Topic: UFC on ESPN 5

UFC on ESPN 5: Covington vs. Lawler

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Tapology
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05.13.2019 | 10:11 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC on ESPN 5
  • Saturday 08.03.2019 at 12:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: ESPN
  • Name: UFC on ESPN 5: Covington vs. Lawler
  • Also Known As: UFC Fight Night Newark
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: WME-IMG
  • Venue: Prudential Center
  • Location: Newark, New Jersey, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Dominick Cruz
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Interviews: Jon Anik | Backstage: Laura Sanko
  • Ticket Revenue (live gate): $687,778
  • Attendance: 10,427
  • TV Ratings: 680,000 avg. viewers (945k peak, 523k ESPN prelims)
  • MMA Bouts: 12
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Colby Covington   defeats   Robbie Lawler   via Decision, Unanimous   5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page
Jim Miller   defeats   Clay Guida   via Submission, Guillotine Choke   0:58 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Nasrat Haqparast   defeats   Joaquim Silva   via KO/TKO, Overhand Left   0:36 Round 2 of 3, 5:36 Total Bout Page
Gerald Meerschaert   defeats   Trevin Giles   via Submission, Guillotine Choke   1:49 Round 3 of 3, 11:49 Total Bout Page
Scott Holtzman   defeats   Dong Hyun Ma   via KO/TKO, Doctor Stoppage   5:00 Round 2 of 3, 10:00 Total Bout Page
Kennedy Nzechukwu   defeats   Darko Stošić   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Mickey Gall   defeats   Salim Touahri   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Antonina Shevchenko   defeats   Lucie Pudilová   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   1:20 Round 2 of 3, 6:20 Total Bout Page
Matt Schnell   defeats   Jordan Espinosa   via Submission, Triangle Choke   1:23 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Lauren Murphy   defeats   Mara Borella   via KO/TKO, Knee and Punches   1:46 Round 3 of 3, 11:46 Total Bout Page
Claudio Silva   defeats   Cole Williams   via Submission, Neck Crank   2:35 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Miranda Granger   defeats   Hannah Goldy   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 3

tepid55
tepid55
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07.25.2019 | 11:48 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 450 Points   |   Tied for 795th

Silva vs. Williams
Claudio Silva, SUB, R1
I think this will be a pretty easy win for Silva.

MarioSuperSmash
MarioSuperSmash
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07.25.2019 | 4:13 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 475 Points   |   Tied for 605th

Covington vs. Lawler
Colby Covington, DEC
I cap Colby Covington @ 65% win probability -185

"Eat Sleep Gamble on fights 👊🏿👊🏿👊🏿"

MarioSuperSmash
MarioSuperSmash
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07.26.2019 | 4:32 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 475 Points   |   Tied for 605th

Shevchenko vs. Pudilová
Lucie Pudilová, DEC
I cap Lucie Pudilova 57% win probability -133. I think she wins a competitive decision with landing the harder more effective strikes and will have more volume.

"Eat Sleep Gamble on fights 👊🏿👊🏿👊🏿"

MarioSuperSmash
MarioSuperSmash
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07.26.2019 | 4:31 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 475 Points   |   Tied for 605th

Gall vs. Touahri
Salim Touahri, TKO, R1
Salim Touahri TDD will be on point and he keeps it standing and tko's Mickey Gall. I cap Salim Touahri @ 62% -164

"Eat Sleep Gamble on fights 👊🏿👊🏿👊🏿"

Moorlady
Moorlady

07.28.2019 | 3:07 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 501st

What calculus are you using, @Nok?
MarioSuperSmash
MarioSuperSmash
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07.28.2019 | 5:00 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 475 Points   |   Tied for 605th

Guida vs. Miller
Jim Miller, DEC
I cap Jim miller at a 69% win probability -222

"Eat Sleep Gamble on fights 👊🏿👊🏿👊🏿"

MarioSuperSmash
MarioSuperSmash
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07.28.2019 | 5:04 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 475 Points   |   Tied for 605th

@Moorlady MMA is not a sport like MLB where you can use formulas and mathematics to cap the game. These are my numbers i came to with lots of research and film sessions. 

"Eat Sleep Gamble on fights 👊🏿👊🏿👊🏿"

Moorlady
Moorlady

07.29.2019 | 2:12 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 501st

Actually, I came up with a formula that worked about 60% of the time.  I think I’m better off without it, though.  It needed tweaking.  It wasn’t, for instance, opponent specific and it needed to be.  But before I stopped using it, I optimized it for the prototype needed to beat Khabib.  Big surprise, GSP most fits that data set.
ImperatorFishrat
ImperatorFishrat
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07.29.2019 | 2:21 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 440 Points   |   Tied for 886th

@Moorlady if GSP beats Khabib in 2019 or any time after I will literally quit picking MMA lol. I don't think he'd ever have beaten him.

Rule it out. Forget about it.

* Edited at 07.29.2019, 2:28 AM ET *

This user is suspended from posting until 8 years, 11 months, 2 weeks, 3 days, 1 hour, and 47 minutes from now.
phillip53
phillip53
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07.29.2019 | 5:10 AM ET

Predictions: 5 of 12 Winners, 0 Perfect, 265 Points   |   Tied for 1865th

mark my words, if khabib beats dustin, conor gets the rematch **** tony, **** the division, dana has been scheming how to pull this off since right after the first fight. the rhetoric has slowly and steadily drifted from conor really doesnt deserve a rematch to now saying it absolutely could happen, this is dana "*******" white as his ******* best. 

"you dont need religion to have morals. if you can't tell right from wrong you lack empathy and humanity, not religion."

ImperatorFishrat
ImperatorFishrat
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07.29.2019 | 6:00 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 440 Points   |   Tied for 886th

Doubt Conor will ask for the rematch if Khabib beats Dustin. He doesn't want that fight again, he knows he'll never beat Khabib. He'll be hoping like **** Dustin wins, because if he does, he'll be all over that **** like white on rice. That's definitely a fight he could win. I agree that he'll get a shot on return though. Has he done anything to deserve it? Nope. But that's UFC in 2019; Dana will do anything to get that golden goose laying again.

* Edited at 07.29.2019, 6:04 AM ET *

This user is suspended from posting until 8 years, 11 months, 2 weeks, 3 days, 1 hour, and 47 minutes from now.
loudenSwain
loudenSwain
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07.29.2019 | 12:28 PM ET

Predictions: 0 of 0 Winners, 0 Perfect, 0 Points   |   Tied for 2134th

Early start to card. I’m gonna miss it. I’ll be at a Bootsy Collins and Branford Marsalis show then hitting Herbie Han**** that Sunday. Sucks I won’t catch it until Monday but hoping to hear Robbie took Colby’s head off

"This is Prize-Fighting, IDGAF about your family or your problems - MassaBruce"

Forrestsancomb
Forrestsancomb
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07.29.2019 | 2:50 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 0 of 1 Winners, 0 Perfect, 0 Points   |   Tied for 2134th

Covington vs. Lawler
Robbie Lawler, TKO, R1
easy money

MassaBruce
MassaBruce

07.29.2019 | 3:18 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 223rd

Colby is going to cruise to yet another victory via the double-leg TD. 
This user is suspended from posting until 5 years, 5 months, 3 weeks, 2 days, 15 hours, and 2 minutes from now.
MarioSuperSmash
MarioSuperSmash
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07.29.2019 | 3:24 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 475 Points   |   Tied for 605th

@Moorlady I'll stick to my way of lots of research,film study and a lot of hard work. 65% UFC predictions

"Eat Sleep Gamble on fights 👊🏿👊🏿👊🏿"

Piercerdan
Piercerdan
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07.29.2019 | 4:50 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 1 of 2 Winners, 0 Perfect, 50 Points   |   Tied for 2110th

Covington vs. Lawler
Robbie Lawler, TKO, R1
cant pick against an old fav. Hoping he smashes through colby.

"Fact: knowledge or info based on real occurrences, opinion: a belief held with confidence not substantiated by proof."

freemoneyforall
freemoneyforall
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07.29.2019 | 4:56 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 435 Points   |   Tied for 960th

@fish.  stop pretending. the only thing u hate more then gsp is wmma. 


Your right the best case scenario is khabib losing to poirer Conor would rematch poirer and have the best odds hell ever have again to win a belt. Khabib would fight Tony and winner would fight Conor. Ufc maximizes their profits this way. Only guy getting ****** is Justin gaethje. Who none of them want to fight.
Not even poirer. His leg is hurting just thinking about it.

* Edited at 07.29.2019, 5:04 PM ET *

freemoneyforall
freemoneyforall
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07.29.2019 | 5:09 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 435 Points   |   Tied for 960th

@swain most likely you'll hear Robbie got ridden like a ***** on welfare check day!

@nuksukow easy their son. Start bragging when you've made ten thousand picks with a 65%.
You ain't even made a thousand yet. 

#cherry picking is easy
DyeDojo
DyeDojo
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07.29.2019 | 5:36 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 4 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 265 Points   |   Tied for 1887th

Covington vs. Lawler
Robbie Lawler, TKO, R1
Lawler. No question here. He has had the drop on Covington since they were training partners.

"I'm not surprised mother f******." Nathan Diaz

MarioSuperSmash
MarioSuperSmash
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07.29.2019 | 5:37 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 475 Points   |   Tied for 605th

huh @freemoneyforall what are you talking about? no cherry picking around here. I make predictions for all UFC fights and other promotions if they have betting lines and i have enough time to research it. I would have years and years of UFC prediction tracking if i used this site back when there was pick ems for sherdog & UFC pick em....... you have only 100 more UFC predictions more than me lol yours 56.2% mine 64.9%

* Edited at 07.29.2019, 5:38 PM ET *

"Eat Sleep Gamble on fights 👊🏿👊🏿👊🏿"

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