 08.07.2019, 9:54 PM ET *

This user is suspended from posting until 8 years, 11 months, 1 week, 3 days, 20 hours, and 56 minutes from now.

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