Topic: UFC 302

UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier

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Tapology
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02.10.2024 | 2:13 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC 302
  • Saturday 06.01.2024 at 06:30 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: ESPN 2
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: Prudential Center
  • Location: Newark, New Jersey, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Joe Rogan, Daniel Cormier
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Joe Rogan
  • Ticket Revenue (live gate): $7,250,000
  • Attendance: 17,834
  • MMA Bouts: 12
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Islam Makhachev   defeats   Dustin Poirier   via Submission, D'arce Choke   2:42 Round 5 of 5, 22:42 Total Bout Page
Sean Strickland   defeats   Paulo Costa   via Decision, Split   5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page
Kevin Holland   defeats   Michał Oleksiejczuk   via Submission, Technical (armbar)   1:34 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Niko Price   defeats   Alex Morono   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Randy Brown   defeats   Elizeu Zaleski   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Roman Kopylov   defeats   César Almeida   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Jailton Almeida   defeats   Alexandr Romanov   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   2:27 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Grant Dawson   defeats   Joe Solecki   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Jake Matthews   defeats   Phil Rowe   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Bassil Hafez   defeats   Mickey Gall   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Ailin Perez   defeats   Joselyne Edwards   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
André Lima   defeats   Mitch Raposo   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 20

Sexy Beefer
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05.21.2024 | 7:21 PM ET

Predictions: 11 of 12 Winners, 6 Perfect, 730 Points   |   Tied for 347th

@el_guapo 
I mean, I would say he could just go to The PFL, but IDK about PFL's flyweight situation.............
el_guapo
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05.21.2024 | 7:23 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 665 Points   |   Tied for 1379th

Do they have mens flyweights??....
grayerman
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05.21.2024 | 7:32 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 615 Points   |   Tied for 2442nd

@foppa420 
I hear you, but I don't know what to make of Holland's decision making in there anymore
grayerman
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05.21.2024 | 7:41 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 615 Points   |   Tied for 2442nd

I'm really thinking Islam hits a kimura for some reason
Sexy Beefer
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05.21.2024 | 8:19 PM ET

Predictions: 11 of 12 Winners, 6 Perfect, 730 Points   |   Tied for 347th

@el_guapo 
That's actually a good question......
Oneyecrook
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05.21.2024 | 9:46 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 580 Points   |   Tied for 3268th

you wont be doing a kimura when you're the one taking the other guy down. 
Oneyecrook
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05.21.2024 | 9:50 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 580 Points   |   Tied for 3268th

If Raposo is a bum, why the line is only -170 for Lima.
AyyLmaonnaise
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05.21.2024 | 10:12 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 0 Perfect, 480 Points   |   Tied for 5112th

Don’t question it, just slam that line while you can. Lima should be -300
grayerman
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05.21.2024 | 10:17 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 615 Points   |   Tied for 2442nd

@Oneyecrook 
remember Islam tookdown and kimura'd Hooker. I'm envisioning more of a Sean Brady/ Kelvin Gastelum though
pashaboyer
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05.21.2024 | 10:51 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 0 Perfect, 450 Points   |   Tied for 5472nd

Someone give me another reason other than age, why not to take Dos Santos as a dog. Spent some hours on tape, and did some stat comparison, with how Randy brown does against shorter fighters that are willing to close the distance, and shorter reach. God!! I just think Santos is gonna be such a big problem for him.  Can’t make up my mind. Line is definitely moving towards brown. 
Miguelpicks
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05.21.2024 | 11:44 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 12 Winners, 6 Perfect, 680 Points   |   Tied for 1075th

@pashaboyer 
I would probably wait for parlay money to come in. It seems like Brown is just going to grow to a -200^ fav just because.
gliese58i
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05.21.2024 | 11:53 PM ET

Predictions: 11 of 12 Winners, 8 Perfect, 790 Points   |   Tied for 39th with 13 others




pashaboyer
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05.21.2024 | 11:57 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 0 Perfect, 450 Points   |   Tied for 5472nd

@gliese58i 
😆
TRTor
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05.22.2024 | 1:10 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 590 Points   |   Tied for 3052nd

Makhachev vs. Poirier
Islam Makhachev, SUB, R2
Unfortunately this is a very easy one to call here. I’m a day 1 fan of Poirier but there’s little chance he wins this fight. I see this going similarly to the Khabib fight. Islam is obviously a better striker tho and could knock Dustin out but I doubt he would take the risk. In fact I think he’s not gonna waste any time with it. Dustins only shot is at the beginning of the rounds imo. I say he survives until the late 2nd round. I’m hoping Dustin pulls it off but I doubt it

Strickland vs. Costa
Sean Strickland, DEC
I hope this fight actually happens. Strickland to me is the A side unsurprisingly, I see him being better over a 5 round fight and also I think he’s just the more skilled guy. I think Paulo is gonna struggle with the jab of Sean. Of course there’s a chance Sean gets KOd but I don’t think Paulo will. We shall see but I see Strickland taking it

Holland vs. Oleksiejczuk
Kevin Holland, DEC
This fight kind of demonstrates this cards and quality, not bad but not great either for a ppv. This isn’t a bad fight tho and as long as it’s on the feet Michal is fun to watch. His grappling stinks but Holland hardly ever try’s to grapple unless he’s getting whooped like mvp was doing to him. I think he keeps his distance and land shots on Michal who can be hit with consistency. I think Holland will take the UD

Almeida vs. Romanov
Jailton Almeida, TKO, R2
Almeida is just a so much better version of Romanov. There’s not much to say here. Romanov is gonna get mauled

Brown vs. Zaleski
Randy Brown, DEC
Initially I was leaning upset but stuck with Randy. Dos Santos is very skilled still but he is older now. Brown has the height as well as speed advantage which is hard to combat. I might be end up looking dumb here but I feel good about this one

DamienHandel420
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05.22.2024 | 2:41 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 480 Points   |   Tied for 5119th

My issue with Randy Brown is how  close he’s making fights with mediocre talent,  He went 50-50 with Turman, Trinaldo and Williams, I rate Zaleksi more then those 3, Zaleski on a run right now beating Benoit St Denis and going to a draw with Rinat

Kinda feeling Randy Brown is due to get knockout,



* Edited at 05.22.2024, 2:45 AM ET *

Rah123
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05.22.2024 | 3:43 AM ET

Devin M3

Predictions: 11 of 12 Winners, 6 Perfect, 730 Points   |   Tied for 347th

Among the new MMA prospects don't forget Jonathan Reynolds at women's flyweight 
houdini199x
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05.22.2024 | 3:56 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 555 Points   |   Tied for 3875th

@AyyLmaonnaise 
Raposo is game, not an easy matchup.
unoshowtenuno
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05.22.2024 | 4:10 AM ET

Predictions: 10 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 670 Points   |   Tied for 1278th

Price by KO is worth a shot if the odds are juicy enough. He's way more dangerous than Morono and Morono's been floored early before.
houdini199x
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05.22.2024 | 5:10 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 555 Points   |   Tied for 3875th

Kevin Holland is overrated imo.
Vandal
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05.22.2024 | 6:04 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 605 Points   |   Tied for 2727th

Strickland vs. Costa
Sean Strickland, TKO, R4
Pasta will gas out and Sean will finish him in later rounds

Almeida vs. Romanov
Jailton Almeida, TKO, R1
G'n'P

Page 20


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