Topic: UFC 189

UFC 189: Mendes vs. McGregor Discussion Thread

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skelliher
skelliher
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07.10.2015 | 7:41 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 365 Points   |   Tied for 773rd

The fighters are weighed in and we're set for what may be the best card of the year (on paper). 

Let's hope it delivers. 

Prelims kick off on UFC Fight Pass at 7pm ET before moving over to FS1 at 8pm. The PPV main card, as always, starts at 10pm. 

Let's get this topic as (respectably) rowdy as the Irish fans in attendance will be Saturday night!

"When a game cannot be won, change the game."

UFC 189
  • Saturday 07.11.2015 at 10:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: Fox Sports 1
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Zuffa, LLC
  • Venue: MGM Grand Garden Arena
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Mike Goldberg, Joe Rogan
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Joe Rogan
  • Ticket Revenue (live gate): $7,200,000
  • Attendance: 16,019
  • PPV Buys / Buyrate: 825,000 | TV Ratings: 847,000 avg. viewers (FS1 prelims)
  • MMA Bouts: 11
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Conor McGregor   defeats   Chad Mendes   via KO/TKO, Punches   4:57 Round 2 of 5, 9:57 Total Bout Page
Robbie Lawler   defeats   Rory MacDonald   via KO/TKO, Punches   1:00 Round 5 of 5, 21:00 Total Bout Page
Jeremy Stephens   defeats   Dennis Bermudez   via KO/TKO, Flying Knee and Punches   0:32 Round 3 of 3, 10:32 Total Bout Page
Gunnar Nelson   defeats   Brandon Thatch   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   2:54 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Thomas Almeida   defeats   Brad Pickett   via KO/TKO, Flying Knee   0:29 Round 2 of 3, 5:29 Total Bout Page
Matt Brown   defeats   Tim Means   via Submission, Guillotine Choke   4:44 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Alex Garcia   defeats   Mike Swick   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
John Howard   defeats   Cathal Pendred   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Cody Garbrandt   defeats   Henry Briones   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Louis Smolka   defeats   Neil Seery   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Cody Pfister   defeats   Yosdenis Cedeno   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page

Responses

terrencetj
terrencetj
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07.10.2015 | 8:55 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 465 Points   |   Tied for 214th

Got my picks set for tomorrow night, so pumped up after weigh-ins I went with 2 wild cards on this one %15 Stephens & 30% Doomsday Howard!!! 


"Come chill in my hot tub. I don't have a hot tub."

skelliher
skelliher
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07.11.2015 | 11:48 AM ET

BUMP

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 365 Points   |   Tied for 773rd


"When a game cannot be won, change the game."

psychicdeath
psychicdeath
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07.11.2015 | 12:02 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 365 Points   |   Tied for 773rd

Also, for anyone interested, the UFC Hall of Fame ceremony for BJ Penn, Bas Rutten, Jeff Blatnick, and the Matt Hughes vs Frank Trigg II fight is live on Fight Pass at 2 PM ET.

"I shall not cause harm to any vehicle nor the personal contents thereof, nor through inaction let that vehicle or the personal contents thereof come to harm. It's what I call the Repo Code, kid. "

Gregory
Gregory
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07.11.2015 | 1:27 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 31st with 1 other

@psychic cool, thanks

"I live, I die, I live again."

AnAlias
AnAlias
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07.11.2015 | 1:36 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 445 Points   |   Tied for 288th

I haven't been this amped for a fight card in a while. 

"Boxing is like jazz. The better it is, the less people appreciate it." - George Foreman

FaceStomper
FaceStomper
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07.11.2015 | 1:53 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 380 Points   |   Tied for 673rd

Mendes beats McGregor, McGregor beats Aldo, Aldo beats Mendes.

It's a never ending cycle.

"You fight midgets" - Nate Diaz

MikeLovesTacos XD
MikeLovesTacos XD
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07.11.2015 | 1:55 PM ET

Predictions: 4 of 11 Winners, 0 Perfect, 215 Points   |   Tied for 1507th

Mendes beats McGregor, Aldo kills McGregor, Aldo beats Mendes. It's a cycle full of Brazilian destruction.

"Is normal. Everybody go down." -- Patricky Pitbull

FaceStomper
FaceStomper
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07.11.2015 | 1:57 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 380 Points   |   Tied for 673rd

Aldo kills no one, Conrad McGullicutty is king.

* Edited at 07.11.2015, 1:58 PM ET *

"You fight midgets" - Nate Diaz

rappinpapsoda
rappinpapsoda
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07.11.2015 | 1:59 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 430 Points   |   Tied for 388th

I just watched 'The Notorius' on Fox and it makes the evidence even more cinvincing that they wanted Conor to fight for the title way before Siver.

"The only thing predictable about MMA is that it is unpredictable."

legendaryone6
legendaryone6
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07.11.2015 | 1:59 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 415 Points   |   Tied for 464th

With all the money that's being spent by UFC pumping up Conor.....Dana should have gone to Chad behind the scenes and said ill pay you 2 million for you to lose tonight, with a rematch within one year since we can sell that you took this fight on short notice. (Conor's title unification bout after Aldo). Chad's response "Ok". 
terrencetj
terrencetj
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07.11.2015 | 2:05 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 465 Points   |   Tied for 214th

Lol its weird I'm almost thinking this fight is gunna play out like Johnson/DC did but with Mendes getting the TKO/KO victory instead of a submission in the third.

"Come chill in my hot tub. I don't have a hot tub."

legendaryone6
legendaryone6
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07.11.2015 | 2:15 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 415 Points   |   Tied for 464th

i think it plays out more like shogun v. jones situation. jones rose to the occasion when he finally got his shot. Conor can do the exact same thing.  gotta love the 8 inch reach advantages and 3 inch height advantages jon had over rua and which is exactly the same thing Conor has over Mendes. 
joking_joe
joking_joe
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07.11.2015 | 2:22 PM ET

Predictions: 5 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 290 Points   |   Tied for 1245th

From Dave Meltzer:

"Those in UFC claim that the PPV advance for Saturday as far as orders go as of Wednesday were ahead of any show to date including UFC 100. Almost all PPV buys are done the day of the show so that isn’t yet a strong indication of guaranteed success, but it’s a good indication. Within the PPV industry, the belief is this will top 725,000 buys and that with Aldo, it would have beaten that handily.
The belief is a McGregor win would mean Aldo vs. McGregor, whenever that would happen, would be much bigger than it would have been tomorrow. However, a Mendes win, the belief is, would cost all parties involved a combined $45 million. And a lot of smart people favor Mendes, although McGregor is the betting favorite."
rappinpapsoda
rappinpapsoda
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07.11.2015 | 2:25 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 430 Points   |   Tied for 388th

No way this will do 1.6 million buys. He is not Brock Lesnar.

"The only thing predictable about MMA is that it is unpredictable."

AnAlias
AnAlias
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07.11.2015 | 2:51 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 445 Points   |   Tied for 288th

Anyone else watching the Hall of Fame ceremony?  They just inducted El Guapo.

"Boxing is like jazz. The better it is, the less people appreciate it." - George Foreman

nogfan
nogfan
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07.11.2015 | 3:14 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 455 Points   |   Tied for 247th

Here's the accomplishments and wrestling credentials of the guys on the card.
Connor: None,the only known Irish wrestler isn't even Irish his name is Alex Doly and he's a transfer from UNI.
Chad Mendes: 2x all-american(2006,2008),2008 national runner-up to J-Jagger at 141,  placed sixth in 2006 at 125, 2x Pac 10 champion(2006,2008).
Lawler-nothing after high school,All-state for Iowa, went to Bettendorf High School the same place as #3 in the country at 145 Freddy Stroker. 
Macdonald-None
Bermudez-wrestled for Bloomsburg,6th place at University Nationals. 20-10 as a Redshirt Sop****re beat Matt Cathell(ranked #9 at the time)
Almeida,Pickett,Means,Brown,Swick,Garcia,Pendred,Howard-Nope
Cody Garbrandt- 2008 NHSCA runner-up in sop****re division at 112, 2008 State runner-up at 119 to Zach Neibert,2007 State champion at 112 beating Zach Neibert(2013 NCAA All-american at 149 placed eighth, has wins over all-americans Tyler Graff,Scott Sakaguchi,Evan henderson) Garbrandt is pretty good. 
Briones,Seery and Cedeno-No
Pfitser-he went to state his senior year in Texas, Didn't place, really you don't have to know mucha bout him as he doesn't have much longer in the UFC. 
skelliher
skelliher
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07.11.2015 | 4:13 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 365 Points   |   Tied for 773rd

UFC 100 had the combined effect of being UFC 100, a crossover milestone for the sport as it was in the midst of its breakout period, a Brock Lesnar-Frank Mir rematch title fight and GSP vs. Thiago Alves in the midst of GSP's reign of dominance. 

The two biggest PPV draws in MMA history on the same show. 

If 189 does over 700k, I'll be pleasantly surprised. If it does less than 500k, a bit of a disappointment. I expect somewhere between 500-700. 

"When a game cannot be won, change the game."

Follow The Money
Follow The Money
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07.11.2015 | 5:02 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 440 Points   |   Tied for 300th

You know...it's going to be conor/Aldo at ufc 200. I think that was the ******* plan the whole time.
MikeLovesTacos XD
MikeLovesTacos XD
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07.11.2015 | 5:05 PM ET

Predictions: 4 of 11 Winners, 0 Perfect, 215 Points   |   Tied for 1507th

No it won't be. Mendes beats McGregor tonight, rather easily, and Aldo/Mendes III will happen again soon. Only way McGregor gets another title shot after tonight is if the UFC feeds him complete cans, which they have done a good job of doing thus far. So you never know, I guess. 

"Is normal. Everybody go down." -- Patricky Pitbull

CthulhuJones
CthulhuJones
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07.11.2015 | 5:11 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 470 Points   |   Tied for 201st

Poirier and Holloway = cans


Seriously, McGregor might lose, but shut the **** up.


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