The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

Mazo vs. Dobson
Shana Dobson, DEC
I cap Shana Dobson @ 51% win probability -104..... I have 0 confidence in this pick.

Smith vs. Worthy
Devonte Smith, TKO, R1
I cap Devonte Smith @ 80% win probability -400

Smith would probably be my most confident pick on the card. Close to Yusuff and Sandhagen!

UFC 241 Main Card

Cormier vs. Miocic II
Just finished re-watching the first fight and it was a lot closer than I remember it being, Stipe has a lot of success on the feet and I would have said it was pretty even round up until then or maybe even slightly in Stipe's favour. Gun to my head I think Cormier gets it done again, not as quickly but he still gets it done. Plus Stipe's been out for over a year and ring rust going in to a fight as big as this one could be the difference.
Winner: Daniel Cormier


Diaz vs. Pettis 
If Pettis current tradition of alternating between wins and losses is still in effect then he's due a loss against Nate but having been out the longest of anyone on the card (as near as makes no difference to 3 years) there is no telling what version of Nate shows up. One thing that sticks in my mind is the Diaz brother are often best nullified by either a great wrestler or someone with expectational leg kicks. If Pettis can land the kicks early then I fancy him to get the win as the 3 round format favours his style more than Diaz.
Winner: Anthony Pettis


Romero vs. Costa
A fight between two of the most physically gifted guys at Middleweight, this is by far the biggest test of Costa's career. Sure he's a massive prospect but compared to Yoel who has he beaten? A post USADA Johny Hendricks and Uriah Hall who's never quite lived up to his potential plus he's another guy who's been out for over a year with his own USADA situation. The only thing that seems like its going to stop Yoel Romero other than Robert Whittaker right now seems to be age and I don't think father time has quite caught up to him yet. 
Winner: Yoel Romero


Yusuff vs. Benitez 
Two Featherweight prospects, whoever wins this one will possibly get their first crack at an opponent in the top 15 after this so this is a big test for both. While both seems to be good fighters and I reckon you will see both of them in the top 15 eventually but Yusuff looks to be the more ready complete fighter of the two at the current moment.
Winner: Sodiq Yusuff


Brunson vs. Heinisch
There is far more riding on this fight for Brunson than for Heinisch in my opinion, he's currently 4-4 in his last 8 and has consistently lost to tip of the spear competition. If he drops another one here to a rising prospect like Heinisch Brunson could easily be relegated to being the Middleweight divisions gatekeeper. Heinisch has been a roll since getting signed from DWCS and if he can take out a vet like Brunson he's probably just one more fight away from entering the title picture.
Winner: Ian Heinisch 

Giagos last fight was the first time ever he was able to train full time for a upcoming fight. I think he’ll be a live dog pick this weekend

This is also the first fight he's had in the United States since January of 2017! 
I believe this fight is actually very close, both guys can exploit each other. but the real question is who can do it more consistently for 15 minutes? 
Still undecided but Giagos might pull the upset. 

Cormier vs. Miocic II
Stipe Miocic, TKO, R2
As long as Cormier doesn't scratch Stipe's eyes out Stipe should win!

Starting from the 4th fight, this card is STACKEDD!!!

Davis vs. Kang
Kyung Ho Kang, DEC
I cap Kyung Ho Kang @ 65% probability -185

Hahaha you're an annoying **** nuksack. 

Lmao even your avatar meme is annoying me hahaha 
Or it's this awesome weed I just smoked.

Lol I can't stop laughing. Does anyone else perceive people on here to actually look like there avatar.
Or is it just me?

I suspect Bruce is right and stipe really has little chance here. Stipe likes to throw those straight combos touch em up Nate Diaz style DC and his giant head can takes those all night. But stipe can't take cormier power. And he was way to willing to clinch with DC. If he does that again it'll be the same result.

Cifers vs. Esquibel
Hannah Cifers, TKO, R3
I cap Cifers (-280) by finish @ 98.5% because Jodie Esquibel is a ************* who sucks major ass at fighting, has only gotten so many opportunites because she's married to the Techno Viking himself and should feel bad for actually losing to a 2018 version of Jessica Aguilar. Just noticed that these two girls are midgets as well - I cap this fight @ 100% chance of being sloppy or sad to watch.

Mazo vs. Dobson
Sabina Mazo, SUB, R2
Hahahahahaha forever you guys will be like what the ****???

My opinion is that Dobson moves much better is much more athletic and is tighter with her punches. Sabina Mazo has spaghetti arms and legs and throws what I refer to as noodle kicks and punches. In her last fight she punched alot of air as well as low kicked alot of air but she did start coming back. That whole noodle kicks and punches happens more in the women division its kinda of like a combination of not being a natural athlete. Liz carmouche had lets punch the air syndrome big time (sometimes i get embarrassed that such fighters are even on television and are actually being commentated on you never would hear paul felder, dominic cruise, or dan hardy saying she's punched the air for the 12th time it would look bad for the sport.  

Bermudez vs. Kenney
Manny Bermudez, SUB, R2
I think there is some value to be had on Bermudez in this fight from a betting perspective. Assuming he makes weight without complications he will be the bigger fighter in this matchup. Kenney does pose some problems on the feet with good quick striking. Kenney starts fast and has good 1st rounds so far in the UFC but after that slows down some. Kenney's wrestling will only serve him as defense in this fight as he wants no part of Bermudez on the ground. However I see Bermudez being able to get it there eventually and from there getting the finish. I give it until the 2nd round before that happens. Pick is Bermudez by sub. He can be bet as the side in this fight. Also take a look at the totals when they come out. A plus to the under 2.5 will have value as well.

* Edited at 08.15.2019, 11:54 AM ET *