UFC on ESPN 4: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

Vick vs. Hooker
James Vick, DEC
I take Vick by a weird grappling match, some boring decision, everytime he’s tried to strike he gets beat, so he will wrestle and punch his ticket to victory.

you've got a couple of minutes this is worth a watch, funniest fight ever.

dos Anjos vs. Edwards
Rafael dos Anjos, DEC
RDA by whatever he wants, Leon is nothing special and looking at RDAS list of killers he’s fought this is a night off for hjm.

Oleinik vs. Harris
Walt Harris, TKO, R1
I’ll regret picking Harris who is terrible but **** it here I am

Hardy vs. Adams
Juan Adams, DEC
Can’t pick that scum bag, be interesting to see if Juan took the money for the dive or not, the ‘lifeguard’ certainly did

Vick vs. Hooker
Daniel Hooker, TKO, R2
I don’t think Vick ever came back fromThe shadow realm Gaethje put him in, Hope Hooker is the same guy after that beating from Barboza though

Trinaldo vs. Hernandez
Alexander Hernandez, TKO, R3
Gimme the non old man

Arlovski vs. Rothwell II
Ben Rothwell, DEC
Flip a coin and go for a smoke, this one is gonna be boring as ****

Caceres vs. Peterson
Steven Peterson, DEC
Texas boy all day

Pennington vs. Aldana
Irene Aldana, DEC
Boring outpoint sparring match

Alvey vs. Abreu
Klidson Abreu, SUB, R2
I think Sam is done and getting paydays

Modafferi vs. Maia II
Jennifer Maia, DEC
Piss break

Borg vs. Silva
Ray Borg, DEC
Borg needs the cash

Bautista vs. Son
Mario Bautista, DEC
Asians in America, say no more

@Tabasco You seem like a very positive minded fella. lol

dos Anjos vs. Edwards
Leon Edwards, DEC
think leon fights smart and ties dos anjos up when he pushes forward and lands cleaner at range.

Oleinik vs. Harris
Alexey Oleinik, SUB, R2
not sure harris ever lives up to the potential his frame and athleticism offer. he's either gonna put boa out early or he's gonna get dragged around by someone nowhere near his size.

Hardy vs. Adams
Greg Hardy, TKO, R3
it's gonna look like a slightly more athletic version of kimbo/dada where one guy loses the fight when he simply falls over from exhaustion.

Vick vs. Hooker
Daniel Hooker, TKO, R2
it's too early to really question vick's chin, but hooker should have fought smarter against barboza and we know he's capable of finishing whoever is in front of him.

Trinaldo vs. Hernandez
Francisco Trinaldo, DEC
this is a heart pick. there's just something super likable for me about trinaldo and his skillset. i think alex was rushed up too fast and trinaldo is competent everywhere.

Arlovski vs. Rothwell II
Ben Rothwell, TKO, R2
hopefully not another boring hw decision. both guys have to know this is one of their last chances to make a statement, i trust ben's skills more at this point.

Caceres vs. Peterson
Alex Caceres, DEC
could be a close one considering how hard peterson presses. caceres should have the range weapons to keep him outside and make him tired, but definitely possible that goes out the window once the brawl starts though.

Pennington vs. Aldana
Raquel Pennington, DEC
hedging here. i like aldana, wanted her to be something great during invicta days, but beating bethe isn't tipping the scales for me. pennington may not have any specific skillset, but she's tough and has the ability to make it a dogfight if irene can't stay on her bike consistently. hope i'm wrong.

Alvey vs. Abreu
Klidson Abreu, DEC
i don't think sam's totally done, but i do think that someone who can grind on him should have an advantage.

Modafferi vs. Maia II
Roxanne Modafferi, DEC
i so badly wanted maia to be a force at 125, and she still can be, but she's not in 5 round fights yet and that hurts her chances i think. roxy has just gotten a lot better everywhere and is still durable.

Borg vs. Silva
Ray Borg, DEC
i'm not gonna count silva out here, he seems like a decent signing, but borg probably should've gotten the decision in his last fight and has shown that he can compete with the top end of the division so i'll favor him.

Bautista vs. Son
Jin Soo Son, DEC
hard to handicap each guy's debut considering level of competition, but i'll go with kz's boy just because he has more experience with scorecards.

Pilarte vs. Colares
Domingo Pilarte, DEC
not seeing much that makes me reconsider the pretty wide odds. thinking pilarte will take over as they get deeper into the fight.

Edwards vs. RDA


I think Edwards gets it done here by decision, RDA is without a doubt the best all round guy he's faced but I think Leon's lack of finish's will actually serve him in this fight. Edwards will be prepared for 5 hard rounds and unlike Lee he doesn't tend to fade in the later rounds. Edwards DEC



Oleinik vs. Harris


We all know what Oleinik is going to try and do so does Harris, and I just can't see Walt falling for it. Barring some crazy scramble can't see Oleinki getting Walt down and don't think he can match Harris athleticism and striking. Harris KO/TKO RD2




Hardy vs. Adams 


Why the hell is this even on the main card? A pick-em fight if I ever seen one but I am leaning towards Hardy simply because he seems the better overall and more explosive athlete. If Adams can get in to the third then I like his chances but my bet is Hardy clips him before he can get his wrestling going. Hardy KO/TKO RD1




Vick vs. Hooker 


Hooker is just the scarier fighter of the two. Neither guy has any glaring advantage over the other that I can think of other than Hooker has a much higher finishing rate. Vick's probably gonna keep distance the first but a power difference becomes more evident after that and Hooker takes over. Hooker KO/TKO RD3



Hernandez vs. Trinaldo 


This is a good comeback fight for Hernandez. Trinaldo is a vet but he's also now 40 and I find that the lower the weight class you go the more obvious the drops in speed and athleticism are. As long as Hernandez is smart I think he outclasses Trinaldo. Hernandez DEC



Arlovski vs. Rothwell II


Got to go with big Ben here. They're both older Heavyweights so anything can happen but Arlovski has just so many more miles on the clock than Rothwell that I think its got to start catching up with him. In fact in the same space of time Andrei has had 10 fights and Rothwell has had 2. Rothwell DEC

Can't find the fantasy game.. I've made my predictions and now what? 

On that drop down menu on the right, should be a little section that says FANTASY MMA (BETA)

Oooooooo ****. Jennifer Maia missed weight... 129lbs

Pathetic so sick of this ****. Train make weight fight how can that b so hard. Doesn't surprise me since Maia has been a hype job fraud like big Mac dern

say this with sincerity and respect. Is Sam alvey ********?
No seriously though

If ONE Championship's weight rules were used by all promotions, making fighters making weight wouldn't be as big of a problem.

@tepid I don't watch one enough please explain

If a fighter competes in the flyweight division (125 pounds), they are allowed to weigh in at no more than 135 pounds.

Got it. They do the limits backwards basically. 

dos Anjos vs. Edwards
Rafael dos Anjos, DEC
Leon is a very tricky guy and has gotten better and better at stalling fights while scoring points. Unfortunately you need to pressure RDA to beat him, which while he does have the cardio to do, he just doesn't seem to have the sense of urgency to keep it on Rafael for 25 minutes. Close call, but RDA gets my pick.

Oleinik vs. Harris
Alexey Oleinik, SUB, R1
Walt Harris ******* sucks ****. End of.

Hardy vs. Adams
Juan Adams, TKO, R2
Greg is athletic enough to have a real chance of winning this, but unless Juan's chin lets him down he should be able to get on top of an exhausted Hardy and pound him.

Vick vs. Hooker
Daniel Hooker, TKO, R1
Vick got a reality check once he fought guys within the top 15, and I fear he might be on the fast track to irrelevancy now. I think he'll get another one here courtesy of Dan.

Trinaldo vs. Hernandez
Alexander Hernandez, DEC
Another hard fight to call.

Arlovski vs. Rothwell II
Andrei Arlovski, TKO, R3
Wishful thinking here for the most part. Arlovski still seems mobile enough to outstrike Ben, but his output has been atrocious for awhile now, and, even though he arguably won his last two fights, he's probably going to go home frustrated with another loss on his record. Hoping Ben at least shows some urgency so that we don't end up with a sparring match.

Caceres vs. Peterson
Alex Caceres, DEC
Peterson is a complete sitting duck on the feet so Alex shouldn't be too concerned there. Things might get hairy if he winds up on his back, but that's pretty much a given whenever Caceres fights a grappler. The toughness of Steven might swing the fight in his favor, but the man got clowned on by Brandon Davis.

Pennington vs. Aldana
Raquel Pennington, DEC
Hard to call since Irene seems to get dragged into a war of attrition every time she fights, but I lean towards Raquel picking her spots carefully and outpointing her.

Alvey vs. Abreu
Klidson Abreu, SUB, R1
Abreu didn't look too hot in his debut, but it came against Ankalaev so that's understandable. As long as he doesn't get tagged too bad, he should be able to implement his BJJ and beat Alvey. A finish might be wishful thinking, but Sam seems to be falling off.

Modafferi vs. Maia II
Jennifer Maia, DEC
I'll be completely honest - I know jack**** about Maia and can't for the life of me recall Modafferi's fights. Shooting fish in a barrel, but Jennifer already has a prior win over her and came in overweight, which should give her a slight edge.

Borg vs. Silva
Ray Borg, DEC
Don't know much about Silva other than the fact he's related to Erick and has power to go complement his grappling. He has a decent win over Lebkowski too, so he's definitely a live dog, but I have to stick with the more proven Borg. It will be interesting to see if he has more luck with his wrestling this time around or if his style doesn't translate to BW.

Bautista vs. Son
Jin Soo Son, TKO, R2
Son was game in his fight against Petr, even if he employed the patented korean tactic of blocking punches with your face, he should be able to tag Bautista and finish him. Mario might have his moments if he drags it to the mat, but I don't trust his durability.

Pilarte vs. Colares
Domingo Pilarte, DEC
Pilarte shouldn't have much issue with Felipe here. Very one dimensional grappler with a poor gas tank and not so good off of his back. Domingo is not much of a finished product himself, but he showed guts in his come from behind win over Morales.

Don't realise the difference of tall and reach between Edwards & RDA before. Could be a factor.

Hardy vs. Adams
Juan Adams, TKO, R1
Don't see this one lasting past one round. If it does it will get verrrrrry sloppy. But for one round it will be a brawl.

I've been considering that a factor too but RDA beat Neil Magny but I'm pretty sure Leon Edwards is stronger. He also trouble with Ferguson's reach too. 

Hardy vs. Adams
Juan Adams, TKO, R2
打撃で戦ったらハーディの一発が炸裂するかもしれないですが、アダムスはD-1レスラーです。一回テイクダウンされたらハーディがスタミナ的に厳しくなると思います。

Vick vs. Hooker
James Vick, DEC
かなり予想が難しい試合です。フッカー次第で展開が変わってきます。フッカーが前回の負けから学習し、序盤に仕掛ける事ができればヴィックをKOできると思いますが、距離をとって戦ってたらジャブでじわじわ削られると思います。

Trinaldo vs. Hernandez
Francisco Trinaldo, DEC
この試合はヘルナンデスがトリナードを疲れさせることができるかにかかっています。スタンドの打撃ではトリナードのほうが上回ると思うので、ヘルナンデスはクリンチに持ち込むと思います。クリンチではどちらも強いですが、トリナードは膝、ヘルナンデスはグラップリングに利点があります。そこで大事になるのはヘルナンデスがテイクダウンできるかどうかです。僕はトリナードがタイミングタックルはされても、力で無理やり持ち上げるテイクダウンはされないと思います。

Arlovski vs. Rothwell II
Andrei Arlovski, DEC
アルロフは4連敗中ですが、すべて僅差でそこまで悪い内容ではありませんでした。この試合はアルロフが右に回りつつローを蹴っていけば、ロスウェルの右を交わしつつスタミナ勝負に持っていけると思います。ただし、ロスウェルのスイッチングラッシュには気をつけてほしいところです。

Caceres vs. Peterson
Alex Caceres, DEC
かなり予想が難しいです。カセレスのスピード＋カウンター vs ピーターソンの根性＋スタミナという構図です。ブラボー戦にかなり近い展開でカセレスが僅差の勝利をするのではないかと予想します。隠れたファイトオブザナイト候補です。

Pennington vs. Aldana
Irene Aldana, DEC
この試合も予想が難しいです。ただ、自分は強いて選ぶならブランクで実力が落ちてそうなペニントンより、勢いに乗っているアルダナのほうがいいなと思います。

Alvey vs. Abreu
Klidson Abreu, DEC
アルビーがKOするかアブリューがキックで削るかの試合になると思います。アルビーが積極的にならない限り今回も負けるでしょう。しかし、アブリューもディフェンスが良くないので、チャンスは有ると思います。

Modafferi vs. Maia II
Roxanne Modafferi, DEC
一回目の対戦ではマイアが勝ちましたが、自分はモダフェリが進化しているように感じます。何よりも相手にプレッシャーを賭けれるようになりました。今回の試合でもそれができれば、マイアをテイクダウンしてリベンジできるのではないかと思います。

Borg vs. Silva
Ray Borg, DEC
ボーグ予想ではありますが、元フェザー級でフィジカルが強そうなシウバがテイクダウンを防ぎ、打撃で上回ってもおかしくないと思います。シウバの情報が少なく、判断できる材料があまりありません。ただ、シウバが殆どの試合をフィニッシュさせているので、フィニッシュされないボーグ相手にスタミナ切れを起こす可能性が高いと予想します。