By Gregory Saks on May 5, 2010
Sixteen upsets took place among the major MMA organizations in April, including several enormous ones that made it the most surprising month of action so far this year. Topping the list was Frank Edgar’s stunning victory over BJ Penn at UFC 112 to become the leading organization’s lightweight champion. At -900, Penn was the heaviest [...]
Posted in Editorials | Tagged odds, upsets
By Gregory Saks on April 5, 2010
Seventeen upsets took place among the major MMA organizations in March, making it a packed month of oddsmaker surprises as compared to January and February. Topping the list was a sizable betting upset in Joseph Benavidez’s second round submission victory over former bantamweight champion Miguel Torres at WEC 47. A nasty cut from a Benavidez [...]
Posted in Industry Analysis | Tagged odds, upsets
By Gregory Saks on March 4, 2010
Nine upsets took place among the major MMA organizations in February, making it a slightly busier month of oddsmaker surprises than in January of 2010. Topping the list was a major betting upset in Joey Beltran’s second round TKO victory over fellow UFC newcomer Rolles Gracie in the heavyweight division at UFC 109. Beltran began [...]
Posted in Industry Analysis | Tagged odds, upsets
By Gregory Saks on February 4, 2010
Eight upsets took place among the major MMA organizations in January, making it a relatively quiet month of oddsmaker surprises to kick of 2010. Topping the list was Sam Stout’s impressive decision victory over Joe Lauzon in the lightweight division at UFC 108. Stout survived a dangerous first round submission attempt and then put on [...]
Posted in Industry Analysis | Tagged odds, upsets
By Gregory Saks on January 9, 2010
2009 was another breakthrough year for Mixed Martial Arts, and one of the aspects of the sport that continues to intrigue and draw in new fans is that any fighter has a chance to win on any given night, no matter how big a star or a favorite he or she is facing. Over the [...]
Posted in Industry Analysis | Tagged odds, upsets
By Gregory Saks on January 5, 2010
Nineteen upsets took place among the major MMA organizations in December, one greater than in November despite there being significantly fewer fights. Topping the list is a victory for Masanori Kanehara at the New Year’s Eve Dynamite show in Japan over the -475 favorite Norifumi “Kid” Yamamoto. Following in second place is Cung Le who [...]
Posted in Industry Analysis | Tagged odds, upsets
By Gregory Saks on December 7, 2009
Eighteen upsets took place among the major MMA organizations in November, making it one of the biggest months for underdogs in recent history. The list is capped off by a huge victory for Michihiro Omigawa in the Sengoku organization in Japan over the -600 favorite Hatsu Hioki. Following in second place is Brock Larson and [...]
Posted in Industry Analysis | Tagged odds, upsets
By Gregory Saks on November 9, 2009
Eleven upsets took place among the major MMA organizations in October, capped off by the biggest underdog victory of the year to date. Mackens Semerzier’s triangle choke submission victory over huge oddsmaker’s favorite Wagnney Fabiano at WEC 43 ranked as the biggest upset of the month, as well as the biggest so far in 2009. [...]
Posted in Industry Analysis | Tagged odds, upsets
By Gregory Saks on October 30, 2009
Six upsets took place across the major MMA organizations in September, with all of them coming from the UFC. The biggest took place at UFC Fight Night 19 when then 8-1 Mike Pierce pulled out a decision victory against the huge favorite, 26-2 Brock Larson. Paul “Semtex” Daley’s first round TKO of Martin “The Hitman” [...]
Posted in Industry Analysis | Tagged odds, upsets
By Gregory Saks on October 17, 2009
Over the past two years 30% of MMA bouts ended with an underdog pulling off an upset over the oddsmaker’s favorite. Tapology broke these bouts down by weight class and found a strong correlation between weight division and upset rates. The lighter the fighters are, the more likely there is to be an upset, with [...]
Posted in Industry Analysis | Tagged lightweights, odds, underdogs, upsets