Main Card | Flyweight · 125 lbs | MMA
Alexandre Pantoja defeats Manel Kape via 3 Round Decision
|22-5-0||Pro Record At Fight||15-4-0|
|Climbed to 23-5||Record After Fight||Fell to 15-5|
|-110 (Near Even)||Betting Odds||-110 (Near Even)|
|Arraial do Cabo, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil||Fighting out of||Oporto, Portugal|
|30 years, 9 months, 3 weeks||Age at Fight||27 years, 2 months, 3 weeks, 2 days|
|125.5 lbs (56.9 kgs)||Weigh-In Result||125.5 lbs (56.9 kgs)|
|5'5" (166cm)||Height||5'5" (165cm)|
|68.0" (173cm)||Reach||68.0" (173cm)|
|American Top Team||Gym||VS Team|
- Bout Information
- Event: UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov
- Date: Saturday 02.06.2021 at 05:00 PM ET
- Referee: Keith Peterson
- Venue: UFC APEX
- Enclosure: Octagon
- Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
- Bout Billing: Main Card (fight 9 of 12)
- Pro/Am: Professional
- Weight: 125 lbs (56.7 kg)
- TV Commentary: Brendan Fitzgerald, Daniel Cormier, Dominick Cruz
- Broadcast: Aired Live on Main Card
- Post-Fight Interviewer: Daniel Cormier
- Pantoja Total Disclosed Pay: None Disclosed
- Kape Total Disclosed Pay: None Disclosed
Pantoja vs. Kape Wiki
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Pantoja vs. Kape Fight Predictions
02.09.2021 | 9:54 PM ET
Unfortunately however I have very little to offer in the way of intuition or opinion. I can't give logical arguments about a predicted result, but I can talk numbers. With some colleagues we tried betting on UFC events for a time without much success, but then chose to rely on stats and maths only (we've a few skills between us in that department). I go into it on our site, but in sum our system is designed to remove human intuition completely, which is usually flawed in this game.
MMA is unpredictable, but the information is there to make it more predictable than chance. Every prop bet we've made on the betmma.tips site was calculated by an algorithm we created. Hopefully it'll work into the future, but it certainly works with historical data going back 2 years. It remains to be seen if it has a long term predictive value, but so far so good.
Of course, you can be there to watch if it all comes crashing down.
I hope to change your mind Stephen, that numbers and stats/odds analysis is ultimately where successful betting lives, at least in this sport.
And no more shameless promoting, I promise, haha
02.09.2021 | 10:39 PM ET
* Edited at 02.09.2021, 10:40 PM ET *
02.10.2021 | 10:55 AM ET
I agree with @HiDefff again here. Stats are useful but they are no substitute for knowledge and experience. If for instance you have two fighters who both go the distance in most of their fights then of course the stats and logical interpretation align to say that it will go the distance but if it's one stronger fighter who often goes the distance against a fighter who is weaker on paper but can end it all with one shot then that's where you have to study the fighters and make up your own mind as to how likely it is for that shot to land or whether or not the "favourite" fighter can nullify that threat, especially if the "favourite" has never fought against someone like their opponent before. If you're making money with your approach, then good for you and I wish you the best but I just feel that it's unwise to rely on stats alone.
* Edited at 02.10.2021, 10:56 AM ET *