UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

Thank you, SisterLove. I appreciate your appreciation of our cuteness factor. Also, it’s a really nice basement. Very cozy. 

This card turned out to be a lot harder to pick than I first thought, and a lot of the fights are much closer than I imagined. Post weigh in and after some thought and study my late final picks. I am not as confident as I thought I'd be but I am willing to go out on my sheild with my reads on this one.



1. Dustin Jacoby decision/ late KO
The size difference is large and I was not impressed with Michel's fight against Modestus. I think his boxing based attack with a heavy front leg is open to Jacobys kicks and though he starts slow and Michel starts fast I feel he will weather the initial storm and pick Michel apart later. I am not sure that Michel's KO power is as much as its made out to be.

2. Devonte Smith KO
Close fight but the short notice up a weight class has red flags. Also Klein has a left sided dominant attack which Smith will be expecting. He was beating Mullarkey until he got hurt and I think his straight shots will beat Kleins kicks. Wrestling will be negated on both sides I think. Either way expecting a finish but I lean Smith.

3. Tagir Decision
For some reason a lot of people do not feel Tagir is good. I feel the opposite. His wrestling and top control should be far too much for Elliott and I just cannot see him getting subbed. I hope I am right because I have a lot of bets riding on this.

4. Umar Sub
As much as I like Kelleher I think he is outclassed here everywhere.

5. Agapova Dec
Moroz is good but there must be a lot going on the background. I think Agapova has better striking, more power and will be faster. The main concern to me is still her cardio, though I expect it to hold up. However if Moroz wrestles it could get dicey. Still think Agapova takes it unless she gets stuck on her back.

6. Kennedy Dec
I think Kennedy is just the better fighter, though he is green. And his size advantage is a big factor. Sure he caught caught with an elbow he didnt see coming by Jung, it happens. But who would win against Jung Vs Negumereanu? I think Kennedy has got this one.

7. Marina Dec
Close fight but I think Marina is the better striker and has good sweeps and get ups on the ground in case the fight goes there. 

8. Turner Dec
Had a lot of thought on this, and listened to a lot of opinions of people I respect. Changed my initial pick. I think Tuner is too big and has too much advantage on the feet. I expect his wrestling to have gotten better too. I can't see Mullarkey getting finished and I expect him to really put pressure on Turner, but now I have Turner winning. Would not be too sad to be wrong about this one.

9. Spivak Sub
If I am wrong about this I will admit it, but I just cannot see Hardy winning this. Who has he actually KOd? Maurice Green and Juan Adams. He has 80% take down defence? Against whom? And his size has always been big, not something new. Didn't stop him going to a decision with Yorgan De Castro who is horrible. Do we really think his take down defense will hold up against a skilled judoka and wrestler like Spivak? If it hits the ground it should be over fast. Sure maybe he has a punchers chance in the first 3 minutes, but thats all I will give him. Famous last words but this fight should not go the distance either way.

10. Holland KO
Holland should be better everywhere and this should end in a finish either way. But pretty confident Holland takes this.

11. Barboza Dec
Another pick that I have changed. After watching Bryce (who I really like) against Filli again I just feel Barboza will tear him apart on the feet. If Bryce is not able to constantly control Barboza and keep him down it will be bad for him. Barboza also looked bigger and stronger. There is also the mystery of the bruise on Bryces arm, underlying injury?

12. RDA late finish/Decision
I just think RDA is better than Moicano, even without the short notice and last minute weight cut. I think he has more experience fighting 5 rounds and at heavier weights and I think he is the better striker and wrestler and has equal grappling and probably better grappling cardio.

13. Covington Dec / Late finish
I think the beef is fake. Looks like a money grab to me. And as much as I like Masvidal, I think it will have to be a perfectly timed strike (maybe a switch kick after lots of previous switched strikes) to put out Covington. Otherwise I think its rag doll time.


Good luck with your picks everyone, and anyone betting on this card I hope you win big!

* Edited at 03.05.2022, 5:29 PM ET *

@oddbot: agapova is -180 not moroz...

I wouldnt mess with oddbot. He is know for swatting or some nasty **** like that

I like my basement. Sometimes it's nice to just chill out here and breaststroke through the foot-deep layer of empty doritos bags and mountain dew bottles like Scrooge Mcduck, and ******** to my most prized possession:  A melanine-backed print of Shania Twain I found left wastefully beside a Smith family charity disposal bin.

* Edited at 03.05.2022, 5:31 PM ET *

@ iloveyousister: my sister was actually born my brother, so I guess the joke is on you!!!

Prefight bets (implied probability):

Elliott +210 (32.3%)
Oliveira +321 (23.8%)
Agapova Decision +190 (34.5%)

Low key happy that we agree on every fight @Rusty considering your pick rate is like a standard dev better than mine. I hope we’re both happy and not the other way around lol.

Then why did you edit your post p****???

What about nuns. I heard sister sherry is still one heck of a ride at 85

@Rusty I have basically the same spread but not Kennedy. Won't be shocked if he wins, just no idea.

I was raised in a monastery. Apparently im the son of satan or something like that. I have plenty of sisters for you

Covington vs. Masvidal
Colby Covington, DEC
Gimme Colby. Masvidal can make it very interesting tho.

dos Anjos vs. Moicano
Rafael dos Anjos, TKO, R4
I like RDA to finish late. Haven't seen Moicano go past 3....

Barboza vs. Mitchell
Bryce Mitchell, DEC
I'll take Bryce. Nooot my most confident pick.

Holland vs. Oliveira
Kevin Holland, DEC
Gimme Holland.

Spivak vs. Hardy
Greg Hardy, TKO, R1
Good chance Greg gets spivak out of there.... Wouldn't mind it lasting longer...

Turner vs. Mullarkey
Jamie Mullarkey, DEC
Gimme Mullarkey.

Rodriguez vs. Yan
Marina Rodriguez, DEC
Gimme Marina.

Negumereanu vs. Nzechukwu
Nick Negumereanu, TKO, R1
I think Nick could be too much too early with the striking.

Moroz vs. Agapova
Maryna Moroz, TKO, R3
This one will be fun. Wouldn't count out Moroz on top.

Nurmagomedov vs. Kelleher
Umar Nurmagomedov, SUB, R3
I think Umar finds the neck.....

Elliott vs. Ulanbekov
Tagir Ulanbekov, SUB, R3
Y'know, Tagir could surprize us with the grappling. Just might.

Klein vs. Smith
Ľudovít Klein, TKO, R2
I think Klein gets past the storm round 1, and lands the killshot later...

Jacoby vs. Oleksiejczuk
Dustin Jacoby, TKO, R2
I think Jacoby finds the shot midway.

12 or more fights on any given night is a good UFC in my book. 

Spivak vs. Hardy
Greg Hardy, TKO, R1
Yeah weighing over 310. Dude def has the power. I dont think theres gonna be any takedowns. Straight out TKO.

Negumereanu vs. Nzechukwu
Nick Negumereanu, TKO, R2
Negumereanu getting it done today. Nzechukwu is a fkin slow starter. Low volume, QUESTIONABLE chin I think. On the other hand negumereanu has the durability. It might come down to cardio but i think negumereanu gets it done

I like a 12 fight card because I can watch the first 6 or so fight, then go to the gym for a hour and then come back and watch the last few fights 

I can’t watch 12 fight in a row, so I like to do something, and watch the fights I miss the next day 

* Edited at 03.05.2022, 5:54 PM ET *