Topic: Shields vs. Ellenberger

Shields vs. Ellenberger Predictions

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Oddsbot
Oddsbot
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07.20.2011 | 12:24 AM ET

Prediction: wrong Shields   wrong Decision  

This is the official prediction commentary thread for Shields vs. Ellenberger. Let's see what you've got.

"This is the droid you're looking for."

Jake Ellenberger defeats Jake Shields via KO/TKO at 0:53 of Round 1

Jake "The Juggernaut" Ellenberger
Jake Shields

Ellenberger
KO/TKO
Round 1

Jake Ellenberger Jake Shields

"The Juggernaut"

25-5-0   Pro Record At Fight   26-5-1
Climbed to 26-5   Record After Fight   Fell to 26-6
+130 (Slight Underdog)   Betting Odds   -160 (Slight Favorite)
United States   Nationality   United States
Omaha, Nebraska   Fighting out of   San Francisco, California
26 years, 5 months, 2 weeks, 6 days   Age at Fight   32 years, 8 months, 1 week, 1 day
170.0 lbs (77.1 kgs)   Weigh-In Result   171.0 lbs (77.6 kgs)
5'10" (178cm)   Height   6'0" (183cm)
73.0" (185cm)   Reach   72.0" (183cm)
Kings MMA   Gym   Cesar Gracie Jiu Jitsu
Tapology Community Predictions: 819  
.
KO/TKO
.
Submission
.
Decision
Ellenberger
29%
Shields
71%

Responses Page 5

RWLawman
RWLawman
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09.17.2011 | 4:26 PM ET

Prediction: wrong Shields   wrong Submission   wrong Round 2  

I think because Shields got beaten by GSP, people are severely under-estimating him.  Take a look at the guy's resume of opponent's he has beaten, and most of them he had beaten decisively.  Martin Kampmann, Dan Henderson, Jason Miller, Robbie Lawler, Paul Daley, Nick Thompson, Mike Pyle, Renato Verissimo, Carlos Condit, Yushin Okami, Hayato Sakurai.  That's a HELL of a list!  Who has Ellenberger beaten?  Shields is the real deal, and he's going to submit Ellenberger.

" "Out of suffering have emerged the strongest souls; the most massive characters are seared with scars." - Khalil Gibran "

AnAlias
AnAlias
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09.17.2011 | 4:41 PM ET

Prediction: wrong Shields   wrong Decision  

He didn't exactly look great in the Kampmann fight either.  I agree that people are underestimating him though.

"Boxing is like jazz. The better it is, the less people appreciate it." - George Foreman

LoneRonin
LoneRonin
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09.17.2011 | 4:46 PM ET

Prediction: wrong Shields   wrong Decision  

I still think he lost the Kampmann fight but whatever. Shields striking is garbage but his ground game is probably top 5 out of everybody and hes so good at getting it to the ground its hard to beat him. If Ellenberger can keep it on the feet he will win easily imo. I just dont think he can keep it on the feet


I want to know who picked Ellenberger by sub? I think you have a better chance of winning the lottery

* Edited at 09.17.2011, 4:47 PM ET *

RWLawman
RWLawman
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09.17.2011 | 4:46 PM ET

Prediction: wrong Shields   wrong Submission   wrong Round 2  

Shields' problem is, he doesn't have very impressive striking.  However, his Jiu-Jitsu is some of the best you'll see in the cage.  Shields is a tough guy to hurt, so I think he'll get Ellenberger down way before Ellenberger has the ability to knock him out.  Once this fight hits the mat, it's a wrap, no pun intended.

* Edited at 09.17.2011, 4:47 PM ET *

" "Out of suffering have emerged the strongest souls; the most massive characters are seared with scars." - Khalil Gibran "

Gregory
Gregory
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09.17.2011 | 4:49 PM ET

Prediction: correct Ellenberger   wrong Decision  

I'm going Juggernaut here. The guy is no joke, still seems to be improving. I thought he beat Carlos Condit. He also survived a crazy first round against a BJJ wizard in Rocha. Shields is a different style of grappler and could cause some problems. But I like Ellenberger as the more athletic, natural fighter standing up and think he can avoid being put on his back. As for Jake Shields's father passing away, it's tragic news and it may have impacted his focus.

"I live, I die, I live again."

NetHazard
NetHazard
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09.17.2011 | 6:00 PM ET

Prediction: wrong Shields   wrong Decision  

Yeah I just see Shields winning a decision.

* Edited at 09.17.2011, 6:01 PM ET *

Elkisland
Elkisland
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09.17.2011 | 10:59 PM ET

Prediction: wrong Shields   wrong Submission   wrong Round 3  

I'm so glad I was wrong


"Serious sport is war minus the shooting. "George Orwell""

Gregory
Gregory
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09.17.2011 | 10:59 PM ET

Prediction: correct Ellenberger   wrong Decision  

Not surprised by the winner, but surprised it happened in 53 seconds.

"I live, I die, I live again."

redkayak
redkayak

09.17.2011 | 11:08 PM ET

Prediction: correct Ellenberger   correct KO/TKO   wrong Round 3  


"If you can't feed your baby then don't have a baby and don't think maybe if you can't feed your baby.-MJ"

p4pgoat
p4pgoat
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09.17.2011 | 11:11 PM ET

Prediction: wrong Shields   wrong Decision  

I'm pretty surprised this fight turned out the way it did. I thought it was going to be a back and forth battle. Not so much!

"We are all human, it's time to prove it."

Live2wrestle
Live2wrestle
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09.17.2011 | 11:11 PM ET

Prediction: correct Ellenberger   correct KO/TKO   wrong Round 2  

Im glad this pick worked out. I thought Ellenberger had a solid chance but I mostly picked him so we can see someone new in the title mix

"She be curvin all the locals, must like foreigns and this is when I had the Martin, I was just like Lawrence so wassup"

jaykool777
jaykool777
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09.17.2011 | 11:12 PM ET

Prediction: wrong Shields   wrong Decision  

I really counted Ellenberger out of this fight. Even if I had an inkling he was going to win, I didn't think that he would finish Shields, and definitely not in the first round. Did anybody predict that finish? Could anybody?

"Keep it punk rock!!!!"

jesuseatsnubs
jesuseatsnubs
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09.17.2011 | 11:25 PM ET

Prediction: correct Ellenberger   correct KO/TKO   correct Round 1  

told u guys .. I was pretty confident on Jonathan Brookins .. I believe that fight should of been a split decision in his favour or a Draw ..

I just can't see how Koch won .. given that he was controlled .. and brookins pushed the pace and controlled him and landed some pretty good elbows .. I'm sorry .. for all I know I could be being bias .. but I really did think Brookins won

but ellenberger .. I knew he would DESTROY shields .. shields just been a lucky fighter in my opinion
Gregory
Gregory
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09.17.2011 | 11:28 PM ET

Prediction: correct Ellenberger   wrong Decision  

"I live, I die, I live again."

Heroak
Heroak
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09.17.2011 | 11:30 PM ET

ive had ellenberger in my top ten ww for quite some time now

"Tell her I'm rich, and I'm good looking, and I have, uh, a ******'s wit."

Dannotheman
Dannotheman
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09.17.2011 | 11:32 PM ET

Prediction: correct Ellenberger   correct KO/TKO   correct Round 1  

This was an easy call imo...didn't realize 71% picked Shields...

"God please give me patience, if you give me strength I will just punch them in the face."

Swickotine
Swickotine
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09.17.2011 | 11:35 PM ET

Prediction: correct Ellenberger   wrong Decision  

It really shows the difference between Not-UFC and UFC, Jake was undefeated for years but he's 1-2 in the UFC and IMO he should be 0-3, he has foughten top competition in UFC though.

"I'm old enough to know better, young enough to not give a ****...rather hold my head high and die, than live and duck."

Gregory
Gregory
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09.17.2011 | 11:39 PM ET

Prediction: correct Ellenberger   wrong Decision  

Swickotine I agree... but I don't know where that leaves you and your buddy Nick Diaz :)

"I live, I die, I live again."

michigandolphin
michigandolphin
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09.17.2011 | 11:42 PM ET

Prediction: correct Ellenberger   wrong Decision  

@swickotine, I agree man. The level of competition is just higher in the UFC. SF has some really good fighters, but the guys on the UFC roster are just animals.

"Frig off, bud"

jaykool777
jaykool777
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09.17.2011 | 11:45 PM ET

Prediction: wrong Shields   wrong Decision  

@ Swickotine - You hit the nail right on the head. Fighters like Nick Diaz and Jake Shields have been able to remain undefeated for some serious win streaks because they haven't fought in the UFC against the UFC's top fighters. I'm not a real big Shields fan, but in his defense, he has fought some very tough opposition. It's not like he was brought along strategically or given "gimmee opponents"  to bring him along or make him seem better than what he truly is. Martin Kampmann and Jake Ellenberger are very tough fights for anybody at 170, then you factor in a recent loss to GSP, and the recent loss of his father. Jake Shields has had a tough year this year. The fact that Shields still showed up to fight has really boosted my respect for him as a competitor, a fighter, and as a person. Unfortunately, he is going to drop considerably in my rankings. I hope to see him bounce back from this loss.

"Keep it punk rock!!!!"

Page 5


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